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Aramco to issue more sukuk this year

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: Drop in oil revenues, global uncertainty a chance to “take stock” of spending priorities -AlJadaan

Good morning. The Eid vacation is days away, and we kick off the last workweek with a packed issue, leading with Aramco’s sukuk push slated for this year, highlights of the Aseer Investment Forum held last week, and the first Saudi sukuk ETF going live on the Hong Kong Exchange.

^^ We have the details on these stories, and (many) more, in today’s news well.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

Axelerated Solutions’ shares will begin trading on the Nomu parallel market today, according to a Tadawul statement. The company’s shares can fluctuate within a 30% range for the first three days, after which price fluctuations will be capped at 10% as circuit breakers take effect.

REFRESHER- The company priced its offering at SAR 27 per share, after it saw its offered 10.7% stake 208% oversubscribed by qualified investors. The pricing would give Axelerated Solutions a market cap of SAR 756 mn at listing and should see it raise some SAR 3.8 mn in IPO proceeds.

AND- Al Kuzama Trading to debut on Nomu tomorrow: Restaurant operator Al Kuzama Trading’s shares are due to hit Tadawul’s parallel market Nomu tomorrow, according to a statement. The firm floated a 10.7% stake in a SAR 45.2 mn primary offering that was 108.4% oversubscribed, with proceeds earmarked for expansion. Some 422.4k new shares were up for grabs at SAR 107 apiece.

The company’s shares will be allowed to fluctuate within a 30% band, with a static fluctuation band of 10% on the first three trading days. Starting from the fourth day, shares will be allowed to trade at a 10% volatility as circuit breakers take effect, and the static fluctuation limit will be removed.


WEATHER- Riyadh is expected to see a high of 42°C and a low of 28°C today, while Jeddah’s mercury will go as high as 36°C and as low as 27°C. Makkah will see a 43°C high and 31°C low.

PSAs-

#1- Riyadh’s public transport system released its operating schedule for the Eid Al Adha holiday, running from 5 to 14 June, it said in a post on X.

Riyadh Metro:

  • The Orange Line will operate from 10am to midnight from 5 to 14 June. It will return to its regular 6am start on 15 June.
  • For all other metro lines, services will start at 8am on 5 June, shift to a 10am start from 6 to 8 June, return to an 8am start from 9 to 11 June, and resume the regular 6am schedule from 12 June onward.
  • All metro lines will operate daily until 12am midnight during the holiday period.

What about the bus? Buses will run daily from 5 AM to midnight between 5 and 12 June. On-demand buses will also be available to accommodate increased holiday travel.


#2- The Entrepreneurship World Cup is now accepting applications, with a deadline set for 30 June. The global competition invites over 200 countries to take part in a pitch event that offers USD 1.5 mn in prizes and additional support through services and investment prospects. You can apply here.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- The Kingdom will use the current drop in oil revenues and global uncertainty to “take stock” of its spending priorities while maintaining Vision 2030 projects development, Finance Minister Mohammed Al Jadaan told the Financial Times on Thursday.

Deficits won’t slow down spending: Despite an 18% y-o-y fall in oil revenue and a widening fiscal deficit of USD 15.6 bn in 1Q 2025 — the largest since 2021 — Al Jadaan emphasized that government spending will continue to support non-oil growth, even if the budget deficit exceeds expectations.

Al Jadaan said a deficit of up to 5% of GDP would be acceptable if it supports non-oil growth, expressing confidence despite IMF projections of a wider fiscal gap of 4% this year and next. “There will possibly be more deficit than we anticipated in the budget, but not significant,” he said. “We still have plenty of room in our fiscal buffers, ample foreign reserves [and] significant government reserves.”

With a low debt-to-GDP ratio of 26%, well below the 40% ceiling, he sees ample fiscal space and expects 2025 growth to reach 4.6%, outperforming the IMF’s 3% forecast.

The Minister stressed the importance of taking a countercyclical approach to avoid the “trap of booms and busts,” confirming earlier reports that the Public Investment Fund and Neom are also reassessing their timelines and priorities amid a wider recalibration of gigprojects.


#2- India agreed to exempt the Public Investment Fund (PIF) from foreign investment rules that limit how much sovereign entities can invest in a single company, Reuters reports, citing two unnamed sources. The move will let different arms of the PIF invest in Indian firms without being limited to the 10% ownership cap of sovereign entities in a single company.

PIF currently has limited exposure in India, with investments limited to USD 1.5 bn in JioPlatforms and USD 1.3 bn in Reliance Retail.

ICYMI- Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited the Kingdom in April, where the two countries agreed to boost investment in sectors such as energy, infrastructure, and pharma. They also began talks on a bilateral investment treaty. India currently stands as the Kingdom’s second-largest trading partner at USD 39.9 bn in 2024, with Saudi investments in India amounting to USD 4 bn as of 2023.

ALSO- The PIF is weighing an IPO for its wholly-owned tech subsidiary Saudi Information Technology (Site), Bloomberg reports, citing sources it said are in the know. The sovereign wealth fund has invited banks to pitch for advisory roles, though the plans remain at an early stage and key terms — including valuation and launch date — are still being assessed.

