Good morning. The World Bank is reaffirming its faith in Saudi’s growth prospects, upgrading 2025 forecasts citing robust non-oil growth and increasing oil production. Meanwhile, the PIF raised some EUR 1.65 bn from its first EUR-denominated issuance. Let’s dive in.
HAPPENING TODAY-
#1- The Financial Academy Forum kicks off today at King Abdullah Financial District Conference Hall in Riyadh. The annual event will gather over 3k participants from the Saudi financial sector, along with government officials and experts to discuss innovation, AI, sustainability, and finance leadership.
#2- The Global EV & Mobility Technology (GEMTECH) Forum wraps up today in Riyadh. The two-day event features more than 60 speakers holding discussion panels focusing on the latest advancements in electric vehicle technology, battery innovation, charging infrastructure, and autonomous mobility solutions.
#3- The Riyadh International Book Fair is on its seventh day today at Princess Nourah Bint Abdul Rahman University. The event, which runs through next Saturday, features some 2k publishing houses from over 25 countries, with book signings, children’s programs, and new business zones for publishers and literary agents also on the agenda.
WEATHER- Light to moderate thunderstorms are forecast over Jazan, Al Baha, and Makkah, turning heavy in parts of Asir. Hail, strong winds, and fog are likely across these areas, with fog patches also expected along the Eastern Region and Tabuk coasts. Dust-lifting winds may affect parts of Madinah, Tabuk, Al Jouf, and the Northern Borders.
- Riyadh: 35°C high / 23°C low,
- Jeddah: 36°C high / 26°C low
- Makkah: 38°C high / 29°C low.
HAPPENING TOMORROW-
Gas Arabian Services Company (GAS) will begin trading on the Main Market tomorrow, following its approved transfer from the Nomu parallel market last month with a capital of 158 mn shares, according to a Tadawul statement. GAS’s shares will be subject to a 10% daily price fluctuation limit.
PSAs-
Individuals holding any type of visa can now perform Umrah while in the Kingdom, the Hajj and Umrah Ministry said on X on Sunday. The new policy applies to all visa categories, including tourist, visit, work, and transit visas. Visitors can apply for their Umrah visa via Nusuk Umrah platform.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
Russia is planning to introduce a visa-free regime for Saudi citizens, along with travelers from China and Malaysia, Russian news agency Tass reported yesterday, citing pre-reads for the strategic session on tourism development in Russia. The country is targeting an increase in foreign visits from 5 mn currently to 11 mn by 2030.
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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
It’s a mixed bag of news in the international business press this morning, with more noise — and concerns — around the future of AI and surging investments in the sector, as well as updates on trade and tariffs, and the final push for a ceasefire between Gaza and Israel in Egypt.
#1- Concerns mount over the risks of an AI bubble amid spending spree from OpenAI, Nvidia: The bns of USD invested in AI so far, marked by OpenAI topping USD 1 tn in commitments and Nvidia’s spending spree, are based on a “circular,” “interconnected” web of business transactions involving only a handful of firms that cast doubt over the sector and its ability to sustain itself, Bloomberg writes in this morning’s big read. Meanwhile, the Financial Times similarly spotlights OpenAI’s recent transactions, including ones with Oracle, AMD, and Nvidia, highlighting the “fake it till you make it” ethos that has powered the sector so far, and that could blow up if OpenAI isn’t able to honor its funding commitments.
#2- Over in the world of trade, the EU is proposing a 50% tariff on steel imports to match the US’ tariff, but it could hit the UK — the biggest importer of European steel — the hardest. Meanwhile, the World Trade Organization has slashed its growth forecast for global trade next year to 0.5%, down significantly from 1.8% earlier, as the impacts of Trump's tariffs filter through. (Politico | Guardian | BBC)
ALSO GETTING ATTENTION- Tesla launched new affordable models, including a cheaper model Y SUV and sedan, as it looks to revive sales and counter the effects of rising competition in Europe and China. (Reuters | Financial Times | Bloomberg)
CLOSER TO HOME- Officials from Israel, Qatar, and the US, including US special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, are heading to Egypt for the Israel-Hamas peace talks, which are now on their third day. Trump says there’s a “real chance” for an agreement, as officials say the focus is on reaching an agreement on the ceasefire and hostage release, but sticking points around the governance of Gaza and the complete disarmament of Hamas — all part of a later phase — have yet to be addressed. (Bloomberg | Guardian)


