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BMI expects economic growth to fall by at least 0.2-0.3 percentage points if the war persists through April
Higher energy prices will hit energy-importing countries the most, and consumption will take a hit amid rising prices
Business activity across the world is already reeling from the impacts of the war
That’s why economists are increasingly using one word to describe what’s happening: stagflation
The regional war hits the international bond market
So far this month, over USD 2.5 bn has been wiped off global bond values
Stagflation rewrites the hedge book as oil breaks old safe havens
Brent longs are at a six-year high, the USD is back in favor, and even classic havens are no longer…
GCC debt markets hit the brakes as geopolitical risk spikes
Heavy demand from Islamic banks is keeping sukuk spreads tighter than conventional bonds
A brief war calm sparks record bond rush
USD 65 bn priced in a day as issuers raced during a brief lull in war-driven volatility
Finance Ministry closes SAR 15.43 bn domestic sukuk offering for March
March sukuk issuance sees yields range between 4.68% and 5.63%
IMF warns Middle East conflict could add 40 bps to global inflation, and some central banks are likely to pause monetary easing
This will happen if the current regional conflict drives oil prices up by 10% and holds them there for most…
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