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Adnoc eyes IPO debut for XRG

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What we're tracking today

TODAY: Adnoc’s IPO plans for XRG + Kezad’s new metal storage hub

Good morning, folks. It’s a brisk read this morning, with news emerging on Adnoc plans to take XRG public. We also have the latest analysis on how Trump tariffs could impact aircraft producers. But first, an update on German airports' recent strike action…

THE BIG LOGISTICS STORY- Strike cripples 13 German airports: A one-day warning labor strike across 13 German airports caused a mass cancellation of most flights scheduled on Monday in the airports. Public sector employees — as well as ground and security workers — staged a walkout that began in Hamburg on Sunday before spreading to hubs including Frankfurt, Berlin, and Düsseldorf.

Halted operations: Airports in Munich, Stuttgart, Bremen, Hannover, Dortmund, Cologne/Bonn, and Leipzig-Halle were affected. Hamburg’s strike alone canceled around 300 flights, Frankfurt’s walkout canceled over 1k of its 1.1k scheduled flights, and all of the flights out of Berlin were reportedly canceled as well.

The call to action: The warning strikes — announced on Friday — are part of an effort by the German trade union Verdi to push for an 8% wage hike — or at minimum a EUR 350 raise — as well as higher bonuses and three additional days off. Verdi is negotiating the pay bump on behalf of 2.5 mn workers, with airport operators rejecting the demands as financially unfeasible.

Pay negotiations between the union and the federal and local governments are due on 26 March.

A turbulent year for German airports? Last month’s strikes at Cologne-Bonn Airport andDüsseldorf, also part of Verdi’s push to improve worker compensation, saw hundreds of scheduled flights canceled over 24 hours.

The story grabbed lots of ink in int’l press: Reuters | Associated Press | CNN | Deutsche Welle | New York Post | Euro News | BBC | NPR

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Gulfnav is still mulling the Brooge acquisition: DFM-listed maritime player GulfNav will review two separate valuation reports for its acquisition of Brooge Energy’s companies and assets during an upcoming general assembly meeting on Thursday as it mulls whether or not to proceed with the acquisition, according to a disclosure (pdf) to the DFM. One of the valuation reports was prepared by an independent advisor appointed by the Securities and Commodities Authority, and values the company at a higher share price than the other report, which was prepared by GulfNav’s advisor. The board recommends the approval of the latter valuation, and said the “outcome of the votes on these two valuations will be critical in deciding whether the acquisition moves forward.”

REMEMBER- GulfNav’s board greenlit the possible acquisition of Brooge Petroleum and Gas Investment Company from Brooge Energy last September.

The structure: The acquisition — which was initially expected to close in 4Q 2023 — will be executed through a share swap agreement: Gulfnav plans to issue 358.8 mn new shares to Brooge Energy with a one-year lock-up period, alongside AED 2.3 bn in mandatory convertible bonds set to be converted into shares. Additionally, a separate AED 500 mn convertible bond issuance will be allocated to existing shareholders with the rump offering, if any, set to be limited to major shareholders. The company will also pay AED 460 mn in cash to settle the transaction.

#2- KSA is set to become MENA’s data center powerhouse: Saudi Arabia is expected to spearhead MENA’s data center growth over the next three years, with a compound annual growth rate of 37% through 2027, Bloomberg reports, citing analysis from real estate services firm Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL). This rate is almost twice that of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, and well above the global average of 15%.

Fueling the expansion: The Kingdom’s drive to become an AI hub is fueled by government policies, tax incentives, and economic free zones. The push has attracted major firms like Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, and Equinix to invest in data center capacity, alongside a USD 1.5 bn Groq-Aramco partnership for the world’s largest AI inference node. Saudi Arabia is also planning a USD 100 bn AI project to turn the Kingdom into a technological hub to rival the UAE.

