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Turkey and Shell ink 10-year LNG supply agreement for 4 bcm annually

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What we're tracking today

TODAY: Turkey and Shell ink 10-year LNG supply agreement

Good morning, folks. Apologies for the late arrival this morning, we were busy unpacking the freshly released Egypt and Saudi PMI readings that dropped mere hours ago to deliver you all the need-to-know information on last month’s purchasing activity. Let’s jump right in.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Qatar Airways is reportedly close to finalizing its acquisition of a minority stake in Bain Capital-owned Virgin Australia Airlines within days, according to the Australian Financial Review. The agreement will be conditional on receiving approval from the Foreign Investment Board and could threaten Australia’s flagship carrier Qantas’ stronghold on domestic routes, the outlet added. News emerged in July that Qatar Airways is eyeing a 20% stake in Virgin Australia.

#2- Egypt explores setting up an African investor-focused freezone: Egypt’s industry, transport, and investment ministries are mulling the creation of a freezone for African investors as part of the government’s long-term goal of increasing trade with the continent, Al Borsa reports, citing sources it says have knowledge of the matter. African investors are increasingly turning to countries with better-developed infrastructure to produce their goods, after which they re-export them to their home markets, sources said.

Remember: The new Madbouly cabinet has placed a special emphasis on increasing trade with the rest of Africa via the African Continental Freetrade Area (AfCFTA) — which seems to be picking up steam — and the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA). African exports will also be supported by new trade missions, with added support for companies targeting exports to Africa also on the cards.

ALSO- A wave of Indonesian investments incoming? Indonesia plans to ink USD 3.5 bn worth of trade and investment agreements with African countries — with a particular focus on Egypt, Kenya, South Africa, and Nigeria — as it looks to expand its investment portfolio outside its usual trade partners, Bloomberg reports, citing a senior diplomat with knowledge of discussions. Areas of focus include the gas, healthcare, and agriculture sectors. Agreements will be announced during the Indonesia-Africa Forum that will wrap up today, according to Indonesia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Pahala Mansury.

#3- Gulf Mercantile Exchange is now live: The Dubai Mercantile Exchange changed its name to Gulf Mercantile Exchange yesterday, following Tadawul Group’s acquisition of a 32.6% stake in the energy and commodities trader back in June.

How they’re positioning it: The name change reflects GME’s ambitions to grow both regionally and globally, it said yesterday.

#4- The London Metal Exchange (LME) is considering listing Jeddah Islamic Port as a new aluminum delivery center, joining other centers in New York, Shanghai and London, Aleqtesadiah reports, citing sources it says have knowledge of the matter. The move would boost the Kingdom’s position as a global hub for metal storage, trade, and distribution and comes on the heels of the LME deciding in July to list Jeddah as a warehouse delivery point for copper and zinc.

MARKET WATCH-

#1- It was a mixed bag for oil prices in early morning trading with brent prices falling and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices edging up, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures fell USD 0.37 to USD 77.15 a barrel by 05.25 GMT on the back of weaker than expected PMI data emerging from China and demand concerns. US WTI prices rose USD 0.29 to trade at USD 73.84 due to the country’s Labour Day weekend.

#2- Baltic index is making a big comeback: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — surged 13.5% to 1,919 points on Monday, marking its highest increase since mid-July. The capesize index increased 28% to 3,248 points, boosted by coal and bauxite shipments to China. The panamax index dipped to its lowest record in over a year at 1,305 points, while the smaller supramax index lost 17 points to 1,289 points.

#3- Saudi Arabia and Algeria boost LPG prices for September: Saudi Aramco and Algeria’s Sonatrach have increased official selling prices for liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) for September by 3% to 13% compared to August on the back of increased global demand, traders told Reuters.

DATA POINTS-

#1- Saudi Arabia’s e-commerce logistics market is projected to grow at a 10.9% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) between 2024 and 2029 to reach USD 3.32 bn, while the 2024 forecast is estimated at USD 2.02 bn, according to data by Mordor Intelligence. E-commerce is expected to see SAR 49 bn (USD 13.07 bn) in revenues by 2025.

#2- The UAE has a 42% share of the Gulf Cooperation Council market for data centers, AlEtihad reports, citing the Data Center Map. The UAE operates a total of 30 data centers — 16 in Dubai, 12 in Abu Dhabi, one in Al Ain, and one in Sharjah, while Saudi has 25. Egypt, meanwhile, is home to 14, Data Center Map writes.

The fine print: Al Etihad’s metric is a bit blunt — being home to 42% of the region’s data centers doesn’t necessarily correlate to market share of contract value, of data housed, or other metrics.

