Good morning, friends — we have a big issue for you this morning to kick off the week, so let’s jump right in:
THE BIG STORY HERE AT HOME- White House national security advisory Jake Sullivan says there’s no defense pact with Saudi unless there’s normalization with Israel. Sullivan made the comment at Financial Times event over the weekend, saying “The integrated vision is a bilateral understanding between the US and Saudi Arabia combined with normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia, combined with meaningful steps on behalf of the Palestinian people. All of that has to come together … you can’t disentangle one piece from the others.”
BUT, BUT, BUT… Reuters has joined Bloomberg in reporting that an agreement is in the works, citing multiple sources. And the New York Times’ Tom Friedman claims sources in Riyadh and DC tell him that “ the US and the Saudis are considering finalizing the deal and taking it to Congress with the stated proviso that Saudi Arabia will normalize relations with Israel the minute Israel has a government ready to meet the Saudi-US terms.”
A way of putting pressure on Netanyahu? Are the two news agencies picking up on a strategy that would see Riyadh and Washington tell the Israelis, in effect, “We’re in agreement on everything from a defense pact to normalization — but you need to recognize an independent Palestinian state. Are you in or out?”
Squint the right way, and Sullivan told the FT as much, saying “it will ultimately be up to the Israeli leadership and frankly ultimately the Israeli people can decide whether that’s a path they want to take or not.”
BACKGROUND- Agreements on at least three issues are in the works, reports suggest. Beyond the defense pact, we could see:
- A new agreement on artificial intelligence that would see lost of investment in (and cooperation on) AI and quantum computing while we agree to “limit” the use of some Chinese technology in Saudi;
- US help building a domestic nuclear power industry, a key “always-on” component of our drive to ensure energy security (and cement our position as an exporter of green and low-emission electrons).
- Riyadh agree to continue to price oil in USD for the long term and not switch China’s RMB.
^^ We have more on the story in this morning’s Saudi in the News, below.
ALSO HAPPENING-
#1- Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan is leading Saudi’s delegation to this year’s Islamic Summit Conference in Gambia’s Banjul, state news agency SPA reported yesterday. In a speech, Bin Farhan reiterated the Kingdom’s call for an immediate and permanent ceasefire in Gaza and an end to the suffering of the Palestinian people.
Iran, Pakistan meetings: Bin Fahan held one-on-ones yesterday with Iranian FM HosseinAmirabdollahian and Pakistan Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar. The event wraps up today.
#2- Residents looking to enter Makkah need to show proof of residency, state newsagency SPA reported yesterday. Only people with residence permits issued by Makkah or permits to do Umrah or Hajj will be allowed into the city ahead of Hajj season. The measure came into effect on Saturday.
#3- Prince Badr bin Abdul Mohsen bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud passed away yesterday, according to state news agency SPA. The late prince was a renowned poet whose work has been sung by leading artists including Mohammed Abdu, the late Talal Maddah, Kadim Al Sahir, Assala and others.
HAPPENING TODAY-
The Environmental Investment Forum will open in Dammam in just a couple of hours at Asharqia Chamber’s HQ. The event offers a number of environmental investment and funding options to investors.
WEATHER- There’s a chance of rainfall in Riyadh today with a high of 35°C and a low of 22°C. Makkah will somehow see a moderate weather with a high of 39°C and a low of 26°C, while Al Taif will be mostly cloudy with a high of 29°C and a low of 18°C
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WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- US investment giant BlackRock has locked in Capital Market Authority approval to have its Saudi unit manage investments, operate funds, and provide securities advisory in the Kingdom, according to a statement by the CMA.
That caps a big week for the world’s largest asset manager, which lined up a USD 5 bn commitment from the Public Investment Fund (PIF). The agreement will see BlackRock setting up a new entity — BlackRock Riyadh Investment Management — which will be run by BlackRock and PIF. The multi-asset platform will invest in multiple asset classes and will look to secure additional funding from local and foreign investors.
