Good morning, friends. It’s going to be a huge week for KSA — in Dubai. That’s where Saudi officials are already locking horns with leaders of western economies on a final agreement at COP28.
As we reported last week, Saudi is leading the Arab world’s push-back against any agreement that includes a call for a phaseout of hydrocarbons. That’s not going over well with negotiators from the European Union, the United States, and many small island nations.
Today is key: It’s the next-to-last official day of COP28. Pundits expect marathon negotiations over the next 36 or more hours — and it’s not impossible talks will stretch past tomorrow’s deadline.
^^ Scroll down to this morning’s news well for the full rundown on what you need to know.
Need even more on COP? Enterprise Climate has got your back.
HAPPENING THIS WEEK-
You can expect a lot of news out of Beijing, where a China-Saudi investment conference will get underway tomorrow as part of a visit by Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih. More than 700 people are set to attend, including investors, business leaders, and policymakers from both countries.
On the agenda: Two-way investment in everything from finance, tourism, AI, and logistics to agriculture, mining, energy, and manufacturing. The conference is being co-hosted by the Investment Ministry and a wing of the China Chamber of Commerce.
We’re pushing hard on ties with Asia: Al Falih was just in Hong Kong for the Asia Future Investment Initiative Priority Summit, where he talked up deeper cooperation between the Kingdom and Asian economies. Earlier this month, the first Hong Kong-traded ETF of Saudi equities started trading. (We have more in this morning’s news well and Diplomacy roundups, below.)
AND- The Operational Excellence Conference (Opex KSA) takes place tomorrow and Wednesday at the Four Seasons in Riyadh.
WHISPERS-
#1- Is the PIF angling for majority control of Heathrow Airport? That’s the word from TheTimes of London, which reports that at least one other shareholder is edging toward an agreement to sell its shares after PIF and Paris-based equity firm Ardian agreed to buy a 25% stake held by Spanish infrastructure company Ferrovial.
Who’s selling? The Times thinks it’s unlikely to be sovereign wealth funds from Qatar, China, or Singapore. But pension funds from Quebec, Australia, and the UK’s Universities Superannuation Scheme could be in the market. The current shareholder agreement gives all parties the right to sell to PIF at the same price as Ferrovial, the Financial Times adds.
#2- Is PIF about to add another player to its Liv / PGA / European Tour consortium? That’s the word from Bloomberg and CNBC, which say that a consortium led by US sports stalwart Fenway Sports Group has gotten the green light to join the party. Talks on the lash up continue this week ahead of a 31 December deadline for an agreement.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- The US believes Saudi-Israel normalization is still possible despite the war in Gaza, Reuters reports, citing statements by US Energy Envoy Amos Hochstein during an industry event in the UAE. “I think that not every road is a straight road and sometimes it goes in different directions first. But the goal is still the same,” he said. The Kingdom pulled the brake nearly two months ago on a US drive to see us normalize relations.
#2- Fly directly to Tehran? Saudi Arabia and Iran will hold formal talks this week on a possible resumption of direct, scheduled flights between Tehran, Riyadh and other cities, Reuters, reported yesterday, citing statements by an Iranian official to state-affiliated news agency ILNA. The two countries restored diplomatic ties back in March.
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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
Eyes around the region have turned to the border between Egypt and Gaza, where tens of thousands of refugees are being pushed by Israel’s drive into southern Gaza. UN and Arab officials have warned that “the developments we are witnessing point to attempts to move Palestinians into Egypt” and that conditions on the border could “increase pressure for mass displacement into Egypt.” (LA Times | Reuters | UN remarks)
ALSO- Lebanon has called for a nationwide strike in support of Gaza as activists around theworld called for “a global strike on Monday to demand an immediate ceasefire.”
MORNING MUST-READ-
AI nerds and even the simply curious should read Inside OpenAI’s crisis over the futureof Artificial Intelligence. Not the greatest headline ever written, but the deeply reported piece is a must-read if you want to get not just into why Sam Altman got sacked, but think through what “cracks at the heart of the AI movement” the brawl exposed.
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FISCAL POLICY-
#1- The kingdom has lined up a USD 11 bn syndicated loan, Al Jadaan confirms:Finance Minister Mohamed Al Jadaan confirmed news first reported by Bloomberg last month that the Kingdom has secured a USD 11 bn syndicated loan from 14 banks. “Acquiring debt is not worthy of news since it’s the day-to-day business of the debt unit,” Al Jadaan told Al Arabia (watch, runtime: 13:26), adding that the ministry will keep taking advantage of favorable market conditions to take on more debt even if it is “not needed today.” SPA also confirmed the news yesterday.
#2- Tax incentives for relocated HQs, not their for local arms:The 30-year tax breaks announced last week for foreign companies that relocate their regional headquarters to the Kindom will apply only to HQ activities. Their “producing units [in the kingdom] will be subject to tax,” Al Jadaan said during the same interview.
DATA POINT-
The economy shrank again in 3Q on oil supply cuts:Total output contracted 4.4% y-o-y in 3Q 2023 as activity in the oil industry maintained a downward trend, declining by 17%, according to figures from the General Authority for Statistics (pdf). But the non-oil economy continued to grow, rising 3.5% in the same period.
FIRSTS-
A women’s under-20 football national team: The Saudi Arabian Football Federation (SAFF) is for the first time forming a Women’s U20 national team, it said in a statement (pdf). “This initiative is part of the SAFF's broader strategy to create sustainable and clear career paths for aspiring women footballers, reflecting a commitment to the growth of the sport at all levels,” it said.
CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
There’s so much entertainment on offer this week that it’s hard to begin thinking of where to start:
The FIFA Club World Cupwill kick off for the first time in the kingdom tomorrow, running through Friday, 22 December in Jeddah. You can buy tickets here.
The Jeddah Book Fair will run until Saturday, 16 December,with over 1k publishing houses set to attend.
The Fintech Tour will continue until Wednesday, 13 December. The fintech-focused gathering includes more than 15 events, presentations, and meetups involving key local and international speakers in eight cities across the country.
The International Arabian Horse Show kicks off on Wednesday, 13 December and continues through Saturday, 16 December at the King Abdulaziz Center for Purebred Arabian Horses’ headquarters in Riyadh.
Metallica is coming to Riyadh on Thursday, 14 December as part of the eclectic musicfestival Soundstorm. Soundstorm runs 14-16 December with a lineup that also includes Pharrell Williams, Chris Brown and Her, DJs Tiesto and David Guetta, Black Eyed Peas, and others.
Cycling fans have just four days left until the Arab Road Cycling Championship comes to Riyadh, with the event running 15-23 December.
Riyadh will host theTurkish Super Cup finalbetween Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe on Friday, 29 December at Alawwal Park Stadium as part of the Riyadh Season.
Tickets are on sale for the 2024 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix with less than 100 days to go until the racetrack roars to life in Jeddah from 7-9 March. Grandstand, premium hospitality, and general admission tickets are now available.
Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.
