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GCC-UK trade agreement signed and sealed

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

TODAY: UK and GCC seal multi-bn-GBP agreement

Good morning, wonderful people. We wrap up the week with capital doing what it does best — moving. Leading our issue is the landmark trade agreement between the Gulf and the UK, which is said to add bns to the UK economy annually. We’ve also got Qatari bn’aire brothers eyeing Ethiopia’s new airport and a major highway project in the DRC, and QNB Egypt lining up an EGP 11.98 bn syndicated loan for the East Port Said Port expansion.

Watch this space

SUPPLY CHAINS — Fujairah is tightening the links between its ports, freezones, and logistics ecosystem, with AD Ports subsidiary Fujairah Terminals signing three land agreements with Fujairah International Airport, Fujairah Freezone Authority, and Al Dahra Agriculture Trading, state news agency Wam reports.

The details: The combined 130k-sqm footprint is aimed at expanding logistics capacity and creating more integrated movement between port, industrial, and adjacent infrastructure.

Why now? The agreements are aimed at unlocking new trade windows with regional and international markets and come amid a wider drive to make use of Fujairah’s Hormuz-bypassing eastern corridor. Borouge and AD Ports are looking at exporting petrochemicals via Fujairah, and Adnoc is accelerating plans to develop its West-East pipeline.


SHIPPINGRussian barrels get another pass: The US Treasury extended a 30-day sanctions waiver allowing countries to access Russian crude and petroleum products already stranded at sea. This marks the second extension of a measure first introduced in March to help ease pressure in oil markets. The waiver applies only to Russian barrels already loaded onto vessels, not newly produced exports.

Why it matters: The extension is designed to support “energy-vulnerable” countries that have faced challenges securing Gulf supplies amid disruptions in Hormuz. It effectively acts as a pressure valve for the physical crude market, redirecting stranded cargoes toward countries most exposed to supply shortages.


STORAGE — US blockade drives surge in Iranian floating storage: The US naval blockade is forcing Iran to park increasing volumes of crude and petrochemicals on ageing tankers in the Gulf, with 39 laden vessels now anchored in the region, up from 29 before the restrictions took effect last month. A further 13 suspected tankers are moored off Chabahar, just inside the de facto blockade line, while the largest concentration remains around Kharg Island — where 20 vessels are now idling near Iran’s main export hub, up from six a month earlier.

The shift is effectively converting an export squeeze into a storage crisis. Iran’s floating stockpiles in the Middle East have risen to about 42 mn barrels, up roughly 65% since the conflict began, while onshore storage is estimated to be around 64% full after a further build-up.

Floating storage is providing only limited relief: Analysts estimate Iran still has spare tanker capacity that could absorb tens of mns of additional barrels, but onshore space is tightening, suggesting the buffer may only last weeks if disruptions persist.

Market watch

Oil prices rose this morning as supply concerns offset US-Iran peace talk optimism, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures increased USD 0.78 to trade at USD 105.80 / bbl by 03.41 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained USD 0.84 to USD 99.10 / bbl.


The Baltic Index extends downturn: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — was down 1.6% to 3,005 points on Wednesday. The capesize dipped 1.4% to 4,880 points, while the panamax index declined 3.5% to 2,374. The smaller supramax shed 0.1% to 1,566 points.

Data point

5.5 mn barrels — that’s how much jet fuel Oman exported in 1Q 2026, up 7.6 y-o-y. The increase came as Oman’s aviation fuel production rose to nearly 6.7 mn barrels from 6.2 mn a year earlier, while domestic sales climbed to 1.1 mn barrels from 940.1k.

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The Big Story Today

Markets open wider

GCC, UK ink landmark trade pact: The GCC and the UK reached a trade agreement, according to statements from the GCC and the UK government, bringing to an end negotiations that have stretched for years across multiple administrations. The pact makes the UK the first G7 country to ink such an agreement with the bloc.

Inside the agreement: The two sides agreed to remove duties on roughly GBP 580 mn worth of UK exports to the GCC annually, to speed up customs procedures (48 hours and six hours for perishables), and facilitate business activity between the two sides. The statement also pointed to more investment and industrial collaboration.

