Get EnterpriseAM daily

More brownie points from the IMF

1

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: From “delivery at any cost” to “delivery at the right cost”

Happy hump day, friends. We have an unnaturally uneventful Tuesday morning, as much of the world’s attention is split between Davos, where the World Economic Forum is on its second day in the Swiss town, and the latest trade war drama from Washington. We have more on both in this morning’s Big Story Abroad, below.

Saudi’s new mantra is “delivery at the right cost,” turning the page on the “delivery at any cost” phase of Vision 2030 as it pivots from rapid rollout to more disciplined capital allocation, Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Al Ibrahim told Arab News. However, he warned that global stagnation, inflation, and trade barriers are creating a “progress deficit,” which Saudi Arabia is looking to address through pragmatic partnerships.

Reforms, fiscal discipline, and policy flexibility will sustain national growth, Finance Minister Mohammed Al Jadaan said, stressing that reforms must be institutionalized and fiscal space prioritized toward high-impact sectors, Alsharq Business reports.

Why this matters: Lower oil prices, rising borrowing, and a widening deficit have forced policymakers to reassess the pace of spending and gigaprojects. Al Jadaan reiterated from Davos what he said earlier in May that the government is handing some Vision 2030 projects to the private sector and adjusting timelines to “take stock” to avoid the economy “overheating.”

ALSO- Saudi domestic spending won’t fund US investments: Al Ibrahim dismissed speculation that domestic spending would be diverted to fund potential USD 1 tn US investments, adding that overseas prospects align with existing plans.

Happening tomorrow

Alwasail Industrial Company and Nofoth Food Products will begin trading on the main market tomorrow, having secured the Capital Market Authority’s approval to transfer from the parallel market Nomu late last year, according to two separate Tadawul disclosures. Both companies’ shares will be subject to a 10% daily price fluctuation limit.

PSA

Private-sector marketing and sales jobs are going to see their Saudization rates rise to 60%, the Human Resources and Social Development Ministry said in a statement yesterday. The rules apply to establishments with three or more employees and will take effect three months from the announcement date, with a minimum wage requirement of SAR 5.5k.

MEANWHILE- The ministry also set new Saudization targets for engineering and procurement jobs earlier this month, requiring a 30% localization rate and a minimum salary of SAR 8k for engineering roles, while targeting a 70% rate for procurement positions. Both measures will take effect six months from the announcement date.

Watch this space

YEMEN — Yemeni politicians are deliberating the country’s future in Riyadh ahead of the upcoming Saudi-sponsored conference, the Associated Press reports, citing a statement issued by the politicians. They said their Sunday meeting — the first public gathering since the Southern Transitional Council (STC) was disbanded earlier this month — reflected a “unified southern will” seeking a “just, safe and guaranteed solution” to their case.


SHIPPING — Greece joins KSA + US in anti-NZF push: The Greek government is working with Saudi Arabia and the US against the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) Net-Zero Framework (NZF). Athens and Riyadh agreed to submit a joint proposal on this issue, Greek Energy Minister Stavros Papastavrou reportedly said.


SYRIA — Riyadh Cables is spending SAR 60 mn to revive and operate a factory owned by the Syrian Sovereign Fund. The 18-year agreement sees the cable manufacturer taking management control of Syrian Modern Cables Company, with an eye on generating SAR 750 mn in annual revenue at full capacity, it said in a Tadawul disclosure on Sunday.

The strategy: Instead of building from scratch, Riyadh Cables is leveraging distressed state assets to capture immediate market share. By partnering with the Syrian Sovereign Fund (splitting income 60/40), they position themselves as a primary supplier for the massive construction push.


Acwa Power has more global expansion on its agenda: After securing its first non-Gulf projects in Senegal and Azerbaijan, Acwa Power is targeting China, Malaysia, and the Philippines, while assessing entry into the US, CEO Marco Arcelli told Asharq Business. Any investment in Syria remains conditional on a secure, financeable framework.

Why it matters: Saudi Arabia is positioning itself as a key infrastructure partner for emerging markets such as Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, and Senegal, increasingly competing with — or complementing — China’s Belt and Road Initiative. With Chinese firms long dominant in EPC contracts across these markets, Acwa Power’s move into China, particularly in renewables, signals confidence that its development model is now competitive enough to land projects on Beijing’s home turf.

