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PIF-backed Scopely moves for USD 1 bn Turkey gaming play

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

US-Saudi nuclear pact could grant Riyadh enrichment rights

Good morning, everyone. We hope you all enjoyed the long weekend and are feeling refreshed as we dive back into a busy news week.

In today’s issue: PIF-backed Scopely is making a USD 1 bn move for Turkey’s Loom Games, data centers dominated 90% of January’s project awards as digital infrastructure takes center stage, and the Kingdom has pledged USD 1 bn toward Gaza’s reconstruction.

WEATHER- Light rain and swirling dust: Showers are expected over western and southwestern highlands, with possible overnight fog in those areas, along with Al Jouf and the Eastern Province. Meanwhile, strong winds stir dust across the Northern Borders, Hail, Tabuk, and eastern Madinah and Makkah.

  • Riyadh: 28°C high / 12°C low;
  • Jeddah: 32°C high / 22°C low;
  • Makkah: 33°C high / 23°C low;
  • Dammam: 30°C high / 14°C low.

Watch this space

ENERGY — Saudi uranium enrichment on the table? A proposed nuclear cooperation agreement with the US could include uranium enrichment on Saudi soil, according to a draft congressional document seen by the Associated Press. The current draft explicitly lists enrichment, fuel fabrication, and reprocessing as potential areas of cooperation once the UN safeguards are in place.

Why it matters: The agreement in its current form could open the door for the Kingdom “to acquire uranium enrichment technology or capabilities — possibly even from the United States,” Kelsey Davenport, the director for nonproliferation policy at the Washington-based Arms Control Association, told the outlet.

It’s part of a larger play: The Trump Administration aims to secure 20 nuclear business agreements with nations around the world, according to the document. Saudi Arabia is on this list, with an agreement expected to be valued at bns of USD.


ENERGY –– Acwa is set to sign the second phase of its 5 GW Turkey renewables framework at COP31 in November, Chairman Mohammad Abunayyan told the Anadolu Agency. The upcoming agreement covers 3 GW of solar, wind, and storage, building on a 2 GW solar agreement signed this month for projects in Sivas and Karaman. Total investment across the full 5 GW is expected to reach USD 5 bn.

The project timeline: Financial close is set for 2027, with electricity expected to hit the grid by early 2028. While the first phase is solar-heavy, the upcoming 3 GW phase will include a mix of solar, wind, and storage.

What’s next? The company is already eyeing avenues in green hydrogen and desalination, leveraging the competitive cost of these initial renewable projects to fuel future energy plays, Abunayyan said.


MANUFACTURING Aramco back at BPCL’s table: Aramco is eyeing an equity slot in Bharat Petroleum Corporation’s (BPCL) planned coastal refinery-cum-petrochemicals complex in India’s Andhra Pradesh, The Economic Times reports, citing an unnamed senior BPCL official. The project — valued at USD 10.5 bn — would sit near Ramayapatnam Port and have a capacity of up to 12 mn tons per year.

Sounds familiar? Aramco was reportedly in talks last year to acquire a 20% stake in the planned complex, with negotiations handled at the government level. The discussions also covered a long-term crude supply agreement tied to the project.


OIL — The Kingdom is reclaiming the lead in India’s crude supply race, stepping in as reduced Russian flows make room for Saudi barrels. Shipments from the kingdom are set to reach 1.26 mn bbl / d in February — the highest since 2019 — with month-to-date arrivals hitting 1.4 mn bbl / d before easing in early March, The Economic Times reported, citing Kpler lead research analyst Sumit Ritoliaat.

Why this matters: Saudi Arabia now tops India’s supplier list for the month, ahead of Russia and Iraq, as sanctioned Russian volumes face geopolitical and compliance hurdles. With Saudi and Iraqi barrels reclaiming some of their market share, the India-MENA energy corridor is adjusting lines around the fate of Russian barrels. For India’s private refiners, Russian barrels are proving to be more trouble than they’re worth, despite higher discounts, given the sanctions and regulatory risks.


BANKING — The Saudi Central Bank (Sama) began enforcing its newfee guidelines for financial institutions on Friday, replacing the previous banking tariff and mandating immediate reductions in fee ceilings for several retail services. The framework consolidates fee regulations for the first time across the entire financial sector — including fintech and payment firms — with banks adopting their third updated version.

