Good morning, friends. The news cycle has slightly slowed down after a busy start this week. Still, we have important ports, capital markets, and data center updates from the UAE and Saudi Arabia. But first, an update on Spain’s trade embargo on Israel…
THE BIG LOGISTICS STORY- Spain announces arms embargo, partial trade ban on Israel: Spain will ban ships and aircraft carrying arms and military-grade fuel to Israel from entering its ports and airspace, in a move aiming at raising pressure against Israel to end its genocidal war in Gaza. Madrid will also place an embargo on goods hailing from Israeli settlements and bar any individual linked to Israel's ongoing aggression from entering the country.
Spain’s not alone: Last week, the Turkish government said it shut down Israel’s access to its ports and airspace over its actions in Gaza, after demanding written pledges from shipping agents to ensure their vessels are not linked to Israel.
The story received some of ink in the int’l media: Reuters | Politico | CNN | Washington Post | The Guardian
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- The Iraqi gov’t is looking to set up a crude oil pipeline bound for Oman’s Ras Markaz terminal, Zawya reports, citing remarks made by Iraqi Oil Marketing Co. (Somo) Director General Ali Nazar. A tentative agreement is in place, with the pipeline's route and capacity still subject to further talks. A feasibility study will help determine whether the pipeline will pass overland or through the Arabian Gulf, Nazar reportedly said.
Baghdad’s geographical pivot: The slated pipeline is expected to supply Iraq’s future storage facility in Oman’s Ras Markaz, for which Somo inked an MoU this week. As per the MoU, Iraq will store its crude in the Ras Markaz terminal — part of Oman’s Special Economic Zone at Duqm — at an initial capacity of 10 mn barrels.
Bypassing Hormuz: An Iraq-Oman pipeline would circumvent the Strait of Hormuz, a supply bottleneck that moves about a third of the world’s crude volumes. Iran has threatened to close earlier this year amid its conflict with Israel — rattling the global oil markets and regional crude producers. The waterway is essential for Iraq’s crude exports — with some 83% of the country’s oil exports passing through it.
#2- Qatar + India may wrap up FTA next month: Qatar and India are expected to finalize the terms of reference for a freetrade agreement (FTA) by early October, Reuters reports, citing an unnamed Indian government source. Indian Trade Minister Piyush Goyal will possibly visit Qatar on 6 October to close the agreement, the source told the newswire.
IN CONTEXT- The FTW comes as India ramps up efforts to diversify its trading partners amid the trade standoff with the US, with the country reportedly eying freetrade agreements with Oman, Peru, and Chile this year, Reuters reports. India currently has an active Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement with the UAE, and is reportedly pursuing a wider agreement with the GCC as bloc.
Doha’s big India push: Qatar earmarked USD 10 bn for investments across India’s logistics, infrastructure, technology, manufacturing, food security, and hospitality sectors — among others, Reuters reported last February. The announcement followed a high-level sit-down between Qatar's Emir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and India’s premier Narendra Modi.
#3- Saudi players mull logistics hub in Jordan: Unnamed Saudi firms are exploring setting up a 50k sqm logistics hub in Jordan’s Queen Alia International Airport Freezone, Jordanian Free and Development Zones (JFDZ) Director Abdulhamid Gharaibeh told AlMamlaka TV (watch, runtime: 06:22). JFDZ met with a Saudi Chambers delegation to discuss leasing land for a regional base to support Saudi exports to Iraq, Syria, and potentially Palestine, JDFZ said in a statement.
#4- Adnoc Gas will be added to the FTSE Emerging Index on Monday, 22 September — a move market analysts say could channel more than USD 250 mn in passive inflows into the stock, according to a press release (pdf). The upgrade comes a little under four months after Adnoc Gas was included in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.
REFRESHER- Adnoc Gas raised USD 2.5 bn in its ADX IPO in 2023 before its parent company Adnoc sold down an additional part of its interest in a USD 2.8 bn follow-on offering back in February.