Pushing forward despite global hurdles: Saudi has “the ambition and the capital” necessary to become the region’s data center leader, despite challenges including US restrictions on advanced AI chip exports present challenges, rising energy costs and lengthy construction timelines, Stephen Macdonald, managing partner at Proptech, told Bloomberg.

#3- Egyptian furniture manufacturer Mobica and an unnamed British partner plan to invest EGP 1 bn in an export-bound healthy food factory, CEO Mohamed Farouk told Al Arabiya. The alliance — which intends to set up a joint-stock company with USD 20 mn in capital — will earmark all production for exports to the UK and France.

The details: The project — set to begin once the partnership agreement is signed — will be developed on a 28k sqm plot in the Sixth of October Industrial Zone and is expected to be completed within a year. The investors are in talks with local and international banks to secure EGP 500 mn in financing, with the remaining funds set to be self-financed.

ALSO FROM EGYPT- Updates on Tahya Misr 1 container terminal in Damietta: Egypt’s Damietta Alliance — a JV between Hapag Lloyd, Eurogate and Contship Italia — has begun additional superstructure work at the Tahya Misr 1 container terminal in Damietta, according to a statement. 20 rubber-tyred gantry cranes — part of a 40-crane order — have also arrived in the country and are set to be installed in the cargo handling yards

REFRESHER- Tahya Misr 1 — one of three terminals planned in the Damietta port development project — received its first five quay cranes designed to handle mega-container ships back in December 2024 as part of a 12-crane order from China’s Qingdao Haixi Heavy-duty Machinery Co. The terminal will have handling capacity of 3.5 mn TEUs annually and is planned to kick off operations in April 2025. The remaining two container terminals are slated for completion by 2027.

#4- Iraq pivots to Gulf gas: The Iraqi government is ramping up efforts to finish a gas pipeline project connected to Basra to move Gulf natural gas, the Iraq-based Shafaq News reports. The country is already 30 days into the pipeline project and predicts the pipeline could be operational within 120 days, Parliament's Oil and Gas Committee spokesperson Ali Shadad told Shafaq News.

What’s in the cards? The government is in the process of securing a floating platform that will be connected to the pipeline, which would transport 200 mn cubic ft per day to the platform for processing to power several energy plants, Iraq’s Oil Minister Hayan Abdul Ghani told INA.

Iranian gas is a non-starter, says US: Iraq is opting for other sources of energy in light of the USabrogating a waiver that allowed the country to import Iranian electricity yesterday. The move aimed to crack down on the Islamic Republic’s revenues, its alleged nuclear weapons program, and support of US-designated terrorist groups.

#5- Houthis naval attacks could resume tomorrow: Yemen’s Houthis are threatening to resume naval attacks in the Red Sea if Israel does not lift the blockade preventing food, electricity, and medicine from entering Gaza, Al Jazeera reported on Saturday. The four-day warning — issued on Saturday — expires tomorrow, 12 March. Since the start of Israel’s latest war on Gaza, the Houthis have launched over 100 attacks on shipping vessels in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.

REFRESHER- Yemen’s Houthis have vowed to target only Israeli-linked commercial vessels, and have pledged to cease attacks entirely once the terms of the Gaza ceasefire are fulfilled to their final phase. Maritime security firms raised the risk level for ships calling at Israeli ports in September, as terminals face the possibility of missile attacks from Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Yemen’s Houthis.

MARKET WATCH-

#1- Oil prices went up this morning despite continued uncertainty on the outlook of global growth and rising production from Opec+, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures increased by USD 0.18 to USD 69.46 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) inched up by USD 0.09 to USD 66.12 a barrel by 06.40 GMT. 

#2- Baltic index on a rising trend: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — gained 24 points to 1,424 on Monday. The capesize jumped 56 points to 2,478, while the panamax index was up 19 points to 1,014. The smaller supramax index was flat at 864 points.