The specifics: The manual slashes the maximum administrative fees institutions can charge individuals for certain financing products, Mada card re-issuance, international money withdrawals and purchases, and transfers between bank accounts and e-wallets.

Sports

The Don is back: Cristiano Ronaldo scored twice against Al Hazem on Saturday, ending an absence that lasted three consecutive games with a 4-0 victory that sent Al Nassr to the top of the SPL league table.

Putting rumors to rest: The player — who reportedly dissented over uneven spending by top club backers during the latest transfer window — downplayed the idea that he would be leaving Al Nassr after the game. “I am very happy here. I’ve said it many times, I belong to Saudi Arabia,” he said.

Letting Trump down: US President Donald Trump published a message to the Don “from one GOAT to another,” telling the player “we need you in America. Get going fast,” followed by an AI-generated clip of the two showcasing their football talent in the Oval Office (we can’t make this up if we tried).

Data point

1.4% — that’s how much the Construction Cost Index rose y-o-y in January, according to Gastat data (pdf). Construction costs increased 1.5% y-o-y for the non-residential sector and 1.4% y-o-y for the residential sector, driven by an uptick in labor costs and the cost of renting equipment and machines.

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The big story abroad

Several stories dominate headlines this morning, including the killing of drug cartel kingpin Nemesio Oseguera after a raid by Mexican authorities. Oseguera was a top member of the organization known as Jalisco New Generation Cartel, which is one of the groups behind the smuggling of bns of USD worth of drugs into the US. The operation came after mounting pressure from Washington to prevent the flow of drugs across the border.

On the global stage, the European Commission said it expects Washington to stick to the joint trade agreement inked last year. The Commission demanded “full clarity” on Washington’s next steps and insisted the US honor the agreement, indicating that it will accept no increase in US tariffs. This comes after US President Donald Trump announced he is raising global tariffs to 15%.

Speaking of which, Trump’s newest tariff hike was found to benefit China and Brazil most while heralding higher costs for US allies, namely the UK, the EU, and Japan. US allies are thought to suffer most as their exports have a higher proportion of steel, aluminium, and autos, which are covered by some tariffs that remain in place.

MEANWHILE, IN MARKETS: Crude prices retreated in early trading today after Trump’s pledge to hike tariffs fueled anxieties over a potential slowdown in global economic growth and energy demand.

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2

BIG STORY TODAY

PIF-backed Scopely moves for USD 1 bn Turkey gaming play

Monopoly Go-maker Scopely is moving for majority control of Istanbul-based Loom Games, as it deepens its push into high-growth mobile titles, according to a press release.

The details: The California-based group — which the PIF’s Savvy Games acquired for USD 4.9 bn in 2023 — struck a definitive agreement that values the startup at over USD 1 bn, including earnouts and futures performance-related payouts, co-CEO Javier Ferreira told the Financial Times.

The move brings the studio behind the viral puzzle hit Pixel Flow into the Savvy Games Group fold, which already includes Scopely, Niantic’s gaming division, and ESL Faceit. Loom founders Kübra Gündoğan and Emre Çelik will continue to run the studio, which they founded just last year.

Why it matters

The company is dipping its toes into Turkey’s bustling mobile games market in a bid to diversify its top games lineup and close the gap with the world’s top publisher Tencent.

Not an isolated play: Savvy is also reportedly in late-stage talks to buy Shanghai-based Moonton Technology from ByteDance for USD 6-7 bn as early as this quarter, in what would mark another sizable expansion of its global gaming footprint.

Besides acquisitions, Scopely is also investing “significant amounts of capital” in developing new games in-house, Ferreira told the salmon-colored paper.

Zooming out

The moves come amid slowing growth in the mobile games market. The industry’s growth slowed to 2.9% last year amid slower smartphone sales and fierce competition from other mobile entertainment apps such as TikTok.

Scopely was unfazed: The company logged north of USD 4 bn in revenue last year, with its sales growing by an annual compounded rate of 50% since the PIF’s acquisition, Ferreira said. Growth came primarily on the back of Monopoly Go — which reached USD 6 bn in total player spending last year — and Niantic’s Pokémon Go.