#2- Trade officials launch dumping probe: The General Authority for Foreign Trade has launched an investigation into allegations Chinese and Taiwanese companies are dumping stainless steel pipes on the Saudi market, astatement says. The investigation covers welded circular pipes.
Officials are increasingly active when it comes to dumping: Saudi imposed last monthanti-dumping duties on seven imported products from ten European and Asian countries. Those include Iranian clinker, select car batteries from South Korea and superabsorbent polymer from five countries among others.
#3- Fines handed down in market-manipulation case. The Capital MarketAuthoritysays that the General Secretariat of Committees for Resolution of Securities Disputes has ordered 13 investors and other market participants to pay fines totaling nearly SAR 43 mn for illegally trying to influence the share prices of a number of high-profile listed companies between May 2020 and May 2021.
The CMA said it is receiving both individual and class action complaints from anyone who thinks they may have suffered losses as a result of the manipulation. They can file complaints here.
#4- Off-plan sales probe: The Real Estate General Authority has referred a developer to “relevant authorities” for violating rules on the sale and lease of off-plan projects, it said in a post on X. The developer began marketing for the project without permits in hand, it said, without providing further details or naming the company.
#5- One person died of food poisoning linked to local burger joint Hamburgini, state news agency SPA reported. The Health Ministry provided a breakdown of the 75 food poisoning linked cases reported in late April, saying that 43 people have been discharged from hospitals. 20 patients are currently at the ICU, while 11 are receiving medical care, according to the ministry.
#6- King Salman has issued a decree abolishing the title “His Excellency” for any senior officials convicted of corruption or treason, according to Okaz. Anyone convicted will also lose benefits and any honors or awards they had previously received.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
A ceasefire in Gaza and what’s next for investment juggernaut Berkshire Hathaway dominate the global business press on this busy Sunday morning.
#1- Hamas officials are in Cairo for ceasefire talks — and it’s going well, regional and international media report. “Hamas negotiators are prepared to accept the terms of an Egypt-brokered deal,” Bloomberg writes, while CNN cites Israeli and American officials as saying it could take a few more days to hammer out the finer points of a pact. Israeli official aren’t in the Egyptian capital, saying they’re waiting for Hamas’ formal answer.
In the works: A multi-week ceasefire (there’s no clarity on how long, exactly) and the release of Palestinian prisoners in exchange for Hamas letting go Israelis it has held hostage.
Time is of the essence: “Parts of Gaza are in ‘full-blown famine” the New York Times quotes the leader of the UN’s World Food Program as saying. The Times’ influential columnist Nicholas Kristof gave his column over yesterday to a photo taken by a US surgeon of a Palestinian mother speaking to her dead son. The boy died of “ complications from malnutrition,” Kristof writes. And the situation will only get worse as the summer heat picks up.
#2- Everyone from the Financial Times to Germany’s Handelsblatt are covering Warren Buffett’s big annual meeting, which the Oracle of Omaha calls Woodstock for Capitalists. Warren still likes Apple despite trimming his position and says he has faith in the guys he’s chosen to run his firm when he steps down. “Not only do I hope you come next year, but I hope I come next year,” the 94-year-old said.
Want to go deeper? CNBC has wall-to-wall coverage, while Reuters and Bloomberg are also on the story.
CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The Saudi Smash 2024 is underway. It’s the Kingdom’s first-ever professional table tennis event and say 53 matches played yesterday. Another 41 matches will take place today, including the first all-Saudi men’s doubles matchup, organizers say. The event is organized by World Table Tennis and the Saudi Table Tennis Federation and runs through 11 May. Games include men’s and women’s singles and doubles as well as mixed doubles.
A Saudi first: Ali Alkhadrawi and women’s world number 29 Hana Goda from Egypt took their mixed doubles round of 32 match 3-0, marking the first time a Saudi player has entered a mixed double match in the Kingdom.
