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Non-oil exports jump in January, but trade surplus narrows
Merchandise trade surplus fell 17.5% y-o-y in January 2026
BMI expects economic growth to fall by at least 0.2-0.3 percentage points if the war persists through April
Higher energy prices will hit energy-importing countries the most, and consumption will take a hit amid rising prices
Business activity across the world is already reeling from the impacts of the war
That’s why economists are increasingly using one word to describe what’s happening: stagflation
Stagflation rewrites the hedge book as oil breaks old safe havens
Brent longs are at a six-year high, the USD is back in favor, and even classic havens are no longer…
Oil production ramp-up could trim Saudi’s deficit in 2026, says ADCB
Higher oil prices and a post-conflict production ramp-up may trim the Kingdom’s budget gap more than previously expected
Inflation cools to 1.7% in February
Housing and utilities continue to be the main upward driver of inflation
THIS MORNING: GCC could see worst economic slump since Gulf War
PLUS: Oil producers watch bns of USD slip through Hormuz
Saudi’s A+ rating stands firm on war buffers, says S&P
Strategic oil pipelines and storage buffers shield the economy from maritime disruptions
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