DATA POINTS-

#1- Cargo handling volumes at Saudi ports fell 3.66% y-o-y in February to 22.5 mn tons, according to the Saudi Port Authority (Mawani). The ports handled 983k of general cargo, 4 mn tons of solid bulk cargo, and 11.6 mn tons of liquid bulk cargo. The number of exported containers increased 18.25% y-o-y to 215.4k, while the number of imported containers fell 4.95% y-o-y to 215.7k.

#2- Oman’s transport and logistics sector is expected to contribute OMR 14 bn to the nation’s GDP by 2040, Muscat Daily reports, citing Oxford Business Group data. The country’s logistics sector contributed 6.1%, valued at OMR 1.7 bn, to the national GDP during 9M 2024.

#3- LNG carriers have reduced their speed by 2% in 1Q 2025 to move at 14.6 knots compared to the averaged speed in 2024, Splash reports, citing Clarksons Research data. The decline comes on the back of efforts to cut costs by reducing fuel consumption, as well as reduce climate impact and comply with the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) certification requirement set via Carbon Intensity Indicator — a rating system for ships by the IMO to determine whether a ship’s operational carbon intensity is within acceptable range. Bulk carriers’ speed has also decreased by 1.7% y-o-y at 10.7 knots, while product tankers have slowed 1.7% y-o-y at 11.2 knots during the same time period.

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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

The UAE will host the Gulf Ship Finance Forum on Thursday, 10 April in Dubai. The forum will host shipping and finance executives from around the region and the world to host presentations, interviews and panel discussions on ownership, management, chartering, legal and trading in shipping.

The UAE will host the CargoIS Forum on Monday, 14 April in Dubai. The event will discuss industry insights and strategies from leading logistics players, including Emirates SkyCargo and Lufthansa Cargo.

The UAE will host the IATA World Cargo Symposium from Tuesday, 15 April to Thursday, 17 April in Dubai. The event will host sessions, specialized streams, workshops and summits related to technology, security, customs, cargo operations and sustainability for over 1.4k industry leaders.

Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.

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IPO Watch

Adnoc eyes IPO debut for XRG

Adnoc is reportedly weighing an IPO for its recently set up USD 80 bn renewables and chemicals arm XRG on an international exchange, Reuters reports citing people it says have knowledge of the matter. The minority stake sale is expected to materialize in about five years in a move that could make XRG one of largest publicly traded energy firms in the world, the people said.

Adnoc has been churning out IPOs for its subsidiaries since late 2017, starting with its fuel retail arm’s USD 851 mn ADX debut. Since 2021, it has taken Adnoc Drilling, Fertiglobe, Adnoc Gas, Adnoc Logistics & Services and Borouge to the ADX, in some of the country’s largest IPOs. Combined, these transactions drummed up more capital than Saudi Aramco’s record-breaking Tadawul IPO in 2019, excluding the USD 12 bn it raised in a follow-on offering last year, according to Reuters calculations.

Adnoc founded XRG in November 2024 with the aim of investing in lower-carbon energy and chemicals as part of a broader plan to diversify the company’s portfolio and reduce its reliance on oil revenue. The energy giant is prepping XRG to become one of the world’s top five chemical producers and capture 70% of global demand by 2050. Its portfolio already includes amajoritystake in Germany’s Covestro and Borouge International. XRG’sboard includes former BP chief Bernard Looney, Blackstone President and COO Jon Gray, and Egyptian bn’aire Nassef Sawiris.

Floated listing venues: The London Stock Exchange (LSE), on which stocks of major oil and gas players like Shell and BP are currently trading, is a strong contender for XRG’s potential IPO, one person told Reuters. However, the LSE has seen investors pull funds recently, which could be a drawback. Meanwhile, a listing on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) could fetch a higher valuation for XRG, making it a more attractive financial option.

But first… restructuring: Adnoc has yet to name a CEO and complete the transfer of assets to XRG before pursuing a public debut, the people said. The company, which was set up late last year, is due to become operational this quarter with plans to double its USD 80 bn asset value over the next decade. Just last week, Adnoc announced plansto transfer its stake in Borouge International — a newly-merged polyolefins giant — to XRG, cementing its role as a primary vehicle for the state-run energy firm’s international expansion into the chemicals industry.

