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Saudi and US signs spat of agreements, AviLease to get up to 20 Boeing jets for USD 4.8 bn

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What we're tracking today

TODAY: AviLease’s USD 4.8 bn Boeing order + Terminals Holding USD 1.1 bn investment in Kazakhstan

Good morning, friends. We’re inching closer to the weekend with a brisk read, dominated by investments and earnings updates from the UAE and Saudi. Let’s dive right in.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Suez Canal reduces transit costs: The Suez Canal Authority has introduced a 15% reduction on transit fees for container vessels with a net load over 130k tonnes for 90 days — effective from tomorrow, according to a statement. The move comes “in response to requests from the SCA's clientele of container ships owners and operators, and to encourage major shipping lines to return to transiting through the Suez Canal once more; especially in light of the conducive security conditions in the Red Sea region.”

Would this entice wary shippers? Some major shippers may lack the financial incentive to accelerate their return to the Red Sea route. For example, Maersk forecasts a net income of USD 3 bn if the route’s disruption continues until the end of the year, whereas an earlier return — by the start of 2H — would leave the company barely breaking even.

REMEMBER- Authority head Osama Rabie earlier this week urged global shipping lines to reassess their routes and consider a gradual return to the canal amid improving security conditions in the region.

The route is important to Egypt: Suez Canal transit receipts — a major source of foreign currency for Egypt — dropped 62.3% y-o-y to USD 1.8 bn in FY 2024-25 on the back of Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping vessels, which have disrupted the passage and pushed ships to reroute away from the canal. Net tonnage fell 69.2% and vessel transits were down 52.2%.

#2- Trump kickstarted his Middle East tour with a pledge to lift the longstanding — and crippling — sanctions in place against Syria, the Associated Press reports, citing a speech he delivered in Riyadh. Trump is also set to “say hello” today to Syria’s new leader Ahmed Al Sharaa, while Secretary of State Mark Rubio will meet his Syrian counterpart in Turkey soon.

Background: The move rewards Saudi Arabia’s lobbying efforts in the West to curb unilateral sanctions on Syria to aid reconstruction efforts, and follows earlier temporary sanctions exemptions that the US issued in January to allow transactions with government institutions, the oil sector, and personal transfers in Syria. The exemptions are set to expire on 7 July.

IN OTHER RELATED NEWS- Another sanctions round lands against Iran: The US Treasury Department has added an Iranian firm and three individuals to its expanding sanctions list over the country’s nuclear program, according to a statement. The sanctions target Fuya Pars Prospective Technologists (Ideal Vacuum) for its alleged attempts to help Iran’s Organization of Defensive Innovation and Research (SPND) procure equipment that could be used in nuclear weapons research and development.

On a sanction spree: The Trump administration has raised the heat on Iran as part of a “maximum pressure” campaign aimed at stifling the country’s nuclear program. The campaign saw the US impose a series of sanctions on Iran’s oil trade operation, the latest of which included sanctions on China-based teapot refineries and port terminal operators.

#3- The Chinese government has reportedly rescinded a month-long ban on domestic airlines purchasing and receiving already ordered Boeing-made aircraft, Bloomberg reports, citing unnamed sources. The move comes after the two countries agreed to slash their bilateral tariffs as part of a 90-day trade war ceasefire.

ICYMI-. Chinese airlines sent back at least two Boeing 737 MAX jets that were due to delivery late last month. Fifty Boeing jets are slated for delivery to China in 2025.

Bad news for some: Several regional and global airlines were hoping that the short-lived Boeing ban could open up earlier delivery slots. Riyadh Air — whose first air flight has been delayed due to delivery delays — said last month it was ready to clinch Boeing jets turned away by China. Moscow also offered to acquire Boeing aircraft once a ceasefire with Ukraine came through, whereas airlines from Taiwan and Vietnam were said to be eyeing US-made planes to sweeten the pot during bilateral talks with Washington.