IN CONTEXT- The Kingdom’s finances are pressured by lower oil prices, driving the PIF to turn to asset sales — including planned IPOs for medical procurement firm Nupco, port operator Saudi Global Ports, and Tabreed District Cooling — as well as tapping debt markets to support Vision 2030. Together, the government, the PIF, and their subsidiaries have already raised over USD 23 bn in 2025, in addition to Aramco’s USD 5 bn bond sale last week.


#3- PIF-backed Saudi Agricultural and Livestock Investment Company (Salic) is eyeing potential investments in Russia’s wheat market, with CEO Sulaiman Al Rumaih confirming that the company is in “serious discussions” and that it’s only “a question of time,” Reuters quotes him as saying during the Russian Grain Forum 2025 in Sochi.

The rationale: Given that Russia supplies some 50% of Saudi Arabia’s wheat imports, AlRumaih sees strong competitiveness in Russian firms and believes Salic can leverage this to help boost Russian wheat exports to broader Middle Eastern and African markets, effectively acting as “conduits of Russian grain to the global market,” he said.


#4- Iraq edging closer to Acwa Power, Masdar 2 GW solar plants agreement: Iraq’s Electricity Ministry is close to finalizing an agreement with Tadawul-listed Acwa Power for a 1 GW solar plant in Najaf, Iraqi News Agency (INA) reported on Thursday. The ministry is also in talks with the UAE’s Masdar to set up four plants with a combined 1 GW capacity.

REMEMBER- Iraq’s parliament was reportedly nearing approval of a new law to protect Saudi investments, with Saudi-Iraqi investment ties set to strengthen as political, security, and economic partnerships deepen. The Kingdom also signed a contract in January to supply Iraq with 1 GW of electricity, contributing to Iraq’s plan to import 3.2 GW from neighboring countries (Iran, Turkey, Jordan, and the GCC grid) this summer to address ongoing power shortages.


#5- AviLease is expected to place USD multi-bn orders for Airbus jets to balance its suppliers and support its aviation growth ambitions, Reuters reports, citing industry sources. The firm is expected to announce an order for up to 30 Airbus A320neo during next month’s Paris Airshow, while sources speculated the order may be expanded to include A350 freighters.

ICYMI- The PIF placed an order for 20 Boeing 737-8 jets for its aviation leasing firm AviLease — with an option for 10 more — during last month’s Saudi-US investment summit.


#6- Homegrown budget carrier flynas became the latest to join the flock of airlines resuming Syria flights, launching direct flights between Riyadh and Damascus starting 5 June, it said in a statement on Thursday. The airline previously operated flights to several Syrian cities, including Damascus, Aleppo, and Latakia.

REMEMBER- Flyadeal announced last week it plans to launch flights to Syria as early as July, joining several other operators — like Qatar Airways, Turkish Airlines, and Royal Jordanian Airlines — who resumed flights to Syria following the fall of the Assad regime in December and the removal of US sanctions earlier this month. Rival UAE-based airline FlyDubai also said it plans to launch flight services to the country starting next month.


#7- Adeer eyes EGX listing after Nomu debut: Khobar-based property developer Adeer RealEstate is eyeing an IPO on the Egyptian Stock Exchange (EGX) within the next five years, CEO Bassel El Serafy told Al Mal.

What we know: The firm, which rang the opening bell on Tadawul’s parallel market Nomu lastweek, says it also plans to list a group of its subsidiaries on either the EGX’s main market or the Nile Stock Exchange (Nilex) for small and mid-sized caps. No further details were disclosed.

Adeer has been active on both sides of the Red Sea: Adeer began procedures late last year to set up an Egyptian real estate investment fund in partnership with Saudi fund manager Areeb Capital to invest in residential, commercial, and administrative units. The firm has also previously partnered with Egypt’s Paragon and our friends at Hassan Allam for mixed-use development projects in East Cairo and with Melee Development for SAR 1 bn worth of projects here at home.

OIL WATCH-

Opec+ will accelerate oil production increments for the third month in a row, adding 411k barrels per day (bbl / d) in July, according to a statement. That’s a three-month worth of supply increments that will be delivered all at once next month.

The oil group once again cited healthy market fundamentals as the driver behind the decision, adding it provides countries a new possibility to speed up overproduction compensation.

Not everyone is on board, it seems: Russia, Algeria and Oman reportedly called for a pause in the production increases, citing concerns regarding the speed of unwinding cuts, unnamed delegates told Bloomberg. The big cuts drove down oil prices this year, hovering around the USD 65/bbl level.

The next meeting: Member countries agreed to meet again on 6 July to address production levels for the month of August.

DATA POINTS-

#1- Dwellings occupied by Saudi households reached 4.4 mn in 2024, up 2.7% from 2022, according to Gastat’s Housing Statistics Bulletin (pdf). These residential units represent 50.6% of total dwellings in the Kingdom — with 44.7% of them ranging from 150 to 299 sqm — housing an average of 4.9 individuals.

Digging deeper: The most common dwelling type was apartments (45%), followed by villas (31%), traditional houses (12.4%), and floors (10.8%). Some 57% of homes had 4 to 6 rooms, while 30.9% had 4 or more bedrooms. They were mainly built with reinforced concrete (90%), with 35.1% of them being 10 to 19 years of age.

ALSO- Saudi ownership without mortgages or loans ranked top with 1.6 mn dwellings, closely followed by rented dwellings (1.4 mn) and ownership with mortgages or loans (837.2k).


