Good morning, wonderful people, and happy THURSDAY to you all. We hope you’ve had a fantastic workweek — and that you’re looking forward to the weekend as much as we are. From Riyadh and Jeddah to Cairo, Abu Dhabi, and Dubai, our region has been on a tear this week as folks look to wrap up key projects before Eid Al Adha and the start of summer vacation season. We don’t expect the pace to let up next week. Next stop: September.
BUT FIRST: We love the smell of an IPO in the morning. Perfume maker Arabian Oud has reportedly hired bankers as it plans a Tadawul IPO, lining up SNB Capital and Emirates NBD Capital to quarterback the offering, Bloomberg reports. The company has yet to decide on the size, structure, or timing of the transaction. The company says it has 1.2k stores across 37 countries.
That adds another big name to Tadawul’s offering pipeline as investors welcome fresh share offerings in Riyadh.
AND- Fakeeh Care shares were up a bit more than 10% in their debut yesterday, as we note in this morning’s news well, below. That rise was perhaps muted by the amount of cash pulled from the market as investors put in bids for Aramco’s blockbuster share sale. Speaking of which: The order window for Aramco stock closes today.
CAPITAL MARKETS-
Nomu-listed Banan Real Estate is looking to make a move to the main market, having submitted its request to transition this week, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul. The company’s board of directors first greenlit the Tadawul transfer decision in July of last year, appointing AlDukheil Financial Group as its advisor. The company, valued at SAR 200 mn, began trading on Nomu in August 2021.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- RETAIL WATCH- The Emirates National Oil Company (Enoc) plans to open 45 filling stations in Saudi over the coming five years, Al Sharq Al Awsat quotes Enoc CEO Saif al-Falasi as saying. The stations will include Enoc’s Zoom-branded convenience stores. Al-Falasi drew a line between the strategy and the Kingdom’s goal of seeing 1.2k new filling stations open nationwide in the next five years. ENOC has 14 stations here operating today.
#2- The Air Connectivity Program (ACP) wants to lure in more US, Canada, Brazil, and Europe-based airlines to the Kingdom’s airports, CEO Majid Khan told Argaam, as Riyadh looks to become a global aviation hub. The ACP is also working on agreements with Asian and European airlines to make it easier for tourists to visit the Kingdom’s attractions, ultimately boosting tourism footfall, he added.
Background: The program, which was launched in 2021, aims to boost connectivity to the Kingdom from Europe, Asia and the Americas. It has attracted three new Chinese airlines and three European carriers to launch flights to Saudi this year, according to Khan.
#3- Saudi Arabia has joined a Bank of International Settlements trial on a multi-central-bank digital currency (CBDC) platform, the BIS said in a statement. The Kingdom’s participation as the world’s largest oil exporter means we could start seeing significantly more commodity settlement in currencies beyond the USD, Josh Lipsky, who runs a global CBDC tracker, said.
In context: Central banks including the Central Bank of the UAE took the wrappers off the first operational prototype of the CBDC platform yesterday, a press release (pdf) reads. The trial is a collaboration between the UAE, Hong Kong, China, and Thailand. They’re aiming to build a platform that can make it easier to carry out cross-border digital currency transactions using the code China's e-CNY is built on.
BACKGROUND- Both Saudi Arabia and the UAE have already been working on boosting trade in their domestic currencies, with Saudi signing a currency swap agreement with China in December. The UAE has also begun to accept INR payments for oil as of last year.
#4- The Saudi Armed Forces Command and Staff College has rebranded as the National Defense University, state news agency SPA reports. Defense Minister Khalid bin Salman inaugurated the university last Tuesday as the Kingdom looks to strengthen its system of professional military schooling. The university provides military education and training with its campus’ history tracing back to 1958.
#5- Six transport companies were handed fines for price fixing ranging from SAR 700k to SAR 5 mn after a General Authority for Competition investigation, state news agency SPA reported yesterday. The report did not get into the specifics of any of the cases. The fines:
- Al Bassami International Group — SAR 5 mn
- Al Rasam Cargo Transport Co. — SAR 5 mn
- Arab Land Transport Co. — SAR 1.9 mn
- Osama Bin Amin Abu Al Hasan and Partners (Tala Transport) — SAR 1.5 mn
- Al Sultan Car Services — SAR 790k
- Duroob International Transport — SAR 700k
HAPPENING TODAY-
The Saudi Manufacturing Show is happening today at the Crown Plaza Riyadh, bringing together tech leaders including Saudi Entertainment Ventures Executive Director Ramyan Alramyan (LinkedIn), Ma’aden’s Procurement Center of Excellence Director Mohammed Alshangiti (LinkedIn), and Astra Minings CEO Ali Al Jabrah (LinkedIn). The event will feature discussions on AI, IoT, cybersecurity, and other technologies.
WEATHER- The heatwave continues. Look for a daytime high of 44°C today in both Riyadh and Makkah, with the mercury dipping only to 32°C overnight.