Why it matters: The agreement is welcome news for a struggling UK economy — adding around GBP 3.7 bn a year to its economy — while for the GCC, it’s another notch in the region’s economic and trade diversification belt.

The agreement spans “trade in goods and services, financial services, digital trade, investment protection, government procurement, telecommunications, and the movement of natural persons,” Gulf Cooperation Council Secretary General Jasem Albudaiwi said.

AND- Data is a big part of it: In a first, UK firms will be able to store and process data outside the region, with the statement saying that the move will “save businesses money on setting up costly data [centers] in the Gulf.”

That’s good news for us: The move is a vote of confidence for our data center sector — a key pillar of the GCC’s economic diversification drive, which took a hit (literally) when an Iranian drone struck a data center facility, leading to a prolonged outage and months-long repairs. At the time, experts told us that the strikes could challenge the Gulf’s image as a secure hub for AI investment.

BACKGROUND- Talks have been ongoing for around four years now, with reports of an imminent agreement going as far back as 2024.

In other trade news

Austrian Economy and Energy Minister Wolfgang Hattmannsdorfer called on the EU to expedite its freetrade negotiations with the UAE, saying that “there is no [agreement] in sight,” Bloomberg reports. Vienna seeks to more than double its UAE-bound exports to EUR 1 bn by 2029, with a focus on AI, rail, hydrogen, and industrial engineering.

REMEMBER- In 2025, Adnoc and Austria’s OMV agreed to merge their polyolefins businesses into Borouge Group International.

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Investment Watch

Qatar’s PIH chase Africa’s next megaproject map

PIH wants Africa’s big-ticket builds: Qatar-based Power International Holding (PIH)’s UCC Holding unit is bidding for major transport infrastructure projects across Africa, targeting Ethiopia’s new airport and pursuing a 400-km highway project in the Democratic Republic of Congo, UCC Holding CEO Boyd Merrett told Bloomberg.

About PIH: PIH — owned by Qatari bn’aire brothers Moutaz and Ramez Al Khayyat — operates across energy, concessions and construction, industries and services, agriculture and food industries, real estate, and lifestyle.

Ethiopia’s airport bid would place PIH into one of Africa’s largest aviation projects. Ethiopian Airlines began construction in January on the USD 12.5 bn Bishoftu International Airport — with completion targeted for 2030. The project is planned with four runways, parking for 270 aircraft, and capacity for 110 mn passengers annually. Ethiopian Airlines covers about 30% of costs, while the remainder is sourced from international lenders. The African Development Bank has pledged USD 500 mn and is helping mobilize around USD 8.7 bn, alongside interest from lenders in the Middle East, Europe, China, and the US.

Meanwhile, details on the highway are thin: Reporting points to a 400-km highway project in the Democratic Republic of Congo, with no disclosed details on alignment, value, timeline, or procurement stage.

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Debt Watch

Going deep at East Port Said

QNB Egypt arranged an EGP 11.98 bn syndicated loan for Kased Khair General Supplies and Contracting to fund 6 km of new marine berths at East Port Said Port, the lender said in a statement. QNB is acting as lead arranger, bookrunner, and facility agent for the 12-bank facility, which will finance the construction of berths with a 22-meter draft depth, built to accommodate the heaviest commercial vessel class.

This is an important step in the plan to turn East Port Said into a global transshipment hub. The new deep-water berths push it beyond the container-hub profile. In April, the port received MV Paroship — the largest dry bulk vessel to ever dock at an Egyptian terminal, carrying 180k tons of cargo. Looking ahead, the port is targeting a 5 mn TEU capacity by the end of the decade.

BACKGROUND- East Port Said — ranked among the world’s three best-performing container ports in 2025 — has seen a concentrated wave of heavy investment lately. Late last year, the government inaugurated USD 724 mn in projects at the port, including a USD 500 mn expansion of the Maersk-backed Suez Canal Container Terminal, a USD 159 mn Ro-Ro vehicle terminal, and a USD 65 mn multipurpose facility.

Meet the backers: The banking syndicate includes Banque Misr, the National Bank of Egypt, Banque du Caire, the Arab African International Bank, Alex Bank, NBK-Egypt, Kuwait Finance House-Egypt, Al Baraka Bank Egypt, MIDBank, NXT Bank, and the Industrial Development Bank.