#3- Moroccan ports recorded a 15.3% y-o-y increase in commercial cargo volumes to 116.4 mn tonnes in 1H 2024, Atalayar reports, citing data from the Ministry of Equipment and Water. The movement of goods within the country saw a 13% y-o-y growth to 60.8 mn tonnes, while transshipment traffic surged 17.8% y-o-y to 55.6 mn tonnes during the same period.

#4- The Qatari port authority (Mwani) handled 115k TEUs in August 2024, a 40% y-o-y increase, according to a statement. The port operator processed 111k tons of general and bulk cargo, 10.8k Ro-Ro units, and 24k heads of livestock.

Also in Qatar- Hamad Port handled 113k container TEUs, 10k Ro-Ro units, and 71k freight tons of breakbulk cargo in August, according to a statement.

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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

Saudi Arabia will host SkyMove MENA on Tuesday, 10 September and Wednesday, 11 September in Riyadh. The event will gather global industry stakeholders, experts, and service providers to discuss challenges in the regional aviation industry.

The UAE will host the Intelligent Transport Systems World Congress from Monday, 16 September to Friday, 20 September in Dubai. The Congress is expected to welcome 20k participants to explore innovations in smart mobility and transportation technology.

Saudi Arabia will host the Saudi Maritime and Logistics Congress on Wednesday, 18 September and Thursday, 19 September in Dammam. The event will gather international industry leaders in the maritime sector to discuss a range of topics including interconnected logistics, supply chains, digitalization, decarbonization and workforce development.

Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.

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Trade

Turkey and Shell ink 10-year LNG supply agreement for 4 bcm annually

Turkey + Shell sign LNG supply agreement: British gas giant Shell has inked a 10-year LNG agreement with Turkey’s Botas Petroleum PipelineCorporation (Botas) to supply the country with 4 bn cubic meters (bcm) of gas a year from its US and global portfolio starting 2027, according to statement. The financial details of the agreement were not disclosed.

In numbers: The agreement will account for around 8% of the country’s total gas demand in 2023, Bloomberg reports, citing data from the national energy regulator. Turkey relies heavily on imported gas to meet its consumption needs and imported 14.3 bn cubic meters of LNG, which accounted for 28.3% of the 50.5 bcm it used last year, Reuters added.

Turkey is on a roll: Botas signed a 10-year supply agreement with Exxon last May to purchase up to 2.5 mn tons of LNG annually from the US supplier.

Positioning exports: The new supply agreements hints at Turkey positioning itself as a hub for EU LNG supply, Bloomberg writes. The country already supplies small volumes to the block and typically acquires pipeline gas from Russia, Azerbaijan, and Iran.

Tags:
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M&A Watch

DP World acquires Hong Kong’s Cargo Services Far East

DP World expands into retail logistics: DP World has fully acquired Hong Kong-based logistics firm Cargo Services Far East, expanding its global footprint to over 115k employees across 800 locations, according to a press release. Neither party put a price tag on the transaction, but Bloomberg suggested back in April that it would be in the USD 300-400 mn range.

Where it stands: The acquisition is complete, with plans for the “full integration” of Cargo Services into DP World’s portfolio set for the coming months. Cargo Services’ founder and managing director, John Lau, will stay on in a senior role “to ensure a seamless transition.”

We knew this was coming: DP world was reportedly finalizing the acquisition in April. EnterpriseAM Logistics first caught wind of the talks back in November, with sources at the time saying the transaction could be worth as much as USD 800 mn.

What’s in it for DP World? By year’s end, DP World will operate more than 200 freight forwarding offices with exposure to as much as 95% of global trade flows.

About Cargo Services: Founded in 1989, Cargo Services has offices in 35 cities in China, Singapore, Australia, South Africa, and the US, operating in cold chain logistics, ocean and freight shipping, and fashion distribution.

DP World is on an expansion spree, most recently creating a JV with Turkey’s Evyap Group to manage two major Turkish ports. The firm also acquired Laos-based port operator Savan Logistics in May. In March, DP World inked an agreement with Brazil’s leading railway operator Rumo to build a new terminal for grains and fertilizers at Port Santos and said that it plans to develop a USD 50 mn logistics center in South Korea’s Busan New Port, slated to be operational by 2Q 2026.