MARKET WATCH-

#1- Oil prices dipped this morning in anticipation of rising US stockpiles, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures dropped by USD 0.39 to reach USD 66.24 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) decreased by USD 0.36 to reach USD 63.31 a barrel by 04.00 GMT. Despite the drop, the rates are at nearly a two-week high.

Meanwhile, Saudi Aramco is set to supply nearly 48 mn barrels of crude oil to China in June, the same as this month’s deliveries, Reuters reports, citing trade sources. The deliveries tally May’s — which represented a 35.5% m-o-m increase from April per our calculations — the highest since 2024 and the first allocation increase to China since the beginning of this year.

#2- Baltic index dips once again: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — fell 1.8% to 1,280 points on Tuesday. The capesize dipped 3.5% to 1,671 points, while the panamax index was down 1.9% to 1,316 points. The smaller supramax index gained seven points to 977.

DATA POINTS-

#1- Jordan’s Aqaba Port saw a 26.3% y-o-y rise in the total number of containers handled to 295k in 1Q 2025, according to the Jordan Shipping Association released last week. The number of full inbound shipments increased by 22.4% y-o-y, while full outbound shipments increased 13% y-o-y.

#2- Revenues across Iraqi ports, including Umm Qasr, Khor Al Zubair, and Abu Flus exceeded IQD 314 bn (c. USD 239.8 mn) in 1Q 2025, according to a statement. The growth in revenues is attributable to development policies implemented across its ports that boosted commercial and economic activities.

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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

The UAE will host the Seamless Middle East from Tuesday, 20 May to Thursday, 22 May in Dubai. The event will cover topics including digital marketing, e-commerce, and retail and merchant payments.

Saudi Arabia will host the Saudi Warehousing & Logistics Expo from Tuesday, 27 May to Thursday, 29 May in Riyadh. The expo will host over 18k supply chain industry professionals and more than 400 exhibitors. It will also explore over 3.5k solutions.

Morocco will host the International Conference on Logistics and Supply Chain Management from Wednesday, 28 May to Friday, 30 May in Casablanca. The conference will cover scientific research, technologies, and environmentally friendly digital solutions in the logistics, transport, and supply chain sectors.

Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.

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Investment Watch

Saudi, US signs spat of agreements in aviation, data centers, and energy trade

Saudi, USA ramp up cooperation: Saudi Arabia and the US finalized 145 agreements totaling USD 300 bn, including in aviation, energy trade, and data centers. The agreements were signed on the sidelines of the Saudi-US summit during US President Trump's visit to the Kingdom.

Context: The agreements are part of USD 600 bn investment package from Saudi, with the remaining half to be announced in the coming months. The Kingdom is set to eventually round out the figure to USD 1 tn in a second phase, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said in his speech at the Saudi-US Business Forum.

Here’s a rundown of the relevant agreements:

  • PIF to order 30 Boeing jets for AviLease: The PIF placed an order for 20 Boeing 737-8 jets for its aviation leasing firm AviLease, with an option for 10 more, according to a statement from Boeing. The White House fact sheet put the total value of the purchases at USD 4.8 bn. This is the first Boeing order to be announced during Trump’s Gulf visit, with expectations for more to come from Qatar and UAE;
  • On the tech + data centers front: Riyadh-based DataVolt plans to invest USD 20 bn in US-based AI data centers and energy infrastructure. Additional commitments from companies including Google, Oracle, Salesforce, AMD, and Uber total USD 80 bn in joint technology investments;
  • Logistics and aviation infrastructure: US firms Hill International, Jacobs, Parsons, and AECOM are engaged in projects including King Salman International Airport, King Salman Park, The Vault, Qiddiya City, and more, generating an estimated USD 2 bn in US service exports;
  • LNG supply pacts: Aramco signed two 20-year agreements for LNG supplies from separate facilities in Texas, as part of a broader push to access 7.5 mn tons annually from its international projects by 2030, CEO Amin Nasser said during the US-Saudi Investment Forum. Aramco is also set to ink MoUs with US utility firm Sempra and LNG producer NextDecade to bring 6.2 mn tons of liquefied natural gas to Aramco annually, Nasser said.

