Good morning, ladies and gents. It’s a very brisk read this morning as the Ramadan news cycle slowdown intensifies in the runup to Eid. We have the latest on DP World’s Congo port project, some M&A updates we’re tracking this morning, and a look at the latest output revisions from Opec+. But first, another development on the global trade war front…
THE BIG LOGISTICS STORY- EU hits the brakes on revenge plans: The EU has postponed its retaliatory tariffs on US goods until mid-April to mull which US goods to target while offering the US extra negotiation time. The move came after the bloc announced tariffs on EUR 26 bn worth of US goods starting in April in response to the US’ recent 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. The US then hit back threats to impose up to a 200% tariff on wine, cognac and other alcohol imports from Europe.
Trump promises flexibility: US President Donald Trump indicated there will be flexibility in his reciprocal tariff slap after giving top US automakers a one-month exemption prior to import duties.
Stay ahead or get left behind: Tariff fears are already driving up building contractor prices by as much as 20% as developers anticipate rising material costs due to US tariffs on Canadian lumber, real estate developer Related Group Jon Paul Pérez told CNBC. The tariffs could also push Canadian lumber producers to relocate operations to the southern US in search of new markets.
The story grabbed ink in international press: Reuters | The Associated Press | Bloomberg | The New York Times | BBC | CNN | CNBC
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- More movement on Mubadala’s Getir acquisition: Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Mubadala has inched closer to acquiring four units of its majority-owned, Istanbul-based delivery platform Getir after it lined up approval from the Turkish Competition Authority, Asharq Business reports, citing a statement by the regulator.
IN CONTEXT- Mubadala secured shareholder approval in January to separate Getir’s profitable local grocery delivery operations from the company’s noncore businesses — a move the fund says is necessary to stabilize the company, whose valuation fell to USD 2.5 bn in 2023 from USD 11.8 bn in 2022 amid cashburn and exits from key markets. The wealth fund applied for sole ownership of Getir’s grocery and food delivery businesses with Turkish antitrust authorities in September, after acquiring a controlling stake in the company back in June, leading a USD 250 mn funding round tied to the company’s restructuring.
#2- Gulf Cooperation Council member states are moving to apply anti-dumping duties on Chinese aluminum imports, according to a statement released last week. The committee has recommended that definitive duties be placed on all imports of aluminum alloy products originating from or exported directly from China, including alloy sheets, plates, coils, and strips with a thickness of 2 mm to 8 mm.
Lining up protective measures? US President Donald Trump ordered a 25% tariff on all imports of steel and aluminum last month. The tariffs particularly impact key US metal suppliers in Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Japan, the EU, South Korea, Vietnam, and Taiwan.
#3- Kuwaiti firms are competing for Egypt’s airport projects with plans reportedly set to be revealed within the next five months, a government source told Ashraq Business on Thursday. Egypt first revealed plans in 2023 to invite private sector players, including foreign companies, to take over the management of airports in the country in order to improve services and increase state revenues. The International Finance Corporation was reportedly expected to reach an agreement on the privatization plan for the management of 11 airports earlier this month, with the first phase offering up management of Hurghada Airport, followed by Sphinx Airport.
The bigger picture: Kuwait is looking to boost its investments in Egypt by some 20% y-o-y to USD 5.3 bn in 2025 — setting its eyes on transport, green hydrogen, tourism, agriculture, manufacturing, pharma, banks, and renewable energy, the source added. The move looks to expand economic cooperation and trade between the two countries, who currently exchange some USD 3 bn worth of trade per year.
#4- The US has agreed to extend a sanctions waiver for Turkey to allow the country to continue purchasing Russian natural gas until May 2025, Bloomberg reported on Thursday. The previous three-month exemption was set to expire on 20 March. Over 45% of Turkey’s gas imports came from Russia in 2024.
REFRESHER- The US slapped new sanctions on mega Russian private-owned bank Gazprombank in November 2024. Transactions related to Russia’s far east oil and gas project Sakhalin-2 will be exempt from sanctions until 28 June 2025. The US granted an exception for Turkey and Hungary’s outstanding gas payments to Gazprombank.
#5- Iraq will raise oil output to over 6 mn barrels per day (bpd) in 2028-29, Deputy Oil Minister Basim Mohammed Khudair told Iraq News Agency. The government plans to reach the goal via nationwide exploration and drilling efforts in tandem with six incoming licensing rounds. A final agreement with global energy giant BP will be announced soon in regards to developing four major oil fields in Kirkuk governorate, Khudair said.
MARKET WATCH-
#1- Oil prices dipped in early morning trading as investors mull the landscape left behind if a ceasefire is reached between Russia and Ukraine, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures slipped USD 0.25 to USD 71.91 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell by USD 0.20 to USD 68.08 a barrel by 04.09 GMT. Both benchmarks recorded a second consecutive weekly gain on Friday on the back of fresh US sanctions on Iran and news of revised Opec+ output plans.
Over-exporting Opec+ nations to make further cuts: Opec+ nations who have exported more than agreed upon levels make further oil outputs in the coming months to compensate for overproduction, the group said in a statement that was picked up by Reuters on Thursday.
The output reductions will come primarily from Iraq, Kazakhstan, and Russia, however Algeria, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Oman are also part of the compensation plan. Cuts from the group, set to be between 189k and 435k barrels a day, are likely to overtake planned production hikes next month, Reuters said.
Unplanned increase: The decision was made following Kazakhstan’s recent rise in production which exceeded its Opec+ quota by 300k bbl / d, driven by Chevron’s expansion at the country’s largest oilfield Tengiz.
REMEMBER- Earlier this month the group agreed to go ahead with production hikes next month in April despite a dip in Chinese demand and increased US output threatening market prices. This included a planned hike to the UAE’s production quota.
#2- Baltic index ticks up: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — was up 8 points to 1,643 on Friday. The capesize climbed 6 points to 2,676, while the panamax index gained 18 points to 1,375. Only the smaller supramax index grew 2 points to 1,012 — rising to more than a four month high.
#3- The Drewry World Container Index decreased 4% to USD 2,264 per 40-ft container on Thursday, according to the latest index readings. Spot rates for 40-ft containers are at their lowest since January 2024 and 78% below the previous pandemic peak, but remain 59% above the pre-pandemic rate of USD 1.4k. The average composite index YTD is USD 3,127 per 40ft container, which is USD 242 higher than the 10-year average rate of USD 2,885.
PSA-
CMA CGM to roll new PSS: French giant CMA CGM will implement a Peak Season Surcharge (PSS) of USD 150 for every dry, reefer and hazardous containers shipped from Portugal to the West Mediterranean, East Mediterranean, Adriatic, and North Africa — excluding Morocco and the Black Sea, according to a statement released last week. The PSS will be implemented starting 1 April, 2025 until further notice.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The UAE will host the Gulf Ship Finance Forum on Thursday, 10 April in Dubai. The forum will host shipping and finance executives from around the region and the world to host presentations, interviews, and panel discussions on ownership, management, chartering, legal, and trading in shipping.
The UAE will host the CargoIS Forum on Monday, 14 April in Dubai. The event will discuss industry insights and strategies from leading logistics players, including Emirates SkyCargo and Lufthansa Cargo.
The UAE will host the IATA World Cargo Symposium from Tuesday, 15 April to Thursday, 17 April in Dubai. The event will host sessions, specialized streams, workshops, and summits related to technology, security, customs, cargo operations, and sustainability for over 1.4k industry leaders.
Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.