4

Purchasing

Egypt and KSA non-oil private sector activity shows continued expansion in August

How Saudi + Egypt’s non-oil private sectors performed in August: Purchasing manager indices (PMI) tracking non-energy sectors in the two countries were bittersweet in August. Egypt rose above the 50.0 mark threshold for the first time in some four years, buoyed by growth in nearly all sub-indices, yet inflation rates jumped up causing a marginal drop in new orders. Saudi Arabia also held above the threshold, as new orders drove up purchasing, but softened output rates underpinned growth.

REMEMBER- The all-important 50.0 mark is the threshold separating contraction from growth. Anything above 50 denotes expansion, while anything below indicates contraction.

First up, Egypt: Non-oil activity in Egypt markedly rose, driven upwards by growing output levels, employment rates, purchasing activity and new exports, despite a rise in inflation rates due to a weakening in national currency value against the USD, according to S&P Global’s Egypt PMI (pdf). Egypt’s headline purchasing manager’s index rose noticeably to 50.4 in August, climbing up from 49.7 in July, indicating the first advancement in the health of the non-oil private sector in almost four years.

Overall output levels grew for the first time in exactly three years, as demand stabilized, on the back of rising new exports and easing marco-economic conditions. “Business expectations were also up, adding to signs that firms are hopeful that economic conditions are set to be more stable,” S&P Economist David Owen noted.

Firms are boosting operations for the first time in three years, marked by an increase in purchasing activity and stock levels. Employment rates also rose for the second month running.

Inflation rates jumped up for the third consecutive month, placing an elevated price pressure on the non-oil private sector, as cost and charges rose at their fastest rate in five months. With costs driven up by a fall in the exchange rate against the USD. New orders dropped, although only slightly, for the second month in a row. Delivery times jumped up in August, pushed up by growing transport costs. Firms also boosted staff wages, in response to cost-of-living pressures.

Over in Saudi Arabia: Non-oil business activity in the Kingdom continued to grow at slow but steady pace in August, with new orders, purchasing activity and employment rising despite a slightly sluggish output levels and a drop in selling prices, according to Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia PMI (pdf). The headline reading rose up to 54.8 in August, from 54.4 in July, growing upwards for the first time since February.

Selling prices dropped in effort to harness demand, as output levels rose at the lowest rates since early 2022. Firms reported difficulties expanding sales due to growing market competition, with purchasing activity and new orders remaining muted in comparison to activity over the past few years.

A slight uptick in new orders and a boost in government investment drove purchasing activity upwards, with stock purchases sharply rising. The nation’s non-oil market was buoyed by growing new exports, as firms recorded a significant upturn in foreign sales. In turn, input cost pressures softened to their lowest rate in just over a year, supported by a slower rise in overall purchase costs.

Employment rates grew at one of the fastest rates in a decade, as firms look to boost output and streamline operations. Signaling that “national businesses are increasingly confident in their expansion plans,” with employment growth “being a key driver of momentum in August,” Riyad Bank Chief Economist Naif Al-Ghaith said in the report. Subsequently, backlog rates fell at the swiftest pace in over four years.

Upbeat sentiment in Egypt + KSA: Egypt’s PMI signals that “business conditions are on the mend,” Owen says, with improving market conditions driving up market confidence to their highest level in over two years. However, growing price pressures pose a risk, as they harbor the potential to “limit spending and weaken market recovery,” Owen stresses. Over in Saudi Arabia, non-oil firms were more optimistic about future activity, with forecasts for the year ahead boosted to their strongest in nearly six months.

5

Moves

DHL Supply Chain taps new CCO for EMEA Region

DHL taps new CCO for EMEA Region: DHL Supply Chain has appointed Andries Retief (LinkedIn) as the new Chief Commercial Officer for the Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) region, according to a press release (pdf). Since 2009, Retief has held several positions at DHL in several departments including finance, transportation, operations, and country management. He recently led DHL Supply Chain in Southeast Asia and helped drive the company’s heightened growth in several countries.

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Around the World

Cosco Shipping commissions 42 new bulk carriers for USD 2 bn

Cosco Shipping reveals its largest shipbuilding agreements yet: Shanghai-based shipping giant Cosco Shipping has inked two USD 2 bn agreements for 42 new bulk carriers across its affiliated Cosco Shipping Heavy Industry and CSSC Chengxi Shipyard, China-based Xinde Marine reported. Cosco Heavy yards will construct 20 vessels and Chengxi will build 22. The vessels — slated for delivery in 2026-2027 — will be leased to outfits operating under Cosco Shipping Bulk.