MARKET WATCH-
#1- Oil prices went up this morning on the back of a lower-than-expected Opec+ production hike and concerns over tight supplies due to possible Russia sanctions, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures increased by USD 0.35 to reach USD 66.37 / bbl by 03.35 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained USD 0.32 to trade at USD 62.58 / bbl.
Over in our region: Saudi cut official selling prices for October crude deliveries to Asia, with Arab Light reduced by USD 1 per barrel to a USD 2.2 premium over the Oman/Dubai average, Reuters reported, citing a document it says it had seen. Prices for Arab Extra Light, Arab Medium, and Arab Heavy were also lowered by USD 0.9-1.0 per barrel.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs is expecting a slightly larger oil surplus in 2026, revising its estimate to 1.9 mn bbl/d, up from 1.7 mn bbl / d, with the change tied to faster expected OECD stock builds between late 2025 and late 2026, Reuters reports.
Price forecasts: The investment bank left its 2025 Brent and WTI price forecasts unchanged, and now sees 2026 averages at USD 56 and USD 52, Reuters said. Goldman linked Opec+’s decision to begin unwinding 1.65 mn bbl / d of cuts to still-low OECD commercial stocks, but stressed that the group is likely to retain flexibility and could pause quota increases from early 2026 if inventories begin to rise.
S&P Global is also projecting weaker crude prices by year-end, with dated Brent seen falling toward USD 55 a barrel as Opec+ continues to release additional supply, Reuters reports separately, citing co-president Dave Ernsberger of S&P Global Commodity Insights. Dated Brent under pins more than 60% of global oil trade and serves as a key benchmark for futures pricing.
Prices could dip below that level if surpluses deepen, Russian flows remain steady, and commercial stock-building slows, Ernesberger said. Under such conditions, futures markets could swing into wider contango, with prompt crude priced below forward contracts — a signal of ample supply.
ICYMI- Opec+ will raise output again next month, approving an additional 137k bbl/d from October as part of its accelerated rollback supply cuts. The cartel said that it will continue monthly hikes through September 2026, fast-tracking the return of 1.65 mn bbl/d that was previously set to stay offline until the end of 2026.
DATA POINT-
State-owned OQ Gas Networks (OQGN) expects Oman’s national gas network to grow by 9% — based on our own calculations — to 4.6k km in 2027, up from 4.2k km in December 2024 — on the back of new projects in the works, Oman Daily Observer reports. The gas provider also expects capacity to jump by 6% to 74.5 bn cubic meters (bcm), compared to its current 70.3 bcm capacity. Oman’s total gas supply is expected to reach 44 bcm in 2025.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
Saudi Arabia will host the Smart Ports and Logistics Transformation Summit on Monday, 15 September and Tuesday, 16 September in Jeddah. The summit will host over 40 global and local speakers, industry experts, and policymakers to explore smart port solutions, port operations, and logistics within Saudi Arabia.
The UAE will host the Syria Recovery and Investment Forum on Wednesday, 24 September in Abu Dhabi. The forum will host leaders in business, regional investors, policymakers, and advisory experts to develop practical solutions for Syria’s road to recovery and economic revival.
Turkey will host the Global Freight Summit on Sunday, 28 September until Wednesday, 1 October in Istanbul. The summit will host over 330 attendees and over 250 firms for policy and knowledge and strategies exchange between forwarding partners.
The UAE will host the African & Middle East & Islamic Finance Aviation 100 Awards on Monday, 29 September until Wednesday, 1 October in Dubai. The event aims to highlight and reward the most remarkable transactions closed by airlines and aviation manufacturing and leasing firms.
The UAE will host the Global Rail Transport Infrastructure Exhibition and Conference on Tuesday, 30 September until Thursday, 2 October in Abu Dhabi. The event will be hosted by Etihad Rail and is set to welcome over 200 global speakers and upwards of 20k industry attendees to share innovative solutions and develop partnerships.
Saudi Arabia will host the Saudi Maritime and Logistics Congress on Wednesday, 1 October and Thursday, 2 October in Dammam. It will host over 200 registered exhibitors and some 15k attendees from over 90 countries to discuss AI-powered fleet optimization, shifts in global trade, and intelligence-driven infrastructure.
Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.