ADVISORS- Bank of America is said to be advising on XRG’s strategy.

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STORAGE + WAREHOUSES

Metal Park launches first phase of AED 110 mn storage hub in Kezad

UAE's Metal Park launched the first phase of its new AED 110 mn storage facility in Khalifa Economic Zones Abu Dhabi (Kezad), according to statements here and here. The project — dubbed as the “world’s first pay-as-you-go” storage center for metals — is slated to be completed in three phases. Once fully operational, the facility will have a total storage capacity of 350k mt, as well as a 54k cmb shelved storage space specifically for metals.

More details: The first phase — spanning 93k sqm – features 26 overhead cranes with a 40 mt carrying capacity, 55 loading truck bays, and automated guided vehicles with a carrying capacity of 48k mt per day. The hub will include vertical storage, three weighbridges, and truck loading bays with integrated cantilever systems. The facility also has direct access to Khalifa Port through a modular road, Etihad rail’s network, and highways linking Abu Dhabi to the rest of the country.

Background: Kezad’s whole owner AD Ports Group inked an agreement with Metal Park to establish the hub back in 2022.

The latest from Kezad’s storage projects: The zone saw the launch of an AED 90 mn multi-purpose chemicals facility by the UAE-based AquaChemie last month, featuring 7.2 metric tons of storage capacity and four liquid storage tanks. Last year, the UAE-based pharma distribution company Pharmatrade also inaugurated its Abu Dhabi Logistics Center in Kezad last year to boost the storage and distribution of its products.

REMEMBER- UAE warehouse rents are projected to rise between 5% to 10% in 2025 as demand outpaces added capacity. However, Kezad is set to add about 250k sqm of warehouses by the end of the year, contributing to a predicted easing in rent hikes.

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Supply Chains

Adnoc partners with its JV AIQ to deploy AI across its operations

Adnoc struck a USD 340 mn agreement with its AI JV with Presight — AIQ to deploy AI solutions across Adnoc’s value chain, it said in a press release (pdf). The three-year partnership will see AIQ deploy its AI solution EnergyAI across Adnoc’s upstream operations, covering tasks like seismic analysis, geological modeling and real-time process monitoring. The move aims to expedite business processes, increase efficiency, and reduce emissions.

REMEMBER- ADX-listed data analytics firm Presight AI acquired a 51% stake in AIQ last year, in a transaction that valued AIQ — originally an Adnoc-G42 JV — at USD 1.4 bn. ENERGYai is an autonomous AI solution — created in 2024 by Adnoc, G42, Microsoft, and AIQ — that aims at speeding up seismic surveys from months to days and increasing the accuracy of production forecasts by up to 90%.

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Also on Our Radar

Cargo, maritime, and startup watch updates from Qatar and KSA

CARGO-

Qatar Airways Cargo + AeroNet ink repair services contract: Qatar Airways Cargo inked a net repair services agreement with France-based aviation firm AeroNet that will be valid until 31 May 2027, according to a statement. Under the agreement, AeroNet will handle net repairs at its EASA-certified 145 pair repair stations. AeroNet has been providing Air Cargo Nets, Tie Down Straps and Cargo Equipment for Qatar Airways Cargo for the past three years, the statement adds.

STARTUP WATCH-

Saudi-based e-commerce platform Aya closed a USD 1.6 mn seed funding round led by Khwarizmi Ventures, with contributions from Raed Ventures, Joa Capital, Fena Holdings, Turki Alrajhi, and a group of angel investors, according to a press release. The funds will be used to accelerate the company’s product development, broaden its market presence, and improve its platform. No further details were provided on the funding round.

About Aya: Aya is a fashion marketplace founded in 2024 that specializes in forecasting fashion trends and informing local producers about demand trajectory.