Cosco’s been making regional moves: Cosco Shipping Line is set to invest USD 375 mn to increase its container capacity at various Egyptian ports this year. Cosco and Hong-Kong port operator Hutchison Ports were among the companies that signed agreements worth USD 1.6 bn in March 2023 to develop new container terminals at Ain Sokhna and Damietta Ports. Cosco subsidiary Cosco Shipping Port (CSP) partnered with Abu Dhabi Ports in 2018 to launch CSP Abu Dhabi Terminal at Khalifa Port, which has a design capacity of 2.5 mn TEUs and initial handling capacity of 1.5 mn TEUs. The shipping firm also launched its first Moroccan branch in Casablanca earlier this year.


2-4 September (Monday-Wednesday): Saudi Warehousing & Logistics Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

3-5 September (Tuesday-Thursday): Egypt International Airshow, El Alamein, Egypt.

10-11 September (Tuesday-Wednesday): SkyMove MENA, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

12 September (Wednesday): Deadline for companies to submit bids for expansion and operation of Baghdad’s International Airport.

18-19 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Maritime & Logistics Congress, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

23-25 September (Monday-Wednesday): WorldFreezonesOrganization’s Annual International Conference and Exhibition (AICE), Dubai, UAE.

23-26 September (Monday-Thursday): Freight Summit Global Conference, Dubai, UAE.

25-26 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Global Aerospace Summit, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

30 September - 2 October (Monday-Wednesday): African, Middle East & Islamic Finance Aviation 100 Awards, Dubai, UAE.

OCTOBER

6-8 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Routes World 2024, Bahrain.

8-10 October (Tuesday-Thursday): The Global Rail Transport Infrastructure Exhibition and Conference(Global Rail), Abu Dhabi, UAE.

7-9 October (Monday-Wednesday): AFSIC – Investing in Africa, London, UK.

8-10 October (Tuesday-Thursday): AntwerpXL Expo, Antwerp, Belgium.

12-14 October (Saturday-Monday): Global Logistics Forum 2024, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

13 October (Sunday): International Transport Workers’ Federation (ITF) Congress, Marrakesh, Morocco.

16-17 October (Monday-Tuesday): Global Airport & Aviation Forum, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

21-22 October (Monday-Tuesday): Smart Ports & Logistics Transformation Summit, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

22-24 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Asean Ports and Logistics, Johor, Malaysia.

22-24 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Global Ports Forum, Singapore.

26-27 October (Saturday-Sunday): International Conference on Tourism, Transport, and Logistics, Dubai, UAE.

NOVEMBER

11-12 November (Monday-Tuesday): World Advanced Manufacturing Logistics Summit & Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

11-12 November (Monday-Tuesday): Saudi Airport Exhibition, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

13-15 November (Wednesday-Friday): The Bahrain International Airshow, Sakhir Airbase, Bahrain.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): The Heavy Equipment and Truck Show, Damman, Saudi Arabia.

19-21 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Saudi International Maritime Forum, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): G20 Summit, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

20-21 November (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Rail Exhibition, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

DECEMBER

2-3 December (Monday-Tuesday) Wings of Change Middle East, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

10-11 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Rail Industry Summit, Casablanca, Morocco.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Business Aviation, Dubai, UAE.

20 December (Wednesday): The Iran-Senegal Joint Economic Cooperation Commission, Dakar, Senegal.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

IATA Annual General Meeting (AGM) and World Air Transport Summit, New Delhi, India.

1H 2024: Civil Construction subcontracts for construction firms in Oman for implementation of the Abu Dhabi - Suhar rail link to be announced.

2H 2024: Bahri’s barges for Saline Water Conversion Corporation (SWCC) to begin initial and commercial operation.

King Salman Energy Park is set to become operational.

The Cross-Border Digital Trade Forum, Dubai.

2025

FEBRUARY

4-5 February (Tuesday-Wednesday): Seatrade Maritime Qatar, Doha, Qatar.

APRIL

16-17 April: Global Ports Forum, Dubai, UAE.

Mid-2025: Iraq will complete phase one of the construction of the Grand Faw Port.

DHL and Aramco’s logistics and procurement hub in Saudi Arabia will commence operations.

AD Ports-operated Safaga Port’s multi-purpose terminal will become operational.

Phase 3 of APM Terminals Tangier MedPort to be complete and operational.

1Q 2025: Sadr Park’s Logistics Center in Riyadh to be completed.

1Q 2025: Phase twoof Jafza Logistics Park to be completed.

NOVEMBER

4-6 November: The International Air Cargo Association TIACA’s Air Cargo Forum 2025, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

2026

2026 UNCTAD Global Supply Chains Forum, Saudi Arabia.

2027

4Q 2027: Oman’s Musandam Airport construction to be completed.

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