Good morning, nice people. The busy newsweek continues with lots of interesting updates on everything from M&A and shipping to regulation from across the region.
THE BIG LOGISTICS STORY- Pakistan has reportedly rejected AD Ports’ USD 1.2 bn bid for a concession agreement for a Karachi terminal , with the government racing to salvage the agreement before its term ends today. Meanwhile, Egyptian transport firm Egytrans has unveiled the fine print of its acquisition of NOSCO.
HAPPENING TODAY-
3k US sailors and marines touch down in the Middle East to “ensure maritime security”: The US has deployed more than 3k sailors and marines to the Middle East in what is reportedly a move to prevent Iran from interfering with commercial shipping, according to a US Naval Forces Central Command statement. The marines and sailors will join the US fifth fleet area of operations, which encompasses some 2.5 mn sq miles of water including the Arabian Gulf, the Gulf of Oman, the Red Sea, parts of the Indian Ocean, and three critical points in the Strait of Hormuz, Suez Canal, and the Strait of Bab El Mandeb, according to the statement. The deployment aims “to help ensure maritime security and stability in the Middle East region,” the statement said.
ICYMI- The deployment follows reports that commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz will carry aboard US sailors and marines to thwart alleged Iranian attempts over the past few months to hijack commercial ships. The onus will be on commercial ships to request the presence of US forces on dangerous parts of their routes, according to one US official.
DATA POINT #1- Global air cargo demand continued to fall in June, but at the slowest rate in more than a year ,according to an International Air Transport Association (IATA) statement. Global air freight demand, measured in cargo tonne-kilometers (CTKs), fell 3.4% y-o-y during the month, the softest rate of decline since February 2022. Demand fell 8.1% on a half-year basis, IATA added.
Capacity measured in available cargo tonne-kilometers (ACTKs) increased 9.7% y-o-y in June. The hike is considerably lower than the double-digit growth in capacity observed between March and May and reflects carriers’ adjustments to weaker demand, IATA explained. IATA cited declines in global manufacturing and a slowdown in cross-border trade as driving the slump in global air freight volumes.
Middle Eastern carriers bucked global trends: Carriers in the Middle East, however, posted a modest 0.5% y-o-y increase in air cargo volumes in June, recovering from the 2.9% y-o-y decline observed in May, the statement added. Capacity for the month increased 11.1% when compared to the same period last year. On a half-year basis, Middle East volumes fell 5.6% y-o-y, while capacity increased 11.2% y-o-y.
DATA POINT #2- The number of certificates of origin (COs) issued by Saudi Arabia in July reached nearly 35k , according to an Industry and Mineral Resources Ministry statement. This marks an 8.4% m-o-m increase from June, Arab News reports. COs — international trade documents declaring where a commodity or good was manufactured — are widely used for customs clearance, payment management, and import tariff concessions.
WATCH THIS SPACE- Iraq + Kurdistan to set up a committee to resolve oil dispute: Iraq’s federal government and the semi-autonomous region of Kurdistan will form a committee to draft a bill to resolve a dispute around oil exports from the Kurdish region, S&P Global reported. Turkey halted Kurdish oil imports via its port of Ceyhan after an international court ruled against Kurdistan’s independent oil exports in a landmark arbitration case. The suspension of oil flows via Turkey has deprived Mediterranean markets of typically ample volumes of sour crude, S&P Global wrote.
MARKET WATCH - London’s Brent crude is trading at a lower price point than Dubai crude, with the price spread between the two turning negative , according to data by brokerage PVM picked up by Bloomberg. Global benchmark Brent was trading at USD 1.60 below Dubai crude, marking a significant drop from its January price, when it was trading at a USD 3 premium over Dubai crude. Oil supply cuts from major OPEC+ producers Saudi Arabia and Russia have tightened the medium-sour crude market, traders are quoted as saying by the outlet. Saudi official selling prices of grades such as Arab Light have also been hiked repeatedly this year, supporting benchmark Dubai prices. This has coincided with a jump in trading activity for the difference between the two grades, as well as Dubai related contracts, with open interest on the Brent-Dubai spread hitting a record of 67% y-o-y increase a month ago, according to Bloomberg.
These fluctuations could prompt the rerouting of oil flows across the world , making it more attractive to sell barrels produced in and around the Atlantic Ocean to Asian markets, which in turn leads to shifts in premiums paid for certain crude grades as buyers from different locations try to purchase cargoes, the business information service writes.
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