SHIPPING + MARITIME-

Qatar’s MOT launches digital maritime services app: Qatar’s Transport Ministry (MOT) has launched its new application — dubbed Darb — that aims to streamline and enhance accessibility to digital services in maritime transportation, according to a statement. The digital services will allow users to register new small vessels, renew their registration license, and facilitate vessel modification procedures.

LAST-MILE DELIVERY-

Global transport firm FedEx temporarily suspended its Economy Parcel and Freight Services into Saudi Arabia, effective immediately, without offering further details, according to a statement. The suspension impacts select countries including Egypt, the UAE, Kuwait, South Korea, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, India, Belgium, Denmark, the UK, Italy, Slovakia, the Netherlands, Spain, Poland, and Brazil.

FedEx said it aims to resume the services as soon as possible, without disclosing a potential timeline. The last-mile shipping giant launched its international economy service in the Kingdom in 2023 in an effort to cap costs for local SMEs.

OTHER STORIES WORTH KNOWING THIS MORNING-

  • Qatar Airways expands Syria route: Qatar Airways has added an extra daily flight from Doha to Syria’s Damascus to meet rising demand starting June 2025. (Bloomberg)
  • Flynas expands fleet and services: Budget carrier Flynas has integrated the second new Airbus A320neo aircraft into its fleet at Riyadh’s King Khalid International Airport and launched two weekly direct services between Madinah and Pakistan’s Karachi. (Statement)

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Logistics in the News

Latest US tariffs may hit Boeing harder than Airbus

Trump’s tariffs could hit Boeing much harder than Europe’s Airbus: American aircraft manufacturer Boeing is bracing for a tough year that would see its supply chains destabilized and operational costs rocked as a result of US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, Politico reported on Friday. “That’s really, really expensive for us — if we’re building our products and we don’t have the supply chain components,” the company’s CEO Kelly Ortberg reportedly told Bloomberg.

Why is Boeing especially vulnerable? With a supply chain dependent on components sourced from Canada and the European Union, US tariffs on Canada and possible tariffs on the European Union (EU) would hike the US-based Boeing’s production costs. This would be further magnified if the EU retaliates to US tariffs with counter-measures, making the company’s aircraft very expensive in the European market. Unlike Boeing, Airbus has manufacturing facilities in both Europe and the US, which would give it more flexibility to adapt its supply chains to avoid the worst of the trade war between the EU and the US.

Industry-wide havoc: The tariffs could push Airbus to focus deliveries outside the US to avoid possible EU tariffs, the company’s CEO Guillaume Faury told CNBC. Furthermore, a retaliatory EU response would impact EU-based airlines with Boeing orderbooks. For example, the Irish low-cost carrier RyanAir may incur exorbitant import costs from its upcoming order of 30 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft. LOT Polish Airlines and Lufthansa — who rely on Boeing albeit to a lesser extent — would also be impacted.

Adding to Boeing’s string of woes: Boeing’s financial troubles are expected to continue in2025, with delivery delays and general supply chain disruptions continuing this year. The company’s net losses y-o-y rose fourfold in 2024, with revenues and commercial aircraft deliveries also slumping.

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Around the World

Beijing targets Trump voter base + Shipping firms adjust as trade war heats up

Beijing’s tariff retaliation targets Trump’s voter base: China’s latest tariffs on US agricultural products — which came into effect yesterday — are believed to be designed to target US President Donald Trump’s rural voter base, Al Arabiya reports, citing several analysts and trade experts. The China response also appears to be measured in order to leave room for negotiations, with the country opting to target a specific sector rather than an all-out tariff on US imports, Al Arabiya reports.

REFRESHER- China slapped the US with a new set of tariffs last week that are set to impact nearly USD 21 bn in US agricultural exports. The response includes a 15% tariff on US chicken, wheat, corn, and cotton, as well as an extra 10% levy on US soybeans, sorghum, pork, beef, and more. The tariffs were a response to the US’ move last week to double its China tariffs to 20%.