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Investment Watch

UAE’s Terminals Holding to develop Astana airport for USD 1.1 bn

Kazakhstan, UAE expand aviation and trade ties: UAE-based aviation company TerminalsHolding signed a USD 1.1 bn investment agreement with Kazakhstan’s Transportation Ministry to expand the airport in its capital Astana, according to a statement from Kazakhstan’s government. The long-term agreement will see Terminal Holdings build a second runway, a new cargo terminal, and a third passenger terminal. No timeline for the new developments has been given.

The background: The agreement builds on a 2023 preliminary agreement, according to the Kazakh government’s website. It comes as part of Kazakhstan’s broader push to attract foreign investment to its aviation infrastructure, with President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev emphasizing the need for private capital to position Kazakhstan as a regional transit hub between China and Russia.

ALSO- Kazakhstani national railway company Temir Zholy has dispatched its first wheat shipment to the UAE’s Jebel Ali Port via a new logistics corridor, according to a press release. Facilitated by cargo trader IK Trading, the cargo traveled through Turkmenistan and Iran, with transshipment at Bandar Abbas before continuing by sea to the UAE. The average journey time is 18 days.

IN CONTEXT- These agreements come just a day after the UAE and Kazakhstan signed USD 5bn worth of MoUs covering energy, AI, infrastructure, and logistics.

What was signed in the first patch? AD Ports Group and Kazakh shipping company Kazmortransflot signed an MoU to expand their existing collaboration on container shipping in the Caspian Sea, adding another four vessels with a capacity of 780 20-foot equivalent units to support bilateral trade, according to an Abu Dhabi Media Office statement. The two nations will also cooperate on aviation, with the UAE’s Terminals Holding and Kazakhstan’s Transport Ministry also signing an agreement to improve Kazakh aviation infrastructure and operational efficiency, as well as increase bilateral air services.

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Earnings Watch

A mixed bag of 1Q earnings from Agility Global and Air Arabia

Kuwait’s ADX-listed logistics firm Agility Global saw its net income for equity holders dip 30% y-o-y to USD 21.4 mn in 1Q 2025, according to an earnings release (pdf). Management attributed the decline to increased depreciation from new operating leases for growth and higher interest expense following following its listing on the ADX in May — as well as greater debt usage compared to 1Q 2024. The firm posted revenue growth of around 17% y-o-y to USD 1.1 bn during the same period.

Segment breakdown:

  • Menzies Aviation saw revenue growth of 13% y-o-y to reach USD 649 mn, on the back of higher volume growth boosted by new operations in Portugal and Spain, expansion into Serbia, winter activity, and yield improvements;
  • Agility’s fuel logistics arm Tristar reported a 35% y-o-y jump in top line, reaching USD 340 mn, fueled by the new Sri Lanka retail business;
  • Agility Logistics Parks saw 8% y-o-y rise in revenues, boosted by high occupancy in Saudi Arabia.

Looking forward: “We remain cautious of external uncertainties, which may introduce volatility in certain markets. However, the diversification of our businesses, combined with a disciplined and agile strategic approach, positions us well to capture emerging opportunities and deliver sustained value for our shareholders,” Agility Global Chairman Tarek Sultan said.

ICYMI: Agility Global reported bottomline growth of 152.8% y-o-y to USD 128 mn in FY 2024, while top line growth increased 14.5% y-o-y to USD 4.5 bn.

AIR ARABIA-

UAE-based budget airline Air Arabia reported a 26.5% y-o-y jump in net income after tax to AED 305.1 mn in 1Q 2025, up from AED 241 mn in the same period last year, according to the company’s financials (pdf). Revenues rose 14% y-o-y to AED 1.8 bn, driven by increased passenger demand and network expansion, according to its earnings release (pdf). Top line growth helped the firm weather market fluctuations and seasonal challenges that affected the rest of the industry.