Data point

SAR 217.9 bn — that’s the value of local and foreign investment fund assets in the Saudi financial market by 3Q 2025, jumping 36.1% y-o-y from SAR 160.1 bn in 3Q 2024, according to the Capital Market Authority’s latest quarterly statistical bulletin (pdf). The growth was driven by a 39% annual increase in domestic investment assets, totaling SAR 186.9 bn (86% of total assets), while foreign investment assets accounted for the remaining SAR 31.1 bn.

***You’re reading EnterpriseAM Saudi, your essential daily roundup of business, economics, and must-read news about Saudi, delivered straight to your inbox. We’re out Sunday through Thursday by 7am Riyadh time.

EnterpriseAM Saudi is available without charge thanks to the generous support of our friends at Tas’heel and Hassan Allam Properties.

Want to send us a story idea, request coverage, ask for a correction, or otherwise get in touch? Reach out to us on saudi@enterpriseAM.com.

DID YOU KNOW that we also cover Egypt, the UAE, the MENA logistics industry, and the MENA <> India corridor?

Were you forwarded this email? Tap or click here to get your own copy of EnterpriseAM Saudi delivered every weekday.
***

The big story abroad

It’s a mixed bag in the foreign business press this morning, as Davos, Trump, and the EU’s potential retaliation against the US continue to dominate headlines.

Trump’s “Board of Peace” plans are still causing havoc, as he plans to sign off on its constitution and remit in Davos on Thursday. Invitations to the Board of Peace — which some are criticizing as being Trump’s answer to the UN — have been extended to dozens of countries, including the UAE, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia, but France has openly declined the invitation and Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is pushing back due to the make-up of the Board of Peace for Gaza, which includes Qatar and Turkey.

^^The must-read on the topic: Trump Wants His Peace Board Signed in Davos. Macron Declines

Meanwhile, the chatter around the EU’s potential reaction to the US’ threats over its opposition to his claims over Greenland has extended to markets, with analysts looking at whether European countries might go as far as selling off tns of USD in US bonds and stocks, potentially driving borrowing costs up and equities down, Bloomberg reports. Analysts say this is an unlikely scenario given a lot of these assets are held by private funds, but the fact that Deutsche Bank’s chief global currency strategist is even discussing the “weaponization of capital” signals the current risks to markets amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty courtesy of Trump.

Speaking of markets, the New York Stock Exchange’s parent, the Intercontinental Exchange, is launching a 24/7 platform for trading of tokenized assets, Reuters reports.

ALSO MAKING HEADLINES- Italian fashion designer Valentino died yesterday at his home in Rome at 93, leaving behind a storied legacy both on the Red Carpet and across Paris’ haute couture catwalks.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

Easier life with Tasheel
From OUR FAMILY to YOURS
2

ECONOMY

IMF doubles down on praise for Saudi’s non-oil pivot

The IMF is pointing to Saudi Arabia’s private sector as a blueprint for regional stability, with Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva praising the Kingdom’s systematic shift into manufacturing, tourism, and financial services for creating a level of “resilience” that now acts as a buffer against global market volatility. Georgieva noted that the scale of these reforms — and the push for entrepreneurship among youth — has become highly influential, prompting the IMF to open a regional office in Riyadh to share the Saudi experience with other markets.

The praise coincides with a quantitative upgrade: The IMF revised its 2026 growth outlook for Saudi Arabia upward to 4.5% in its latest World Economic Outlook, a 0.5 percentage point increase over its October forecast. Growth is expected to moderate to 3.7% in 2027.

Why it matters: The revision signals confidence that the private sector’s flexibility can offset a projected 7% decline in oil prices in 2026. While OPEC+ strategies are currently providing a “soft price floor,” the IMF expects the non-oil economy to be the primary engine of momentum.

And regionally…

The IMF revised its 2026 growth forecast for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region to 3.9%, a 0.2 percentage point bump from its projection last October. Growth is expected to accelerate further to 4.0% in 2027.

Increased oil output, paired with strong demand and continued reforms, were cited as reasons for the upward revision and current momentum in the Middle East and Central Asia, the report said. It also comes against the backdrop of more steady global growth, with its forecast for the global economy also bumped up by 0.2 percentage points to 3.3%.

The forecast makes the IMF among the most bullish on MENA, with BMI forecasting a 3.6% growth clip for the region this year, up from 3% in 2025, while the World Bank penciled in 3.7% growth for the region.

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background and outside sources.)

Tags:

3

MOVES

Sadirat taps new managing director + Fadeco appoints CFO

Saudi Industrial Export Company (Sadirat) named its board member Halim Essayem (LinkedIn) as managing director, it said in a Tadawul disclosure. Essayem brings over 23 years of experience to the role, having held several executive positions throughout his career.

Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company (Fadeco) appointed Fadel Fawaz (LinkedIn) as its CFO, according to a Tadawul disclosure. With more than 15 years of experience, Fawaz has previously held positions at Alfransi Complex for Aluminium, Delifrost Caterers Nigeria, and Medco Group.

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background and outside sources.)

4

SAUDI IN THE NEWS

Saudi Arabia leans into leisure tourism to diversify visitor base

Saudi Arabia is working to diversify its tourism industry through leisure offerings, with an eye to attract repeat holiday visitors with luxury gigaprojects, Tourism Minister Ahmed Al Khateeb told Bloomberg. The strategy works towards a goal of 150 mn annual visitors, including 50 mn international travelers, by 2030, the minister said (watch, runtime: 11:36).

The Mishal Husain Show episode highlighted the structural hurdles Saudi Arabia faces in competing with regional hubs like Dubai. Steven Cook, senior fellow for MENA studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, argues that while the Kingdom has a vibrant commercial economy, it still lacks the deep-seated institutions of a true market economy. He warned that investors operating outside the hydrocarbon sector need “rational investment laws,” not just commercial prospects.

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background and outside sources.)

5

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

Saudi power equipment maker locks in France deal

EIC lands major French transformer contract

Electrical Industries Company’s (EIC) Belgian subsidiary Pauwels Transformers will provide power transformers to France’s main electricity distribution operator Enedis under a SAR 150.4 mn, five-year framework agreement, EIC said in a disclosure to Tadawul yesterday. The contract covers the design, manufacture, and supply of the units and is extendable for up to three additional years through 2033. If all extensions are exercised, the total value would rise to around SAR 227.3 mn.

Why it matters: The agreement allows EIC to capitalize on the global shortage of power transformers and Europe’s accelerating energy transition. It also signals a shift from one-off equipment sales toward a longer-term utility partner model in the EU. By locking in France’s primary grid operator, EIC is securing a long-term revenue stream.

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background and outside sources.)

State grains buyer closes its first wheat tender of the year

The General Food Security Authority bought 907k tons in its first wheat tender of the year, exceeding the 595k tons it originally sought, the state grains buyer said on X. The imported wheat is scheduled for delivery between April and May 2026. The tender covers 15 vessels, with five shipments designated for Jeddah Islamic Port, seven for Yanbu Commercial Port, two for Dammam’s King Abdulaziz Port, and one for Jazan Port.

Grove secures funding for service expansion

Fresh-produce firm Grove closed a USD 5 mn (SAR 19 mn) seed funding round led by Outliers Venture Capital along with a group of angel investors, earmarked for Grove’s expansion of its services and agricultural products, it said in a statement yesterday.

About Grove: Founded in 2024 by Mohammed bin Ghannam (LinkedIn) and Ayman Alfifi, Grove provides consumers with fresh agricultural products, connecting farms, markets and households via a vertically coordinated system.

6

PLANET FINANCE

Gold, silver hit records as Trump’s Greenland ultimatum rattles markets

Gold and silver hit record highs Monday as US President Donald Trump’s Greenland ultimatum sparked a global flight to safety, fueling equity sell-offs and a weaker USD. With US markets closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, the impact was seen mainly in Europe and Asia.

What moved the market

Investors are pouring into havens as they see a return to the “US-EU trade war,” Fordham Global Foresight’s Tina Fordham told Reuters, after Trump announced 10% tariffs starting February on eight European nations opposing his bid to annex Greenland, to be raised to 25% by June without an agreement. EU officials condemned the move as “blackmail,” with Germany’s finance minister saying Europe’s “limit has been reached,” Bloomberg reports. Europe is planning retaliatory tariffs on EUR 93 bn (USD 108 bn) of US goods, and France may invoke the EU’s Anti-Coercion Instrument to restrict US access to public contracts and banking.

Beyond trade, the rally is being fueled by renewed concerns over US institutional stability. The Trump administration has renewed attacks on the Federal Reserve’s independence, and markets are anxiously awaiting a US Supreme Court argument scheduled for Wednesday regarding Trump’s effort to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Simultaneously, Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman signaled that a fragile job market might necessitate future interest rate cuts, Reuters reported separately. Markets are currently pricing in at least two 25 bps rate cuts later this year.

A market in flux

Precious metals are having their moment in the sun: Spot gold jumped 1.7% to USD 4.68k an ounce, gold has now risen over 8% this year following a massive 64% gain last year. Spot silver surged 5% to USD 94.4 (up 32% YTD) while platinum (up 1.5%) and palladium (up 1.1%) also posted gains.