PSA- It’s going to be a hot Hajj season: The National Center of Meteorology is forecasting daily high temperatures of 45-48°C during the Hajj season, with extremely hot weather expected to peak at noon each day. The season will also see relative humidity coming in at 25%.
AND- Officials continue to drip out news of Hajj preparations ahead of the start of the pilgrimage season next week, announcing a road cooling initiative set to slash temperatures by some 20°C by absorbing less sunlight, state news agency SPA reports. They’re also setting aside some 27k buses to shuttle pilgrims around the holy city via 16 routes with 11 stops.
DATA POINTS-
#1- Some 76% of foreign investment in Tadawul-listed companies is concentrated in 20 companies, eight of which are banks, according to Al Eqtisadiah. These 20 companies hold SAR 297 bn of the total SAR 316 bn foreign investors have put into companies on the Tadawul.
The breakdown: Al Rajhi Bank leads the pack with 13% of foreign investments in the bourse, Saudi National Bank with 10%, and Sabic and STC with 5% each. Also making the foreign investor favorite list: Alinma, Alawwal Bank, ACWA Power, Ma’aden, Riyad Bank, Etihad Etisalat, Elm, Sulaiman Al-Habib, SABIC Nutrition, Bupa Arabia, Al-Arabi, Al-Fransi, Al-Bilad, Cooperative, and Saudi Electricity.
SOUND SMART- Why are so many banks on that list? If Aramco is the best way to get access to the Kingdom’s oil economy, banks are the easiest way for a foreign investors to get exposure to the full spectrum of the economy.
#2- Saudi led the GCC real estate market in 2023 in terms of transaction value, rising 70% y-o-y to come in at USD 18.8 bn, according to the latest data from Kamco Invest (pdf). Real estate transactions in the wider GCC region grew 23% y-o-y to USD 56.7 bn last year.
OIL WATCH-
Are interest rate cuts — real and imagined — helping prop up the oil market? Canada cut rates yesterday or the first time in years, and the European Central Bank should follow suit today. Throw in the possibility that the US Federal Reserve might do the same in September, and you have fresh demand for energy — a fact that could be behind oil’s 1% rise yesterday after touching a four-month low.
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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
US chipmaker Nvidia passed Apple in market cap yesterday, becoming the world’s second-most valuable public company behind Microsoft with a market capitalization of USD 3 tn. The company’s shares rose over 5% yesterday to close at a record USD 1,224.40 each triggered by the artificial intelligence boom. (CNN | Reuters | Bloomberg | CNBC)
Number one next? “It may be a foregone conclusion that Nvidia will overtake Microsoft as well. There's a lot of retail [investor] money that's piling in on what they see as a straight shot up,” Longbow Asset Management CEO Jake Dollarhide said, adding that “Nvidia is making money on AI right now, and companies like Apple and Meta are spending on AI.”
DATA POINT- This makes Nvidia the third company in the US to cross the USD 3 tn mark, after Apple and Microsoft.
Nvidia’s gains pushed S&P 500 to a fresh high, with the index rising 1.18% to close at 5,354 — it has gained 12.3% since the beginning of the year.
AND- Canada has become the first G7 country to cut rates: The Bank of Canada (BoC) cut its interest rate by 25 bps yesterday, pushing rates to 4.75% after almost a year of holding them at 5%. The move makes Canada the first G7 member to slash rates.
In perspective: Canada’s decision to cut rates contrasts with the US Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to cut rates once this year, thanks to “stickier” inflation. “There are limits to how far we can diverge from the United States, but we're not close to those limits,” BoC Governor Tiff Macklem said. (FT | Reuters | Bloomberg | Wall Street Journal | Globe and Mail)
The European Central Bank could follow suit today when it meets to review rates — see this morning’s Planet Finance, below. The Central Bank of Egypt doesn’t meet until 18 July.
ALSO- The Kingdom’s growing tourism industry got some ink from the New York Times in a feature story: Surprising, unsettling, surreal: Roaming through Saudi Arabia.
Our suggestion: Look beyond the usual, tired recitation of Western tropes about Saudi Arabia (they don’t dominate the story, but they’re there and form the subtext) and simply enjoy the stunning photography.
AND YOUR DAILY DOSE OF ELECTION COVERAGE- The AP takes note of the dissatisfaction among voters as we approach the halfway point of one particularly election-heavy year.
IN CLIMATE NEWS- The Associated Press lists all the climate records that have been broken recently and ask the question: How worried should we be?
CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The Global EV and Mobility Tech Forum will open its doors on Wednesday, 10 July to Thursday, 11 July at the Riyadh International Convention and Exhibition Center. The event will bring together policymakers, NGOs, and startups.
The Conference on Arbitration and Dispute Resolution in Energy, Oil, and Gas will be held in GCC countries for the first time in 2025, coming off the signing of a partnership between the GCC Commercial Arbitration Center, the Scottish Arbitration Center, and the International Conference on Law, according to state news agency SPA. The conference will bring together experts in international arbitration to discuss the legal, geopolitical, economic, and security aspects and challenges related to energy disputes in the GCC.
