Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. It’s been a grim 24 hours for equity markets, with USD tns wiped off from global markets after a sell-off that took hold at the start of the week.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
Equity markets have endured after a “brutal” sell-off that wiped USD 6.4 tn from global stock markets, triggered by concerns about the US economy potentially slowing faster than expected while the Fed keeps policy rates unchanged.
REMEMBER- Last Friday, the US released its July payroll data, showing slower job growth and unemployment rising to 4.3%. The news caused a big selloff, with stocks and bonds taking a hit. Earlier reports about weak manufacturing and construction only made things worse.
Where the day ended: US markets all ended in the red, despite paring back some of their losses during the day as “encouraging” US services data helped to steady markets. Treasury yields also clawed back some losses following the fresh data. Still, all three major US indexes were down more than 2.5%:
- S&P 500: -3.0%
- Dow: -2.6%
- Nasdaq Composite: -3.4%
Tech shares were among the worst performers, with Nvidia closing down 6.4%, Apple falling 4.8%, and Tesla dropping 4.2%.
Our part of the world wasn’t spared: It was also a sea of red in Middle Eastern markets, with the DFM closing down 4.5%, the ADX falling 3.4%, the EGX falling 2.3%, and Tadawul closing down 2.1%.
Panic mode on: Wall Street’s “fear gauge” — Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) — settled around 38, after peaking at 65, its highest point since the early days of the pandemic. A VIX level above 30 is considered high, indicating significant market fear or uncertainty. While a level below 20 is typically considered low.
Over in the forex and crypto markets:
- JPY: Rose to a seven-month high against the USD.
- Malaysia's MYR: Hit its highest level against the greenback since April 2023.
- BTC dropped to USD 54k on Monday, down from USD 62k on Friday.
WHERE THINGS STAND TODAY- The Nikkei is up in early trading, rising more than 8% within minutes of trading opening this morning to pare back some of its losses from yesterday. The index was down 12.4% yesterday, marking its worst crash since 1987, which added to worries about global market instability.
The story is single-handedly leading the conversation everywhere this morning: FinancialTimes | Bloomberg | Reuters | WSJ | CNBC
MEANWHILE- Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina fled to India yesterday after stepping down following weeks of violent anti-government demonstrations.
Unrelated to this week’s sell-off, Aramco’s shares have had a tough year: Aramco’s shares are down nearly 19% YTD, despite a rally in global oil stocks, weighed down by lower production volumes to comply with OPEC+ output cuts, Bloomberg writes. By comparison, some of the world’s biggest oil companies by revenue have jumped this year — PetroChina is up 18.9% YTD, ExxonMobil is up 12.4% YTD, and Shell is up 1.5% since the start of the year.
BUT- Investors still love Aramco: “Even after this year’s drop in the stock price, investors still value the Saudi company at 14.8 times estimated earnings, about double the valuation of BP Plc and Shell,” the business information service notes.
SPEAKING OF ARAMCO- The company is set to release its 1H 2024 results today, according to its website. You can tune into the audio webcast of its earnings call here. The oil giant’s net income dipped a bit more than 14% in 1Q 2024 to SAR 102.3 bn.
⚠️WEATHER WARNING- Torrential rains continue all over the Kingdom until Friday, with expectations these conditions could persist until the end of next week, according to a warning issued by the National Center for Meteorology (pdf). Jizan already had its fair share of rain and flooding over the weekend.
PSAs-
Businesses subject to withholding tax have to submit their July tax forms by Sunday, 11 August, to avoid a late payment fine of 1% for every 30 days of delay, Zatca said in a statement.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
India-based food manufacturer iD Fresh Foods plans to establish a manufacturing plant in Saudi this year, the company’s CEO for India said in an interview with Deccan Herald. No further information was disclosed. The company produces a range of ready-to-cook food products and currently sells in off-shore markets including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Oman, the UK, and the US, according to its website.
OIL WATCH-
Libya's largest oil field, Sharara, was shut down yesterday, Bloomberg reports citing two unnamed sources it says are familiar with the operations. While the reasons for halting production remain unclear, Libya’s internationally recognized government called it “political blackmail,” without giving further information. Meanwhile, local media suggests it might be due to socio-economic protests or the involvement of Libyan National Army leader, Saddam Haftar. It’s unclear when customers should expect the field to come back online.
By the numbers: The field had a daily output of 270k barrels per day, according to the business information service. This is expected to have a major impact on the country’s total oil output, which has been steady at around 1.2 mn barrels per day in recent months.
Sharara is a joint venture between Libya’s state oil firm National Oil, France’s TotalEnergies, Spain’s Repsol, Austria’s OMV AG and Norway’s Equinor.
OLYMPICS-
Day 10 was nowhere near as eventful as day 9, but here are some of the highlights.
Swedish pole vaulter Armand Duplantis — aka Mondo — was the star of the Paris Olympics yesterday. Mondo secured the pole vault gold and broke his own record suspending the bar 6.25m.
Keep an eye out for Saudi equestrians Ramzy Al Duhami and Abdulrahman Al Rajhi, who qualified for the individual jumping final happening today.
The medal standings now at the Paris Olympics:
- United States (21 gold, 79 overall)
- China (21 gold, 53 overall)
- France (13 gold, 48 overall)
- Australia (13 gold, 33 overall)
- Great Britain (12 gold, 42 overall)
Want to see when your favorite sport is on? Check out the official schedule here.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
Small and medium enterprises regulator Monsha’at will hold a franchise tour of five cities on 12-13 August (Monday and Tuesday). The tour, which starts in Khobar and includes stops in Abha, Qassim, Hail and Jeddah, will showcase success stories in the sector. The tour then picks up with seven stops scheduled for an installment next year.
Cybersecurity training event SANS Riyadh Cyber Leaders August 2024 will run from Sunday, 18 August to Thursday, 22 August at the Hyatt Regency Riyadh Olaya.
The NewGlobal Sport Conference 2024 is happening on Saturday and Sunday, 24-25August, bringing together top figures from sports, esports, gaming, entertainment, and technology. This year’s theme is the Future of Fandom, highlighting fans’ role in building brand equity and revenue.
The eight-week Esports World Cup runs until Sunday, 25 August Riyadh’s Boulevard City. The world’s top esports clubs are competing for a pool of USD 60 mn — the largest purse in esports.