Global equities fell as risk appetite waned, with European futures down 1.1%, Japan’s Nikkei down 1%, and US tech in Frankfurt slipping — Alphabet down 2.4%, Nvidia and Microsoft down 2.2%, according to Reuters. Nasdaq 100 futures also dropped 1.25%. The USD weakened on rising political risk, with the EUR inched up 0.26% to USD 1.1628, while Bitcoin fell nearly 3% to USD 92.6k. On the flipside, European defense stocks surged nearly 15% this month on fears about Greenland — after the US seizure of Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro.

Looking ahead

Gold and silver rally set to continue: Analysts at Citigroup expect the precious metals rally to extend, forecasting gold to reach USD 5k and silver USD 100 an ounce within three months. JP Morgan strategists highlighted a stronger preference for gold, citing its “cleaner, bullish structural story,” while viewing any silver pullbacks as buying opportunities.

These geopolitical risks could threaten US tech: Kallum Pickering, chief economist at Peel Hunt, cautioned that simultaneous pressure on the Fed and Europe could drive investors away from US assets, creating downside risks for already lofty US tech valuations.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

It’s a sea of red for Asia-Pacific markets, which are down in early trading as investors remain jittery over US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats over Greenland, while yields on Japan’s long-dated government bonds are rising. It’s not looking much better over on Wall Street, where futures point to a drop on the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq when markets open later today.

TASI

10,917

0.0% (YTD: +4.1%)

MSCI Tadawul 30

1,467

0.0% (YTD: +5.8%)

NomuC

23,358

-0.4% (YTD: +0.3%)

USD : SAR (SAMA)

USD 3.75 Sell

USD 3.75 Buy

Interest rates

4.25% repo

3.75% reverse repo

EGX30

45,048

+2.5% (YTD: +7.7%)

ADX

10,171

+0.5% (YTD: +1.8%)

DFM

6,344

+0.4% (YTD: +4.9%)

S&P 500

6.940

-0.1% (YTD: +1.4%)

FTSE 100

10,195

-0.4% (YTD: +2.7%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,926

-1.7% (YTD: +2.3%)

Brent crude

USD 63.94

-0.3%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 3.60

+16.0%

Gold

USD 4,673

+1.7%

BTC

USD 92,633

-0.1% (YTD: +5.8%)

Sukuk/bond market index

921.85

0.0% (YTD: +0.3%)

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk

151.58

-0.2% (YTD: -0.2%)

VIX (Volatility Index)

18.84

+18.7% (YTD: +26.0%)

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-

The TASI remained unchanged yesterday on turnover of SAR 4.0 bn. The index is up 4.1% YTD.

In the green: Teco (+10.0%), Alyamamah Steel (+8.6%) and Anaam Holding (+4.1%).

In the red: Sieco (-3.7%), Acwa Power (-3.5%) and Naseej (-3.1%).

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-

The NomuC fell 0.4% yesterday on turnover of SAR 10.2 mn. The index is up 0.3% YTD.

In the green: NGDC (+7.6%), Almujtama Medical (+5.5%) and Pro Medex (+4.4%).

In the red: Multi Business (-9.8%), Molan (-9.3%) and Anmat (-8.9%).


JANUARY

18-21 January (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Hospital Design and Build Expo, Riyadh.

26-27 January (Monday-Tuesday): SuperReturn Saudi Arabia, Hotel Fairmont, Riyadh.

26-27 January (Monday-Tuesday): GPRC Summit, Riyadh.

26-28 January (Monday-Wednesday): Saudi Franchise Expo (SFE), Riyadh Exhibition and Convention Centre, Riyadh.

26-28 January (Monday-Wednesday): Real Estate Future Forum, Four Seasons Hotel, Riyadh.

26-28 January (Monday-Wednesday): IFAT Saudi Arabia, Riyadh Front Exhibition & Conference Center, Riyadh,

27-28 January (Tuesday-Wednesday): SkyMove Air Cargo MENA, Riyadh.

28 January (Wednesday): Data Center Nation Riyadh, Riyadh.

28-30 January (Wednesday-Friday): Jeddah International Travel and Tourism Exhibition (JTTX), Jeddah.

FEBRUARY

2-4 February (Monday-Wednesday): Saudi Media Forum, Riyadh.

2-4 February (Monday-Wednesday): Women Leaders Summit and Awards KSA, Riyadh.