ADVISORS- Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom, and Hergüner Bilgen Üçer provided counsel to Scopely. Aream & Co is the financial advisor to Loom Games, with KECOS and Fenwick & West providing counsel.

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CONSTRUCTION

Data centers dominate project awards in January

The construction sector is kicking off 2026 with a structural pivot: A single SAR 10.1 bn (USD 2.7 bn) contract for a new data center accounted for nearly 90% of all awarded contract value in January, according to data (pdf) from the Saudi Contractors Authority. The contract, awarded by the Saudi Data & AI Authority (Sdaia) for the 480 MW Hexagon Data Center in Riyadh, signals a hard shift in government spending to high-tech digital infrastructure.

Why it matters: The void left by the gigaproject slowdown is being filled by sovereign tech. The premium now is in the highly specialized mechanical, electrical, and plumbing capabilities required to build and cool massive data hubs.

The context

It was a brutal 2025 for traditional contractors. Total contract value dropped 60% y-o-y last year to under SAR 111 bn (USD 30 bn), according to the Saudi Contractors Authority.

The pullback was driven from the top: The Public Investment Fund (PIF) drastically reined in its project spending, accounting for just 14% of total issued contracts compared to 38% in 2024, AGBI reports.

Why? Capital is shifting away from gigaprojects like The Line toward digital infrastructure and medium-term deadlines like the 2030 Riyadh Expo. The government has been signaling for some time now that it will prioritize projects with immediate economic returns, including AI, religious tourism, logistics, and mining.


What’s next? The Saudi Contractors Authority expects a slight volume bump with 11 projects to be awarded in February. While the pipeline features legacy heavyweights like PIF, Sabic, and Neom, the true test for contractors will be the composition of these upcoming awards — specifically, whether they confirm this new sovereign tech mandate anchored in Riyadh and the Eastern Province.

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MOVES

Emaar taps new chairman

Emaar, the Economic City named Muhannad Al Azzawi as chairman, succeeding Fahad Al Saif, who resigned upon his appointment as the Kingdom’s new investment minister, it said in a Tadawul disclosure. Al Azzawi has over 32 years of experience in contracting, technology, civil aviation, banking and investment, real estate development, and hospitality. He currently serves as managing partner of Saudi Industrial Constructions and Engineering Projects, Saudi Technology and Trade, and Al Wusataa Development.

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ALSO ON OUR RADAR

Al Akaria leases out its Al Reef compound, PIL Enters Saudi port sector

Amsa leases Al Reef from Al Akaria

Al Akaria will lease its Al Reef residential compound to Amsa View For Hotels Apartments under a SAR 1.2 bn, 20-year agreement, it said in a Tadawul disclosure. The compound, located in Riyadh’s Diplomatic Quarter, includes 240 residential units — comprising 176 apartments, 64 villas and townhouses, and a commercial showroom.

Singapore’s PIL lands unified license from Mawani

PIL gets Saudi unified licence: Singaporean container carrier Pacific International Lines (PIL) secured a unified maritime agency licence from the Saudi Port Authority (Mawani). The move accredits PIL as a foreign investor entitled to operate maritime agencies in the Kingdom’s ports.

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PLANET FINANCE

When wars become a trade

Prediction markets are facing a new kind of scrutiny — and this time it’s not about sports or elections. It’s about war and diplomacy. Platforms like Polymarket have turned nearly every headline into a tradable event, with daily trading volumes topping USD 100 mn. The business is booming: the total positions taken on these platforms surpassed USD 8.3 bn in December, The Guardian reports. But as bns flow into transactions tied to geopolitical flashpoints, national security experts and lawmakers are raising concerns about what happens when global crises become financial instruments.

At the heart of the debate is the incentive structure itself. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan has openly praised the model, saying “it creates this financial incentive for people to go and divulge the information to the market.” Critics argue that this very feature rewards those with material, non-public information. Blockchain analyst Andrew 10 Gwei described insider trading as “a core feature of the system,” claiming it is what makes prediction markets so fast and often so accurate. This advantage concentrated wealth by granting fewer than 0.04% of accounts more than 70% of the total realized gains, accumulating USD 3.7 bn.