#2- Saudi SMEs’ commercial registrations rose 48% y-o-y in 1Q 2025 to 1.68 mn, according to Monshaat’s latest report (pdf). Riyadh was home to 39% of the new records, followed by Makkah with 17%, the Eastern Region with 16%, Qassim with 5.5%, and Aseer with 5%, while the remaining provinces accounted for 17.5%.

#3- A total of 1.4 mn pilgrims have arrived in Saudi Arabia for Hajj as of Friday, state news agency SPA reports, citing the General Directorate of Passports. Some 1.3 mn pilgrims arrived by air, 65.2k by land, and 5.1k by sea.

SPORTS-

#1- Al Ittihad defeated Al Qadsiah 3-1 in the Saudi Cup final on Friday, securing the domestic double, it said in a post on X. Karim Benzema scored two goals in the Saudi Cup final, including the opening goal and a late stoppage-time winner, helping the team secure the victory.

#2- Ma’aden was named the Official Platinum partner of The Saudi Pro League (SPL) through July 2030, following a long-term strategic partnership agreement aimed at boosting Maaden’s reputation as a top employer in Saudi Arabia, according to a press release. The partnership also includes developing community and talent programs.

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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

Hopes for an approaching ceasefire in Israel’s relentless and indiscriminate assault on Gaza became even more distant, after the US Special Envoy the Middle Easy Steve Witkoff attacked Hamas’ amendments to a US-backed proposal as “totally unacceptable” in a post on X. In addition to a 60-day truce, the exchange of 28 of the 58 hostages still held in Gaza for more than 1.2k Palestinian detainees, and the entry of humanitarian aid, Hamas is pushing for the inclusion of a road map to a permanent ceasefire and other amendments. (Reuters | Associated Press | New York Times | Financial Times | Guardian)

While over in the occupied West Bank, Israel blocked a planned visit to the West Bank by a group of Arab foreign ministers, including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Bahrain. An Israeli official called the delegation's meeting with the Palestinian Authority a “provocative move” aimed at promoting Palestinian statehood. The Jordanian Foreign Ministry called out Israel for its “clear breach of Israel's obligations as an occupying force.” (New York Times | Reuters)

FM Faisal bin Farhan was to participate in the delayed trip, an unnamed Saudi source reportedly told Reuters. It is not clear whether the meeting was related to Saudi-French efforts to prepare for a UN-sponsored conference on the two-state solution scheduled for 17-20 June in New York.

And over in the business papers, US President Donald Trump is making the headlines with yet another new tariff announcement, setting his sights on steel and aluminum imports with a planned 50% tariff starting 4 June. The doubling of the existing tariff will “secure the steel industry” and stop foreign competitors from “getting over the fence,” Trump said. (Financial Times | Bloomberg | Wall Street Journal)

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

The Sustainable Maritime Industry Conference is scheduled to take place between 3-4 September at the Ritz-Carlton Hotel in Jeddah. The event will gather over 60 speakers and more than 3k participants to discuss decarbonization, digital transformation, and sustainable innovation in the maritime sector. Key topics include alternative fuels, smart port technologies, maritime circular economy, and capacity building.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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2

DEBT WATCH

Aramco to issue more sukuk this year

Aramco is looking to issue more sukuk this year: Saudi Aramco released a new prospectus(pdf) on Friday for its sukuk program, giving it a year to issue shariah-compliant bonds which will be listed on the London Stock Exchange. The story also got ink from Reuters and Bloomberg.

The rationale: The company plans to increase borrowing to support growth and strengthen its balance sheet, a move aimed at offsetting the financial impact of lower oil prices, as current cashflow can’t cover dividends, Aramco CEO Amin Nasser told Bloomberg. Despite net debt reaching a three-year high, Aramco’s 1Q debt-to-equity ratio stands at 5.3%, well below the 14% industry average, with Nasser confirming plans to “continue to tap into additional bond markets.”

This follows Aramco’s bond sale last week, which raised USD 5 bn across three tranches under its global medium-term note program on the London Stock Exchange, with proceeds earmarked for general corporate purposes. The oil giant also raised USD 9 bn from debt markets last year, according to Bloomberg’s tally.

REMEMBER- This push for debt comes as the oil giant’s 1Q net income posted a 4.6% y-o-ydrop due to economic uncertainty and increased crude supply, prompting an expected one-third cut in its dividend this year. Aramco was also said to be weighing asset sales to unlock capital amid plans for international expansion.

IN CONTEXT- The government heavily relies on Aramco’s payouts, with oil revenues making up 62% of last year’s state income. The IMF estimates the Kingdom needs oil prices above USD 90 a barrel to balance its budget, while Brent crude was around USD 64.4 a barrel on Friday.

ADVISORS: Our friends at HSBC, along with Citi and JP Morgan are the arrangers of the sukuk program. The three banks will also serve as dealers, along with First Abu Dhabi Bank, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, SNB Capital, and Standard Chartered.

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Investment Watch

Ardara launches lifestyle hub Al Wadi amid Aseer investment push

PIF-owned developer Ardara launched Al Wadi, its first lifestyle community in Abha, during the Aseer Investment Forum, the company said in a post on X. The development is marketed as an integrated residential and tourism destination located in the downtown area, offering hotels, residences, retail space, and public amenities.