2-13 February (Monday-Friday): 2026 Asian Road Cycling Championship and Paralympic Cycling, Qassim.

3-4 February (Tuesday-Wednesday): RLC Global Forum Annual Meeting, Riyadh.

4 February (Wednesday): Michelin Guide’s Restaurant Celebration, Four Seasons Hotel, Riyadh.

5 February (Thursday): Deadline to submit bids for EPC contract for Ras Mohaisen-Baha-Makkah Independent Water Transmission System.

5-7 February (Thursday-Saturday): LIV Golf 2026 season opener, Riyadh Golf Club, Riyadh.

8-12 February (Sunday-Thursday): World Defense Show, Riyadh International Convention and Exhibition Center, Riyadh.

8-9 February (Sunday-Monday): AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (ACEME), Maraya Hall, AlUla.

9-10 February (Monday-Tuesday): Global Games Show Riyadh 2026, Malf Hall, Riyadh.

9-14 February (Monday-Saturday): Asian Racing Conference, Crowne Plaza Riyadh RDC Hotel & Convention Centre, Riyadh.

11 February (Wednesday) Digital Transformation Summit Saudi Arabia (DTS), Riyadh.

11-14 February (Wednesday-Saturday): JeddaDerm, Jeddah.

13-14 February (Friday-Saturday): Jeddah E-Prix 2026, Jeddah.

15-17 February (Sunday-Tuesday): The World Advanced Manufacturing & Logistics Saudi Expo, Riyadh Front & Exhibition Center.

16 February (Monday): King Salman Stadium design-and-build contract prequalification submission deadline.

16 February (Monday): First day of Ramadan (TBC).

22 February (Sunday): Founding Day.

26 February (Thursday): Title deed registration deadline for 142.8k properties across 104 neighborhoods in Hail.

MARCH

12 March (Thursday): Deadline for real estate registration for 253.2k properties in 499 neighborhoods across Riyadh, Qassim, Makkah, and Hail.

18-23 March (Tuesday-Monday): Eid Al-Fitr holiday (TBC).

21 March (Saturday): Fanatics Flag Football Classic, Kingdom Arena, Riyadh.

31 March (Tuesday): Zatca’s 23rd E-invoicing integration wave deadline.

APRIL

6 April (Monday): Procurement and Supply Chain Futures Forum, Al Faisaliah Hotel, Riyadh.

6-7 April (Monday-Tuesday): Real Estate Supply Chain Forum, Al Faisaliah Hotel, Riyadh.

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Print & Pack, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Riyadh International Industry Week, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Plastics & Petrochem, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Smart Logistics, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

13-16 April (Monday-Thursday): Leap Tech Conference, Riyadh Exhibition & Convention Center – Malham.

20-22 April (Monday-Wednesday): The Future Hospitality Summit, Mandarin Oriental Al Faisaliah Al Faisaliah Hotel, Riyadh.

20-22 April (Monday-Wednesday): Saudi Paper and Packaging Expo, Riyadh International Convention & Exhibition Center.

21 April (Tuesday): GC Summit Saudi Arabia 2026, Saudi Arabia.

27-29 April (Monday-Wednesday): Aluminum Arabia, The Arena, Riyadh.

MAY

3-5 May (Sunday-Tuesday): Sports Investment Forum (SIF), Riyadh.

3-9 May (Sunday-Sunday): The Global Sustainability Expo, The Arena Riyadh Venue.

24-28 May (Sunday-Thursday): Eid al-Adha holiday.

JUNE

21-24 June (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Food Exhibition and Conference, Riyadh Front Expo.

SEPTEMBER

15-17 September (Tuesday-Thursday) The Global AI Summit, King Abdulaziz International Convention Center, Riyadh.

23 September (Wednesday): Saudi National Day.

OCTOBER

26-29 October (Monday-Thursday): World Energy Congress, Riyadh.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2026:

  • 2H: Sabic’s USD 6.4 bn Fujian project in China to start production in 2026.
  • November: UN Trade and Development Global Supply Chain Forum to take place in Saudi Arabia.
  • November: The Esports Nations Cup, Riyadh.
  • The Intervision international music competition will take place in Saudi Arabia.
  • 6 July-23 August (Monday-Sunday): Esports World Cup, Riyadh.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2027:

  • The World Water Forum takes place in Riyadh.
  • The Ocean Race finishes in Amaala on the Red Sea.
  • Riyadh-Kudmi transmission line to be completed.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2Q 2027:

  • The Hail Region Water Networks Project is expected to be completed.
Now Playing
Now Playing
00:00
00:00