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Markets seem to discount war-related risk with record rallies
Stocks around the world are rallying, but policymakers think markets are discounting the economic fallout of the war
China’s exports decelerate on disruption from Gulf war, seasonal distortions
Exports rose just 2.5% y-o-y in March, while imports increased by 28% y-o-y
IMF trims global GDP forecast with dispersed war scenarios
MENA region sees the most significant slip by a 2.8 percentage points down from 3.9%
Wall Street built a tool to short private credit
The embattled sector’s value ranges between USD 1.8 tn to over USD 3 tn
World Bank warns of prolonged economic strain from Iran war
World Bank warns of slower growth and higher inflation even under ceasefire scenario
A wobbly ceasefire puts spanner in EM equities’ recovery
Stock markets were seeing a rally in the wake of the ceasefire news
Central banks shift from US Treasuries to gold and USD, flagging geopolitics as the top risk
Over 70% of the surveyed banks rank geopolitics as their top threat
Western private credit markets face a stress wave over AI and transparency concerns
Some funds limited withdrawals to avoid selling illiquid loans at large reductions
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