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The details: The project is scheduled to be developed in phases, with the current phase including a 180-room five-star hotel, a 245-room four-star hotel, 40 luxury apartments, 42 branded villas, 62 high-end apartments, and 4.5k sqm of retail space, in addition to public amenities, Asharq Al Awsat reports. The development will also include 4.5k sqm of retail space, along with public areas such as walking and cycling paths and eco-friendly mobility options.

Looking ahead: Ardara signed a series of agreements to develop upcoming phases, including separate MoUs with Sumou Holding to develop a mixed-use urban community, Sedco Capital to manage an investment fund, and Southern Province Cement Company to provide green cement. A letter of intent was also signed with Hilton to operate a Waldorf Astoria hotel.

ALSO FROM THE FORUM-

#1- Riyad Capital and mdr Development launched the Shalalat Abha project at the Aseer Investment Forum, according to a press release. The SAR 1 bn (USD 266.4 mn) premium real estate development — spanning over 1 mn sqm in east Abha — is Riyad Capital’s first real project in the Kingdom’s southern region.

Timeline: Mdr will handle all the infrastructure works necessary to prepare the land for development as soon as 2Q 2025, with overall completion expected within two years.

#2- Aseer to get new hotel and mall: The Aseer Municipality signed a SAR 300 mn contract with Al Othaim Investment to build a hotel and shopping center in the region, as part of efforts to expand local housing and commercial facilities, according to its post on X.

#3- The Aseer Development Authority signed agreements with major Saudi banks, including Saudi National Bank, Al Rajhi Bank, Bank Albilad, and Banque Saudi Fransi, according to separate posts on X (here, here, here, and here). The partnerships aim to provide the sub-national government with financial solutions and banking services to support economic and investment projects in the province.

LOOKING AHEAD-

More investments on the way? The Aseer region is working to attract new private investments worth SAR 15 bn to fuel its tourism industry, in addition to previous investments worth SAR 9 bn, aiming to transform the region into a year-around destination, Hashim Al Dabbagh, acting CEO of the Aseer Region Development Authority, told Asharq Business.

New investments valued at SAR 4 bn were announced at the forum, adding to the SAR 5 bn already invested by private companies and the SAR 25 bn allocated through state-backed projects like Soudah Development and Qiddiya, Dabbagh pointed out.

About 8 mn tourists visited Aseer in 2024, and the region hopes to attract over 9 mn visitors annually by 2030, Tourism Minister Ahmed Al Khateeb said in a previous statement. To support this growth, Al Dabbagh said there’s a plan that includes the development of 19k hotel rooms, with 4k new rooms expected soon.

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CAPITAL MARKETS

First Saudi sukuk ETF goes live on Hong Kong Exchange

Saudi Arabia’s first investment-grade Sukuk ETF debuts in Hong Kong: The physically replicated Premia BOCHK Saudi Government Sukuk ETF began trading this past Thursday, offering investors direct exposure to government-issued sukuk denominated in SAR or USD, Premia Partners said in a post on LinkedIn.

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The fund carries a competitive annual total expense ratio (TER) of 0.35%, with the underlying sukuk carrying an A credit rating, reflecting low default risk. It tracks the iBoxx Tadawul Government & Agencies Sukuk Index — which includes only sukuk issued by the local government or its agencies.

The launch comes as Hong Kong seeks to boost connectivity with the Kingdom and the Middle East, HKEX CEO Bonnie Chan was quoted as saying by Bloomberg at Thursday’s Capital Markets Forum, co-hosted by Tadawul.

Looking ahead? Shariah-compliant sukuk and an REIT are among several products under review for cross-listing between Hong Kong and Riyadh, Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission Julia Leung was quoted as saying by Reuters. “We're very comfortable in the cross listing of whatever products,” Leung added.

ADVISIORS- Our friends at HSBC will provide trustee, custody, and administration services for the ETF in Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia, while S&P Dow Jones Indices has licensed its iBoxx Tadawul Sukuk Index to Premia Partners.

This is the latest of many Saudi and Chinese ETFs listed in Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Shanghai, and Riyadh since 2023. Bank Albilad rolled out the SAR 4.49 bn CSOP MSCI Hong Kong China ETF last October, followed by the Sab Invest Hang Seng Hong Kong ETF. Both launches came a month after the Capital Market Authority approved Saudi Arabia’s first Hong Kong-focused ETF for listing on Tadawul — a move that mirrored Hong Kong’s earlier decision to list a Saudi-focused ETF on the Hong Kong exchange in November 2023.

BUT- ETFs tracking Saudi and Chinese shares have seen limited trading and minimal capital influx, due to a “limited organic and natural demand for these products,” said Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst Rebecca Sin. “Despite their strong performance…most [of] the assets under management seems to have come at inception with cornerstone investors,” rather than drawing sustained interest from individual or mainstream institutional investors, Sin argued.

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CAPITAL MARKETS

Tadawul posts biggest monthly loss this year in May

Tadawul’s benchmark index TASI shed roughly 4.8% in May, its biggest monthly decline this year, despite trading volumes going up 39.5%, according to our review of official market data. TASI slipped 0.56% at Thursday’s close, logging an 8.7% YTD decline.

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IN CONTEXT- The index was on course to be the worst-performer in May among 92 equity benchmarks tracked by Bloomberg. The drop comes amid slumping oil prices and growing investor jitters over the Kingdom’s fiscal outlook and mega-projects spending.

