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BMI expects economic growth to fall by at least 0.2-0.3 percentage points if the war persists through April
Higher energy prices will hit energy-importing countries the most, and consumption will take a hit amid rising prices
Business activity across the world is already reeling from the impacts of the war
That’s why economists are increasingly using one word to describe what’s happening: stagflation
Stagflation rewrites the hedge book as oil breaks old safe havens
Brent longs are at a six-year high, the USD is back in favor, and even classic havens are no longer…
Inflation cools to 1.7% in February
Housing and utilities continue to be the main upward driver of inflation
IMF warns Middle East conflict could add 40 bps to global inflation, and some central banks are likely to pause monetary easing
This will happen if the current regional conflict drives oil prices up by 10% and holds them there for most…
Inflation rate hits 11-month low in January
Food and beverages only rose 0.2% compared to 1.4% in December
Inflation stabilizes at 2.1% as housing, chemicals drive year-end heat
Persistent growth in rent prices is creating a higher floor for the cost of living
AI may be engineering its own bust
Morgan Stanley predicts AI infrastructure investment needs will keep US inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target through the end…
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