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Also on Our Radar

GCC railway gets Saudi’s cabinet green light

Saudi cabinet greenlights GCC railway plans

Saudi Arabia’s cabinet approved the Kingdom’s accession to the GCC railway agreement in a session held yesterday, state news agency SPA reports. The decision moves the long-discussed Gulf rail network — first floated more than a decade ago — closer to execution.

REFRESHER- The project is a 2.1k-km railway that aims to link the six GCC member states. Numerous delays have long stalled the railway, which was projected to cost some USD 15 bn back in 2023.

The war seems to have put some urgency on the project. Saudi Arabia Railways launched a tender for design consultancy services for its portion of the railway last week, while Kuwait approved the right-of-way and land allocation for the rail link connecting Kuwait to Saudi Arabia as part of the project.

Connecting Yanbu, Jeddah, Ain Sokhna, and Aqaba

Folk Maritime launched its Red Sea Express shipping service in Yanbu’s King Fahad Industrial Port, connecting it to Jeddah Islamic Port, Egypt’s Ain Sokhna Port, and Jordan’s Aqaba Port, according to a statement from Mawani. The service has a 1.1k standard container capacity.

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Logistics in the News

BTC becomes Iran’s new Hormuz access tool

Crypto cover enters Hormuz: Iran launched a BTC-backed ins. scheme for Iranian shipping firms transiting Hormuz — named “Hormuz Safe” and marketed as a fast, verifiable digital coverage product for Iranian shipping companies and cargo owners, Bloomberg reports, citing documents obtained from the country’s Economy and Financial Affairs Ministry by Fars news agency. Hormuz Safe is estimated to generate more than USD 10 bn in revenue for Iran.

How will it work? Hormuz Safe will provide cryptographically verifiable ins. policies for shipments passing through the Arabian Gulf, Hormuz, and surrounding waterways — with payments set to be settled in BTC. Coverage will begin once shipments are confirmed, with cargo owners receiving a digitally signed receipt as proof of ins.

Friends through, foes out: The scheme will see “only commercial vessels and parties cooperating with Iran [...] benefit from it. The necessary fees will be collected for the specialized services provided under this mechanism,” Ebrahim Azizi, head of Iran’s parliamentary national security commission, said in a statement on X. However, parties involved in the US-Israeli war against Iran would be prohibited from using the route.

Iran’s been doubling down on control: Iran’s Supreme National Security Council launched the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) earlier this week to manage traffic as well as provide real-time updates on operations and developments in the waterway.

The regulatory framework was already in place: Tehran’s parliamentary security committee had already approved a Hormuz management plan last month that aimed to impose an IRR-denominated toll system on vessels using the strait. The same plan included restrictions on US and Israeli vessels and extended limits to countries participating in unilateral sanctions on Iran.

However, Iran had allowed some vessels to transit via a designated route close to its coast, reportedly requesting payments of as much as USD 2 mn, while some tankers were said to have paid around USD 1 / bbl through its toll-booth play.


MAY

19-21 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Ground Handling Conference (IGHC), Cairo, Egypt.

19-21 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Terminal Operations Conference & Exhibition, Hamburg, Germany.

JUNE

2-4 June (Tuesday-Thursday): ProPak Mena, Cairo, Egypt.

4-5 June (Thursday-Friday): Supply Chain and Logistics Summit, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

6-8 June (Saturday-Monday): IATA World Air Transport Summit, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

10-11 June (Wednesday-Thursday): Black Sea Ports and Logistics, Istanbul, Turkey.

21-24 June (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Smart Logistics, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

22-23 June (Monday-Tuesday): Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

AUGUST

30 August-1 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Air Cargo Middle East, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

30 August-1 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Saudi Warehouse and Logistics Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

SEPTEMBER

16-17 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Maritime & Logistics Congress, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

22-24 September (Tuesday-Thursday): Seamless Middle East, Dubai, UAE.

28-30 September (Monday-Wednesday): Transport Logistics Middle East, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

OCTOBER

12-14 October (Monday-Wednesday): The Airport Show, Dubai, UAE.

21-22 October (Wednesday-Thursday): Global Ports Forum, Singapore.

26-29 (Monday-Thursday): Air Cargo Forum, Miami, US.

27-29 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Routes World, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

NOVEMBER

2-5 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

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