Only 23 out of the 253 main market-listed companies traded in the green last month, according to Bloomberg data. Index heavyweights Al Rajhi Bank and Acwa Power were among the biggest drags, reflecting broad-based weakness across sectors, the business news service wrote.

Other heavyweights like Aramco and Sabic closed 1Q either in the red or with a drop in net income. Saudi Aramco reported a 4.6% y-o-y drop in net income to SAR 97.54 bn (USD 26 bn) in 1Q, while Saudi Basic Industries (Sabic) moved into the red, reporting a net loss of SAR 1.2 bn.

Some of this can be blamed on falling oil prices, which have spent most of the past two months hovering around USD 65 per barrel, well below what the Kingdom needs to balance its budget. Bloomberg Economics estimates the breakeven oil price for 1Q is USD 96 per barrel, rising to USD 113 mn when accounting for domestic PIF spending. That is its highest level since the launch of Vision 2030 in 2016, Bloomberg said.

How we’re faring against our peers: The bourse’s fourth straight month in the red — its longest losing streak in over a decade — is a sharp contrast to the broader emerging markets index, which notched its best month in May since September, Bloomberg wrote.

Pundits remain bullish on the long-term: “Oil prices are a headwind for [Saudi], and force the country to make capital allocation decisions that they wouldn’t need to if oil prices were higher at around USD 100,” Dominic Bokor-Ingram, a fund manager at Fiera Capital told the business information service. “It’s too much of a risk to ignore the Saudi market for an emerging-market investor,” he added.

Where TASI stands five months in: TASI started the year on a high note, closing up 3.2% inJanuary, before giving up ground every month since, dropping 2.4% in February, 0.7% in March, and 2.9% in April.

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Investment Watch

Hotel101 to invest USD 2.5 bn to expand into the Kingdom

Hotel101 to debut in the Kingdom via USD 2.5 bn investment: Filipino hotel chain Hotel101Global — a unit of DoubleDragon — partnered with Saudi investment firm Horizon Group to bring its brand to the kingdom, according to a statement on X posted last Thursday. A joint venture between the two firms will work on developing up to 10k of Hotel101’s signature standardized hotel rooms at a value of USD 2.5 bn.

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Where will the hotels be launched? Hotel101 is eyeing five locations for a start, namely Madinah, Riyadh, Jeddah, Abha, and AlUla.

ICYMI- The travel and tourism sector is projected to contribute SAR 447.2 bn (c. USD 119.2 bn) to the Kingdom’s GDP this year. These projections align with the Tourism Ministry’s plan to host 150 mn tourist trips by 2030, with the target of seeing 80 mn domestic travelers and 70 mn international travelers by that year.

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EDUCATION

EFG Hermes's SEP partners with First School Management to launch GEMS-branded schools in KSA and Bahrain

EFG Hermes-backed K-12 operator Spark Education Platform (SEP) is expanding its presence in the Gulf with a strategic partnership with GEMS Education's school advisory initiative First School Management (FSM) to launch GEMS-branded schools in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, according to a joint statement (pdf). This marks the first intellectual property agreement under FSM's global advisory initiative.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The details: FSM will provide advisory and operational support to SEP, which currently operates four schools in Saudi Arabia with a total capacity exceeding 10k+ students and plans to expand to 20 schools with 20k enrolled students across the GCC over the next five years.

What they said: "After our great success story in Egypt, I am honored to expand our partnership with First School Management into Saudi Arabia and Bahrain as key GCC markets with significant demand for new high-quality K-12 education capacities," Co-CEO of EFG Hermes Karim Moussa said.

REFRESHER- SEP is backed by the USD 300 mn Saudi Education Fund, which was launched in November 2024 by our friends at EFG Hermes. SEF plans to deploy its capital over the next three years, with a primary focus on the Kingdom, alongside its ventures in the UAE and Bahrain.

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BANKING

Saudi banks report second-biggest quarterly growth in net income in the region in 1Q -Kamco

Saudi-listed banks posted a quarterly increase of USD 338.4 mn in net income during the quarter, according to Kamco Invest’s banking sector quarterly report (pdf). UAE-listed banks came on top, growing 11.8% (USD 639.6 mn), while Bahraini banks rounded out the top three with USD 72.6 mn in additional net income.

Saudi banks saw customer deposits rise 4.8% q-o-q in 1Q, posting the third strongest growth in deposits during the quarter, behind the UAE (6.7% at USD 903.8 bn, and Qatar (6.1% at USD 438.9 bn). Bahraini, Omani, and Kuwait banks announced a bit slower customer deposit growth throughout the three-month period.

Saudi Arabia remained the leader of credit growth in the GCC: The kingdom registered a 16.3% y-o-y growth in outstanding credit facilities, marking the strongest double-digit annual growth in the region. The UAE’s credit growth in February 2025 showed a larger y-o-y growth of 24.1%, according to the report.

Burgeoning lending growth in the region is a sign of “a strong project pipeline, although aggregate contracts awarded during the quarter showed a y-o-y decline of 26.8% to reach USD 52.4 bn in 1Q-2025,” the report said. Only the UAE and Kuwait recorded “health growth” in the contracts awarded, while the rest of GCC countries posted declines during the quarter. Net loans posted a sequential growth of 4.1% during the quarter to reach USD 2.2 tn, the highest in 15 months, while gross loans grew 3.6%, Kamco said.