A switch around: Air Arabia saw its net income decline 5.1% y-o-y to AED 1.5 bn in 2024. The carrier saw its topline rise 11% y-o-y to AED 6.6 bn, which it attributed then to increased operating capacity, the launch of new routes, and continued network expansion.

What’s next? The budget carrier remains optimistic about its strategic growth in 2025 despite the continuing geopolitical turmoil and economic challenges; however, it indicated that mercurial oil prices, currency fluctuations, and upward price pressure could impact the sector’s performance.

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Also on Our Radar

Updates on shipping, trade, and roads from Morocco, Egypt and UAE

SHIPPING + MARITIME-

XPO expands Moroccan fleet: US-based freight company XPO Logistics has expanded to Morocco by integrating additional shipping routes and deploying a fleet of 60 advanced container trailers, Morocco World News reports. The expansion is set to include a connection between Morocco’s port of Tangier and Spain’s Motril Terminal — which is poised to handle 35% to 40% of XPO’s Europe-Morocco traffic in 2025. The new fleet of trailers aims to enhance load efficiency, boost transport capacity by nearly 50%, and reduce unnecessary voyages to lower fuel consumption.

TRADE-

Turkish sanitary product company Hayat inaugurated an export-bound, USD 60 mn project in Egypt’s Sokhna Industrial Zone, according to a cabinet statement. The new factory will bring Hayat’s tissue paper to an annual production capacity of 60k tons, according to a separate statement. The plant will be fully export-oriented, with annual export sales expected to come in at USD 75 mn.

The new plant brings Hayat’s total investments in Egypt to USD 632 mn, making it the largest Turkish investor in the country, according to a statement (pdf) from the company. The Turkish player is positioning Egypt as a regional manufacturing and export hub serving more than 60 markets.

And more investments in the pipeline: Hayat is planning to bring two new factories online in Egypt — one by 1Q 2026 and another in late 2026, Hayat Egypt’s General Manager Şenol Keserlioğlu told EnterpriseAM. The first will focus exclusively on exports, while the second will split its output between domestic and export markets, he said without disclosing further details.

ROADS-

Dubai's RTA set to open 116 tenders to the private sector: Dubai's Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) is launching 116 tenders and auctions for private sector participation, including SMEs, in 2025, Wam reports. The tenders cover services, consultancy, infrastructure, IT, ins., operations, maintenance, and investment, and look to increase public-private partnerships.

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Logistics in the News

Aviation’s emissions problem requires reducing flight numbers, advocates argue

Efforts to curb aviation’s massive carbon emissions will not work unless the industry limits flight numbers, a group of industry professionals told the Guardian last week. Instead, the industry is locked in a business model that pursues more flight numbers — and growing bottomline margins — while expecting future innovations in emissions-cutting tech to mitigate the resulting pollution, the organization Call Aviation to Action said. At the current pace, aviation would eventually account for roughly one-quarter of the world’s emissions, former industry official and the group’s co-founder Karel Bockstael.

Insufficient climate measures: The industry’s current reliance on carbon credits to offset its emissions would have adverse effects, risking not only climate change but also the future of the industry itself, Bockstael said in a criticism pointed at the UN aviation body the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). The group has also pointed to lagging innovations in climate tech, like delays in hydrogen-powered tech and alternative aviation fuels.

The alternative? Call Aviation to Action proposes that carbon budgets be deployed instead, alongside the rollout of short-term emissions targets that incumbent leaders can implement while in power.

7

Around the World

Trump trims tariffs on imported Chinese packages below USD 800

Trump cuts levies on select China goods: US President Donald Trump has slashed levies on Chinese packages valued at up to USD 800, bringing down the so-called ‘de minimis’ tariff from 124% to 54% with a flat fee of USD 100, Reuters reports, citing a White House official. The move is a partial reversal of the US effort to close what was dubbed the “de minimis loophole,” which saw Chinese firms ship goods in bulk into Mexico and break them into small packages before entering the US to circumvent duties that are normally applied to larger shipments.

