Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. It’s safe to say the news cycle is officially kicking into full gear, with any remnants of holiday mode now entirely in the rearview mirror.
Capital markets are the theme of the day this morning, after the CMA announced that it’s opening the Tadawul to all foreign investors and scrapping rules currently in place to prove they were a “qualified” institution with at least USD 500 mn in AUM to get a QFI license. The move comes just days after TASI closed a market correction year, and could help nudge along a pipeline of IPOs. We also have the rundown of the themes of 2025 for TASI.
WEATHER- Light rain is expected in parts of Madinah, while dust and sand will affect Madinah, eastern Makkah, Al Baha, and Asir, reducing visibility in these areas. Fog may form overnight in southern Eastern Province. Winds will sweep over the Red Sea and Arabian Gulf, with thunderstorms and rain possible in the southern Gulf.
- Riyadh: 21°C high / 7°C low.
- Jeddah: 33°C high / 23°C low.
- Makkah: 32°C high / 23°C low.
- Dammam: 20°C high / 8°C low.
Watch this space
POLICY — A new phase of the National Investment Strategy set to be rolled out this year will focus on supporting SMEs and the local private sector, Investment Minister Khalid Al Falih was quoted as saying this week by Asharq Business. The new phase will be designed to expand the investor base by rolling out programs for several investor classes, while working on improving private sector access to talent, reducing business costs, and introducing essential financing solutions.
Our take: The new phase signals that Saudi is giving more attention to nurturing local productivity and quality, instead of a full focus on volume-driven growth. The Kingdom prepared for this increase in maturity of the local private sector by issuing a new investment law that levels the playing field between foreign and local investors and launching the Standard Incentives Program to boost industrial sector investments.
DESALINATION — The Water Transmission Company expects to award the EPC contract for the Ras Mohaisen-Baha-Makkah Independent Water Transmission System in 2Q, with April penciled in as the likely decision timeline, Zawya reports, citing an unnamed source. The company issued a request for proposals last year under a public-private partnership structure; bids are due by 5 February, and construction is scheduled to wrap by 4Q 2028.
Details on the kit: The project will move desalinated water to Makkah and Al Baha via a roughly 325 km greenfield pipeline, four pumping stations, and a maximum design flow of 542k cubic meters per day. It will be executed under a design, build, finance, lease, and transfer contract, with a lease term of up to 35 years.
The project grabbed some attention globally, with 31 firms from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Egypt, Spain, the US, Japan, and India voicing their interest.
YEMEN — Yemenia Airways began direct flights between Socotra Island and Jeddah today to evacuate hundreds of stranded foreign tourists after air travel was suspended due to military escalation in Hadhramaut and Al Mahra, Al Arabiya reports. The flights mark the island’s first direct commercial link with the Kingdom and expands international access that was previously limited to Abu Dhabi.
Why it matters: The new weekly route signals that Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s central government are reasserting control over southern logistics following the territorial regain.
ICYMI- Flights stalled after a 90-day state of emergency declared by Presidential Leadership Council head Rashad Al Alimi in response to the Southern Transitional Council’s (STC) seizing Hadhramaut and Al Mahra — provinces Riyadh sees as a key security buffer. This prompted limited airstrikes by the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen on Mukalla port, followed by the recapture of the two provinces by Saudi-backed government forces.
Data point
53.4 mn — that’s the number of passengers Jeddah’s King Abdulaziz International Airport welcomed last year, setting a new record for Saudi airports and joining the global “mega-airport” club, state news agency SPA reports. The airport saw 310k flights and handled 60.4 mn bags during the year, up 12% y-o-y.
Oil watch
Saudi cuts crude prices across all regions for February: Aramco lowered the official selling prices for all grades to every major market, including Asia, Europe, and the US, Bloomberg reports. The move extends a third consecutive monthly cut for Asia — its biggest market — with the Arab Light premium reduced to USD 0.30 above the Oman / Dubai benchmark, while prices for heavier grades were also lowered.
IN CONTEXT- The cuts landed as Opec+ stuck to its plan to pause supply increases in 1Q. Benchmarks fell roughly 20% last year, with Brent logging its worst annual drop since 2020, as concerns over a global glut overwhelmed cartel discipline.
The signal: Across-the-board price cuts signal weaker demand than supply policy would suggest.
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The big story abroad
Uh, did the US just *literally* steal Venezuela’s oil? Oil tankers are moving from the US towards Venezuela to begin loading stranded Venezuelan oil after US President Donald Trump said Venezuela will hand over some 30-50 mn barrels of oil to the US. The sale of the cargoes could be worth around USD 3 bn at current prices.
What he said: “That money will be controlled by me, as President of the United States of America, to ensure it is used to benefit the people of Venezuela and the United States,” Trump wrote in a post on his Truth Social platform.
^^ The must-read on the topic: Trump: Venezuela to turn over 30-50 mn barrels of oil to US.
And the White House is now saying that military force is on the table in its bid to “acquire” Greenland. ““President Trump has made it well known that acquiring Greenland is a national security priority of the United States, and it’s vital to deter our adversaries in the Arctic region,” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said. “The president and his team are discussing a range of options to pursue this important foreign policy goal, and of course, utilizing the US military is always an option at the commander-in-chief’s disposal.”
Her remarks came after White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller channeled his inner Balon Greyjoy, saying, “Nobody’s going to fight the United States militarily over the future of Greenland. … We live in a world, in the real world … that is governed by strength, that is governed by force, that is governed by power. These are the iron laws of the world since the beginning of time.” See more in the New York Times and the FT.
Closer to home:
- The Qatar Investment Authority participated in Elon Musk’s xAI’s USD 20 bn series E funding round, alongside Nvidia and Cisco. (Reuters)
- Clashes between civilians and police in Iran amid a wave of protests that took the country by storm as of last week have left 29 dead and more than 1.2k people arrested. (Bloomberg)