GCC banking sector bottom-line growth held steady during the first quarter of 2025, rising by 7.1% q-o-q and 8.6% y-o-y to hit a new record high of USD 15.6 bn. “The increase came despite a decline in net interest income during the quarter and was mainly led by higher non-interest income, lower operating expenses as well as a sharp seasonal decline in impairments during the quarter,” Kamco said. The drop in net interest income was triggered by rate cuts during the second half of 2024 “with aggregate yield on credit for the GCC banking sector falling by 5 bps to 4.16% in 1Q 2025 as compared to 4.21% in 4Q of 2024.”

The GCC banking sector’s aggregate topline also reached a new record high of USD 34.6 bn during the quarter — though growth was the weakest in four quarters at 0.04%, according to the report. “The flattish growth was led by a decline in revenues reported by banks in Kuwait and Oman that almost fully offset the increase in revenues registered in other GCC countries,” the report said. Qatari banks saw the biggest increase in revenues with an increase of 2.1% q-oq, followed by Saudi at 1.6%, and UAE at 0.6%.

Total customer deposits reported by listed GCC banks hit a new record high of USD 2.65 tn by the end of 1Q, marking 5.1% q-o-q growth, while y-o-y growth came in at 9.9%. “This was one of the biggest quarterly growths recorded in the GCC and was most likely led by volatility in financial markets that led to an increase in flows towards regional banks deposits,” according to the report.

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STARTUP WATCH

Taawoni raises USD 1.6 mn in funding round

Local edtech startup Taawoni raised USD 1.6 mn in a funding round led by M Capital, the company said in a post on LinkedIn on Friday.

Use of proceeds: The fresh funds will be used to fast-track Taawoni’s growth and geographic expansion, as well as enhance its AI-powered professional development platform.

About Taawoni: Founded in 2021 by Aliyah Alghubayn (LinkedIn), the startup connects universities with private and public sector organizations by automating cooperative training programs. To date, Taawoni has facilitated training for 68k individuals through partnerships with over 800 companies and 14 universities, according to figures published on its website.

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EARNINGS WATCH

UCIC’s 1Q net income drops 46% y-o-y to SAR 18.7 mn

United Carton Industries (UCIC) saw its net income fall 46% y-o-y to SAR 18.7 mn in 1Q 2025, according to a disclosure to Tadawul. The decline was mainly attributed to higher raw material costs, especially paper.

Revenue also slipped 1.6% y-o-y to SAR 349.8 mn, weighed down by lower selling prices in the corrugated segment.

ICYMI- UCIC shares dropped 1.5% on their debut trading session to close at SAR 49.3 apiece, despite a solid order book that saw the institutional tranche 126x oversubscribed and the retail component 8.9x oversubscribed.

11

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

AlJomaih secures SAR 825 mn for Rabigh 2 plant

INFRASTRUCTURE-

AlJomaih Energy and Water Company reached financial close for the 300 MW Rabigh 2 Solar Independent Power Plant with total financing of SAR 825 mn, according to a press release (pdf). Once operational, the facility is expected to power some 53k residential units.

The financiers: The project bagged funding from a consortium comprising Al Rajhi Bank, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, and DBS Bank.

BACKGROUND- TotalEnergies and AlJomaih signed a 25-year power purchase agreement with the Saudi Power Procurement Company (SPPC) for the 300 MW solar project during French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit last December. This came after the consortium got shortlisted by the SPPC in October, as part of the fifth round of projects under KSA’s National Renewable Energy Program.

IPO WATCH-

Local hospital operator Specialized Medical Company (SMC) closed the institutional book for its IPO, after identifying an inconsistency across financial disclosures and securing the retrieval of SAR 200 mn (USD 53 mn) in recently paid dividends, according to a complimentary prospectus (pdf). The dividend reversal follows CMA regulation, with shareholders required to return the capital before 30 June.

ICYMI- SMC has postponed its retail IPO subscription to 15-16 June, scheduling final share allocation for Tuesday, 24 June, according to a complimentary prospectus (pdf). Moreover, the private healthcare provider is offering a 30% stake in a secondary share sale, selling the institutional tranche sold out within hours last month at the full price range of SAR 24–25 per share.

M&A WATCH-

Fipco eyes full takeover of Bina Holding: Tadawul-listed woven bag-maker Filing andPackingMaterials Manufacturing (Fipco) inked a non-binding MoU to acquire 100% of construction company Bina Industrial Investments Holding ’s share capital, it said in a filing to the exchange.

The agreement sets a 180-day window to complete due diligence, appoint a financial advisor, negotiate final terms, and line up regulatory approvals.

LOCALIZATION-

Local Content and Government Procurement Authority (LCGPA) signed an agreement with SNT Gulf to manufacture heat recovery systems locally, the authority said in a post on LinkedIn. The agreement — backed by the Energy Ministry — is expected to add SAR 2.6 bn to the economy and create over 250 jobs, aiming to improve power plant efficiency and build new supply chains in the energy sector.

REFRESHER- The authority signed agreements with Al Yamamah Steel industries and the Arabian International Company for Steel Structure last October to localize the manufacturing of steel wind turbine towers.