SOUND SMART- What is de minimis? De minimis is a legal term referring to matters too small to concern the courts and whose impact is arguably negligible. The Latin phrase directly translates to "the law does not concern itself with trifles."


12-15 May (Monday-Thursday): Saudi Smart Logistics, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

13-14 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Egypt Facility Management Forum, Cairo, Egypt.

13-14 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Ports Forum, Dubai, UAE.

15-18 May (Thursday-Sunday): Global Logistics Conference, Dubai, UAE.

20-22 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Seamless Middle East, Dubai, UAE.

20-22 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Mediterranean Ports and Logistics 2025, Barcelona, Spain.

27-29 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Saudi Warehousing & Logistics Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

28-30 (Wednesday-Friday): International Conference on Logistics and Supply Chain Management, Casablanca, Morocco.

JUNE

1-3 June (Sunday-Tuesday): Annual General Meeting & World Air Transport Summit 2025, Delhi, India.

2-4 June (Monday-Wednesday): Propak MENA, Cairo, Egypt.

5-6 June (Thursday-Friday): Supply Chain & Logistics Innovation Summit, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

11-13 June (Wednesday-Friday): Sustainability World Summit, Frankfurt, Germany.

17-19 June (Tuesday-Thursday): Terminal Operations Conference & Exhibition, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

18-19 June (Wednesday-Thursday): Eurasia Rail, Istanbul, Turkey.

19 June (Thursday): East Med Maritime Conference, Athens, Greece.

25-26 June (Wednesday-Friday): Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, Hamburg, Germany.

JULY

1-3 July (Tuesday-Thursday): ASEAN Ports and Logistics, Jakarta, Indonesia.

22-24 July (Tuesday-Thursday): Intermodal Africa, Beira, Mozambique.

SEPTEMBER

1-3 September (Monday-Wednesday): Transport Middle East 2025, Salalah, Oman.

4-10 September (Thursday-Wednesday): Intra-African Trade Fair, Algiers, Algeria.

7-10 September (Sunday-Wednesday): Comex Global Technology Show, Muscat, Oman.

24-26 September (Wednesday-Friday): Routes World, Hong Kong.

30 September - 2 October (Monday-Thursday): Global Rail Transport Infrastructure Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

OCTOBER

1-2 October (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Maritime & Logistics Congress, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

14-15 October (Tuesday-Wednesday): Investing in Africa Conference and Expo, London, UK.

28-30 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Borneo International Maritime Week, Sarawak, Malaysia.

NOVEMBER

3-6 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

4-6 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Air Cargo Forum, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

17-21 November (Monday-Friday): Dubai Airshow, Dubai, UAE.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

Mid-2025: Iraq will complete phase one of the construction of the Grand Faw Port.

DHL and Aramco’s logistics and procurement hub in Saudi Arabia will commence operations.

AD Ports-operated Safaga Port’s multi-purpose terminal will become operational.

Phase 3 of APM Terminals Tangier MedPort to be complete and operational.

1Q 2025: Sadr Park’s Logistics Center in Riyadh to be completed.

1Q 2025: Phase two of Jafza Logistics Park to be completed.

2026

27-29 January (Tuesday-Thursday) Transport Middle East 2026, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

28-30 April (Tuesday-Thursday) Mediterranean Ports and Logistics, Porto, Portugal.

24-26 June (Wednesday-Friday) Transport Logistic & Air Cargo 2026, Shanghai, China.

7-9 July (Tuesday-Thursday) Asean Ports and Logistics, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

17-19 November (Tuesday-Thursday) Intermodal Africa 2026, Luanda, Angola.

2027

4Q 2027: Oman’s Musandam Airport construction to be completed.

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