Broadcasting secrets: Highly accurate positions have appeared shortly before major global events, such as when one user placed tens of thousands of USD on contracts just 24 hours before 200 Israeli fighter jets bombed Iran, earning USD 128k in the process. Former White House ethics lawyer Richard Painter warned that such dynamics could have serious consequences on US national security. “If you know we’re going to bomb Iran in the next week and you start placing [wagers], then the prediction market tells the Iranians they’re about to get bombed,” he said.

A weapon for foreign influence: The Atlantic Council has described prediction markets as “dual-use infrastructure.” Unlike traditional markets, these platforms often operate with thinner liquidity, making them more vulnerable to coordinated actors’ trading activity. In theory, state or non-state actors could take strategic positions to move odds, shape narratives, or amplify misinformation. During volatile geopolitical moments, even small shifts in pricing could feed back into online discourse, reinforcing speculation or panic.

Governing for gains: The scale of money involved raises the specter of officials influencing real-world decisions to protect personal trading positions. A bill has already been introduced in the US Congress that would bar political insiders from participating in these markets.

However, supporters argue that these markets improve price discovery and democratize forecasting. Critics counter that transforming war and diplomacy into tradable contracts risks creating incentives that thrive on instability itself.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

It is shaping up to be a volatile week of trading as markets react to US President Donald Trump’s latest tariff announcement and brace for Nvidia’s earnings out later this week. Wall Street futures are in the red this morning. Looking at Asia-Pacific markets, the Kospi and Hang Seng are starting the week in the green, while Japan’s Nikkei is closed for the Emperor’s Birthday.

TASI

10,947

-1.9% (YTD: +4.4%)

MSCI Tadawul 30

1,478

-1.7% (YTD: +6.5%)

NomuC

23,405

-0.9% (YTD: +0.5%)

USD : SAR (SAMA)

USD 3.75 Sell

USD 3.75 Buy

Interest rates

4.25% repo

3.75% reverse repo

EGX30

49,561

-2.2% (YTD: +18.5%)

ADX

10,581

-0.3% (YTD: +5.9%)

DFM

6,591

-0.3% (YTD: +9.0%)

S&P 500

6,910

+0.7% (YTD: +0.9%)

FTSE 100

10,687

+0.6% (YTD: +7.6%)

Euro Stoxx 50

6,131

+1.2% (YTD: +5.9%)

Brent crude

USD 71.76

+0.1%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 3.05

+1.7%

Gold

USD 5,080.90

+1.7%

BTC

USD 67,575

-0.6% (YTD: -22.9%)

Sukuk/bond market index

922.20

0.0% (YTD: +0.3%)

S&P MENA bond & sukuk

153.36

-0.1% (YTD: +1.0%)

VIX (Fear gauge)

19.09

-5.6% (YTD: +27.7%)

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-

The TASI fell 1.9% on Thursday on turnover of SAR 4.8 bn. The index is up 4.4% YTD.

In the green: Musharaka Reit (+2.1%), Shaker (+1.2%) and Sieco (+0.8%).

In the red: Abo Moati (-9.3%), Care (-9.0%) and NCLE (-6.4%).

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-

The NomuC fell 0.9% on Thursday on turnover of SAR 17.9 mn. The index is up 0.5% YTD.

In the green: Fesh Fash (+5.3%), Alwaha Reit (+5.2%) and Alfakhera (+5.1%).

In the red: AME (-12.9%), Osool And Bakheet (-10.0%) and Axelerated Solutions (-8.6%).

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

Al Rajhi Bank received the green light from the Capital Market Authority to raise its capital to SAR 60 bn from SAR 40 bn, the authority said in a statement last Monday.
The capital hike will be carried out through a SAR 20 bn bonus share issuance, granting one share for every two held, and will be funded from retained earnings, lifting outstanding shares to 6 bn from 4 bn.

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DIPLOMACY

Saudi pledges USD 1 bn to Gaza as MBS meets Graham

Saudi Arabia became a key stakeholder in Gaza’s reconstruction, pledging USD 1 bn toward Palestinian aid and peace efforts at US President Donald Trump’s Board of Peace (BoP) in Washington. The Kingdom joins Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Uzbekistan in a combined USD 7 bn commitment, Anadolu reports. The US alone pledged USD 10 bn, bringing total funding under a broader Gaza reconstruction plan to USD 17 bn.

More contributions: Beyond the monetary support, Egypt and Jordan are stepping up to train a new stabilization force and Palestinian police. The UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs raised USD 2 bn, while Fifa committed USD 75 mn for social stability and youth projects.