12

PLANET FINANCE

M&A activity surged in the region in 1Q 2025

MENA dealmaking surged in 1Q, with M&As jumping 66% y-o-y in value to USD 46 bn across 225 transactions (up 31% y-o-y) driven by “regulatory reforms, policy shift and a favorable macroeconomic outlook,” EY MENA Leader Brad Watson said in the firm’s latest M&A insights report. The UAE dominated the region’s M&A league table as the top target country in 1Q with 63 transactions totaling USD 20.3 bn, followed by Kuwait (USD 2.3 bn).

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background and outside sources.)

Cross-border activity hit a five-year high in 1Q, driving the bulk of growth. M&As with companies based in different countries accounted for 81% of the region’s total transaction value and 52% of volume across 117 plays in the first three months of the year.

The value of domestic transactions hit USD 8.7 bn, up 5x y-o-y. Transactions in the technology sector accounted for 37% of total domestic M&As value, and 27% of their volume. G42’s USD 2.2 bn acquisition of a 40% stake in Khazna Data Centers was the region’s largest domestic M&A last quarter.

The quarter saw more M&A capital outflows than inflows: Outbound M&A activity hit USD 19.7 bn, representing 43% of total transaction value in the region. Saudi Arabia and the UAE alone made up 77% of outbound activity by volume and 94% by value. The UK was the region’s top target country by dealcount in 1Q, while Canada and Peru led in outbound value, thanks to Adnoc and OMV’s joint acquisition of Canada’s Nova Chemicals for USD 6.3 bn.

Inbound M&A value clocked in at USD 17.6 bn last quarter, representing a 7x y-o-y increase.The UAE captured the bulk of inbound funds into the region, accounting for 53% of all inbound transactions and nearly all of the total value (99%) fueled by the USD 60 bn merger of Adnoc and Austrian energy giant OMV’s polyolefin businesses. Austria topped the investor chart, making up 94% of the UAE’s total inbound value.

Keep an eye on these sectors: The MENA M&A pipeline looks strong for the rest of 2025, with more action expected in consumer, tech, and energy. And with AI set to shake up how value is created, it’s expected that more investment will flow into the tech space, said Anil Menon, EY’s head of M&A and Equity Capital Markets.

ANOTHER AREA THAT COULD SEE MORE CONSOLIDATION- The banking sector in the GCC, according to Fitch Ratings, which expects sustained lower oil prices and weaker global demand to put pressure on GCC bank operating environments, “leading to weaker profitability and acting as a catalyst for M&A as banks seek to diversify their revenues and increase scale,” the ratings agency said in a report. Fitch argues that smaller banks may be on the M&A radar, citing their “weaker franchises, and often higher funding costs and thinner capital buffers.”

Most GCC banking sectors are “overbanked,” with a big number of banks operating relative to population size — more than 150 banks operate across the region, half of which are domestic commercial banks. A lot of the banks have common shareholders.

While the majority of GCC bank M&As have been domestic, Fitch expects “a gradual shift towards regional transactions, citing Kuwait Finance House’s takeover of Ahli United Bank as an example. A few GCC banks have also expressed their interest in expanding beyond the region, but Fitch warns that this may entail additional risks, “especially for acquisitions in more macroeconomically volatile markets, such as Turkey and Egypt.”

TASI

10,990

-0.6% (YTD: -8.7%)

MSCI Tadawul 30

1,404

-0.7% (YTD: -7.0%)

NomuC

26,810

-0.5% (YTD: -14.8%)

USD : SAR (SAMA)

USD 3.75 Sell

USD 3.75 Buy

Interest rates

5.0% repo

4.5% reverse repo

EGX30

32,697

+0.6% (YTD: +9.9%)

ADX

9,685

-0.6% (YTD: +2.8%)

DFM

5,481

-0.2% (YTD: +6.2%)

S&P 500

5912

-0.01% (YTD: +0.5%)

FTSE 100

8772

+0.6% (YTD: +7.3%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5367

-0.1% (YTD: +9.6%)

Brent crude

USD 62.78

-0.9%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 3.45

-2.1%

Gold

USD 3315.40

-0.9%

BTC

USD 104,677.30

+0.1% (YTD: +12.0%)

Sukuk/bond market index

913

-0.1% (YTD: 1.2%)

S&P MENA bond & sukuk

143.6

+0.1% (YTD: +5.5%)

VIX (Fear gauge)

18.6

-3.2% (YTD: +7.0%)

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-

The TASI fell 0.6% on Thursday on turnover of SAR 10.2 bn. The index is down 8.7% YTD.

In the green: Saudi Re (+9.3%), East Pipes (+7.8%), Arabian Drilling (+5.1%).

In the red: MCDC (-5.7%), Jabal Omar (-4.5%), Elm (-4.2%).

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-

The NomuC fell 0.5% on Thursday on turnover of SAR 24.3 mn. The index is down 14.8% YTD.

In the green: Adeer (+10.4%), Rawasi (+9.7%), WSM (+9.4%).

In the red: Bena (-8.2%), Ladun (-5.9%), Naseej Tech (-5.8%).

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

Raydan Food Company’s BoD proposed a two-step capital restructuring, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul. The company will implement a 53.7% capital reduction to SAR 73.1 mn, canceling 8.5 mn shares (0.5 shares per owned share) to offset accumulated losses, followed by a capital increase of SAR 155 mn via a rights issue, raising the total capital to SAR 228.1 mn, representing 7.3 mn shares and increasing the number of total shares to 22.8 mn.