Shipping firms shy away from Hong Kong hub in fear of US-China escalation: Several shipping firms have been discreetly taking vessels off Hong Kong's flag registry and moving their operations out of the special administrative city over fears of getting caught in the crossfire of Beijing-Washington trade war, Reuters reported on Thursday, citing six unnamed shipping executives. The moves also come amid concerns that commercial maritime operations and ships could be commandeered by Chinese authorities in case of heightened geopolitical tensions in the Pacific.

The impact: The number of oceangoing vessels registered in Hong Kong decreased by more than 8% in January 2025 to 2.4k ships, compared to four years earlier.

ICYMI: The US Trade Representative is looking into charging upwards of USD 1.5 mn for Chinese-built vessels entering US ports, as part of a US probe into China’s increasing dominance in the global shipbuilding, maritime, and logistics industry. The US indicated that China is unfairly controlling certain sectors and fostering dependence.


MARCH

24-25 March (Monday-Tuesday): Airbus Summit, Toulouse, France.

APRIL

2-4 April (Wednesday-Friday): Global Supply Chain and Logistics Summit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

3-4 April (Thursday-Friday): Africa Supply Chain Optimization, Johannesburg, South Africa

10 April (Thursday): Gulf Ship Finance Forum, Dubai, UAE.

14 April (Monday): CargoIS Forum, Dubai, UAE.

15-17 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Transport Middle East Exhibition and Conference, Aqaba, Jordan.

15-17 April (Tuesday-Thursday): IATA World Cargo Symposium, Dubai, UAE.

16-17 April: Global Ports Forum, Dubai, UAE.

28 April-2 May: 7th Export Capabilities Exhibition (Iran Expo), Tehran, Iran.

MAY

6-8 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Airport Show, Dubai, UAE.

12-15 May (Monday-Thursday): Saudi Smart Logistics, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

13-14 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Ports Forum, Dubai, UAE.

20-22 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Seamless Middle East, Dubai, UAE.

27-29 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Saudi Warehousing & Logistics Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

JUNE

1-3 June (Sunday-Tuesday): Annual General Meeting & World Air Transport Summit 2025, Delhi, India.

2-4 June (Monday-Wednesday): Propak MENA, Cairo, Egypt.

5-6 June (Thursday-Friday): Supply Chain & Logistics Innovation Summit, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

11-13 June (Wednesday-Friday): Sustainability World Summit, Frankfurt, Germany.

17-19 June (Tuesday-Thursday): Terminal Operations Conference & Exhibition, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

19 June (Thursday): East Med Maritime Conference, Athens, Greece.

25-26 June (Wednesday-Friday): Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, Hamburg, Germany.

JULY

1-3 July (Tuesday-Thursday): ASEAN Ports and Logistics, Jakarta, Indonesia.

SEPTEMBER

24-26 September (Wednesday-Friday): Routes World, Hong Kong.

OCTOBER

1-2 October (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Maritime & Logistics Congress, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

14-15 October (Tuesday-Wednesday): Investing in Africa Conference and Expo, London, UK.

NOVEMBER

3-6 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

4-6 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Air Cargo Forum, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

17-21 November (Monday-Friday): Dubai Airshow, Dubai, UAE.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

Mid-2025: Iraq will complete phase one of the construction of the Grand Faw Port.

DHL and Aramco’s logistics and procurement hub in Saudi Arabia will commence operations.

AD Ports-operated Safaga Port’s multi-purpose terminal will become operational.

Phase 3 of APM Terminals Tangier MedPort to be complete and operational.

1Q 2025: Sadr Park’s Logistics Center in Riyadh to be completed.

1Q 2025: Phase two of Jafza Logistics Park to be completed.

2026

2026 UNCTAD Global Supply Chains Forum, Saudi Arabia.

2027

4Q 2027: Oman’s Musandam Airport construction to be completed.

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