Why it matters: The BoP was designed to bypass UN gridlock, operating as a fast-track, minilateral platform that prioritizes speed in reconstruction and security over broad consensus. Saudi Arabia’s USD 1 bn contribution is effectively a buy-in for permanent membership — securing Riyadh a seat at the decision-making table on regional security and capital deployment. While initially focused on Gaza, the BoP’s charter casts it as a global conflict-resolution model, with President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio positioning it as a potential alternative to traditional UN peacekeeping.

Meanwhile, at Al Yamamah Palace, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman hosted US Senator Lindsey Graham to talk shop on Saudi-US ties, regional security, and the future of the Palestinian state, state news agency SPA reports. Graham later took to X, noting that the Crown Prince is focused on a “dignified solution” for Palestinians and expressing hope for closer US-Saudi military and economic ties, dialogue between Saudi Arabia and the UAE over Yemen and Sudan, and broader regional normalization if Iran’s regime changes.


FEBRUARY

26 February (Thursday): Title deed registration deadline for 142.8k properties across 104 neighborhoods in Hail.

MARCH

12 March (Thursday): Deadline for real estate registration for 253.2k properties in 499 neighborhoods across Riyadh, Qassim, Makkah, and Hail.

18-23 March (Tuesday-Monday): Eid Al Fitr holiday (TBC).

21 March (Saturday): Fanatics Flag Football Classic, Kingdom Arena, Riyadh.

25-27 March (Wednesday-Friday): Future Investment Initiative Institute, Faena Hotel, Miami Beach.

31 March (Tuesday): Zatca’s 23rd E-invoicing integration wave deadline.

APRIL

6 April (Monday): Procurement and Supply Chain Futures Forum, Al Faisaliah Hotel, Riyadh.

6-7 April (Monday-Tuesday): Real Estate Supply Chain Forum, Mandarin Oriental Al Faisaliah Hotel, Riyadh.

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Print & Pack, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Riyadh International Industry Week, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Plastics & Petrochem, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Smart Logistics, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

13-16 April (Monday-Thursday): Leap Tech Conference, Riyadh Exhibition & Convention Center – Malham.

20-22 April (Monday-Wednesday): The Future Hospitality Summit, Mandarin Oriental Al Faisaliah Hotel, Riyadh.

20-22 April (Monday-Wednesday): Saudi Paper and Packaging Expo, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

20-22 April (Monday-Wednesday): Sports Investment Forum (SIF), Riyadh

22-23 April (Wednesday-Thursday): The World Economic Forum’s Global Collaboration and Growth Meeting, Jeddah.

27-29 April (Monday-Wednesday): Aluminum Arabia, The Arena, Riyadh.

28 April (Tuesday): GC Summit Saudi Arabia, Riyadh.

MAY

3-9 May (Sunday-Sunday): The Global Sustainability Expo, The Arena Riyadh Venue.

5-6 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): SkyMove Air Cargo MENA, Riyadh.

24-28 May (Sunday-Thursday): Eid al-Adha holiday.

JUNE

21-24 June (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Food Exhibition and Conference, Riyadh Front Expo.

SEPTEMBER

15-17 September (Tuesday-Thursday) The Global AI Summit, King Abdulaziz International Convention Center, Riyadh.

23 September (Wednesday): Saudi National Day.

OCTOBER

12-15 October (Monday-Thursday): World Energy Congress, Riyadh.

NOVEMBER

24-28 November (Tuesday-Saturday): Aero Middle East and Sand & Fun, Thumamah Airport, Riyadh.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2026:

  • 2H: Sabic’s USD 6.4 bn Fujian project in China to start production;
  • November: The UN Trade and Development Global Supply Chain Forum to take place in Saudi Arabia;
  • November: The Esports Nations Cup, Riyadh;
  • The Intervision international music competition will take place in Saudi Arabia;
  • 6 July-23 August (Monday-Sunday): Esports World Cup, Riyadh.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2027:

  • The World Water Forum takes place in Riyadh;
  • The Ocean Race finishes in Amaala on the Red Sea;
  • Riyadh-Kudmi transmission line to be completed.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2Q 2027:

  • The Hail Region Water Networks Project is expected to be completed.
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