Pending approvals: Both the capital reduction and increase require approval from the Capital Market Authority, relevant regulatory authorities, and shareholders.

ADVISORS- Albilad Capital was tapped as financial advisor for the reduction and as financial advisor, lead manager, and underwriter for the rights issue.


Edarat Communications and Information Technology will boost its capital by 100% to SAR 50.4 mn via a bonus share issuance, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul. The SAR 25.2 mn capital increase will be funded using retained earnings, with shareholders receiving one bonus share for each share owned. The new liquidity is earmarked for shoring up the company’s capital base and supporting future business activities.

13

DIPLOMACY

FM Faisal bin Farhan touches down in Damascus

Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan arrived in Damascus yesterday, leading a high-level economic delegation to discuss economic support and institutional development with Syrian President Ahmad Al Sharaa, according to state news agency SPA. The visit is part of broader efforts to restore diplomatic and economic ties, Syria’s state news agency Sana said.

On the agenda: Farhan said that conversations with President Al Sharaa focused on “bilateral cooperation in various fields” to consolidate and support economic development in Syria, while confirming the Kingdom’s intention to subsidize Syrian state employees' salaries without stating a specific amount, Sana reported.

On the Syrian side, Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad Al Shaibani stated that talks focused on economy, energy, and joint investment, as he hailed the Kingdom’s efforts to help lift economic sanctions while emphasizing the “pivotal role” the Kingdom plays in the country’s reconstruction.

Upcoming Saudi business delegations will address investment and cooperation in the energy, agriculture, trade, infrastructure, and IT sectors, Farhan added.

AND- The presidents of the Maldives and Mauritania arrived in Madinah yesterday to visit the Prophet’s Mosque and perform prayers, SPA reported.


27 May-1 Jun (Tuesday-Sunday): Al Khaldi’s Nomu IPO subscription period

JUNE

1 June (Sunday): Axelerated Solutions begins trading on the Nomu parallel market.

4-9 June (Wednesday-Monday): Hajj.

5-10 June (Thursday-Tuesday): Markets close for Eid Al Adha.

6-10 June (Friday-Tuesday): Eid Al Adha.

17-18 June (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting and Summary of Economic Projections.

24-25 June (Tuesday-Wednesday): Tech-ecO-System Summit (ToSS), Riyadh.

30 June (Monday): Cancellation of Fines and Exemption of Financial Penalties Initiative by the Zakat, Tax and Customs Authority (Zatca) deadline.

JULY

July (Second week): World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) Global Awards 2025 awards ceremony, Geneva.

7 July-24 August (Monday-Sunday): Esports World Cup, Riyadh.

29-30 July (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.

31 July (Thursday): Deadline for companies with SAR 2.5 mn or more in 2022/2023 revenues to integrate e-invoicing solutions with Fatoora.

AUGUST

7 July-24 August (Monday-Sunday): Esports World Cup, Riyadh.

5-17 August (Tuesday-Sunday): 2025 Fiba Asia Cup, Jeddah.

SEPTEMBER

15-17 September (Monday-Wednesday): Money 20/20 Middle East, Riyadh.

17-18 September (Wednesday-Thursday): US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting and Summary of Economic Projections.

23 September (Tuesday): Saudi National Day.

OCTOBER

1-3 October (Wednesday-Friday): Saudi Green Building Forum, Riyadh.

7-8 October (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global EV & Mobility Technology (GEMTECH) Forum, Riyadh.

15 October (Wednesday): Russian-Arab Summit.

17 October (Friday): Saudization for private healthcare roles enters its second phase.

22-23 October (Wednesday-Thursday): Private Capital Forum, Riyadh.

28-30 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Future Investment Initiative (FII9), King Abdulaziz International Conference Center (KAICC) and the Ritz-Carlton, Riyadh.

28-29 October (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.

NOVEMBER

3-9 November (Monday- Sunday): WTA Tour Finals, Riyadh.

11-13 November (Tuesday-Thursday): TouriseSummit, Riyadh.

23-26 November (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Food Exhibition and Conference, Riyadh.

24-26 November (Monday-Wednesday) The World Advanced Manufacturing & Logistics Saudi Expo, Riyadh.

27-30 November (Thursday-Sunday): World Rally Championship Saudi Arabia 2025, Jeddah.

30 November (Sunday): Zatca 21st E-invocing integration wave deadline.

DECEMBER

1-4 December (Monday-Thursday): International Conference on Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies, Riyadh.

1-4 December (Monday-Thursday): 61st ISOCARP World Planning Congress, Riyadh.

9-10 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Open Market Committee meeting and Summary of Economic Projections.

25-27 December (Saturday-Monday): The Fortune Global Forum 2025, Riyadh.

31 December (Wednesday): Zatca 22st E-invoicing integration wave deadline.

2026

UN Trade and Development Global Supply Chain Forum to take place in Saudi Arabia.

8-12 February (Sunday-Thursday): World Defense Show, Riyadh.

26-29 October (Monday-Thursday): World Energy Congress, Riyadh.

27-29 April (Monday-Wednesday): Aluminum Arabia, The Arena, Riyadh.

2027

The World Water Forum takes place in Riyadh.

The Ocean Race finishes in Amaala on the Red Sea.

Riyadh-Kudmi transmission line to be completed.

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