Good morning, wonderful people. Today’s issue is a mixed bag of updates, featuring Gastat’s final figures for GDP growth in the second quarter, a new bond issuance from the Public Investment Fund, and a global asset management platform brought to you by Al Murjan and Abu Dhabi’s BlueFive.
ALSO- We spoke with Humain’s CEO Tareq Amin to discuss the company's ambitious vision for AI infrastructure in Saudi Arabia, their new Arabic-first generative AI product Humain Chat, and what they have in the pipeline. Let’s dive in.
HAPPENING TODAY-
Index Saudi Arabia kicks off today at the Riyadh Front Exhibition & Conference Center. The three-day expo brings together more than 400 exhibitors from over 40 countries and attracts around 17k visitors. The event showcases products across nine sectors, including furniture, furnishings, textiles, flooring, décor, kitchens, bathrooms, art, and fit-out services.
The International Beauty Expo kicks off today at the Jeddah Superdome. The three-day event brings together exhibitors and buyers from across the global beauty and personal care industry, showcasing the latest in cosmetics, skincare, fragrances, hair care, nail care, spa and salon equipment, and packaging solutions.
The three-day Seredo Real Estate Development and Ownership Exhibition also kicks off today at the Jeddah Superdome. The event brings together developers, investors, and key stakeholders to showcase projects and explore potential investments.
WEATHER- Heavy rain persists over Makkah and Al Baha, along with moderate to light showers over Madinah, Asir, Riyadh, Jazan, and Najran. Riyadh will witness temperatures peak at 42°C before cooling down to 32°C today, while Jeddah’s mercury will go as high as 38°C and as low as 31°C, and Makkah will see a 38°C high and 31°C low.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
Taic taps Jadwa for USD 1 bn portfolio shift: The Arab Investment Company (Taic) has appointed Jadwa Investment as financial advisor to oversee the reallocation of some USD 1 bn of its legacy asset portfolio as part of a strategic overhaul, CEO Abdullah Bakhraibah told Bloomberg. The company plans to fully liquidate its portfolio — including government bonds and letters of credit — and reinvest up to USD 800 mn this year, focusing on private markets, public equities, and venture capital.
Rings a bell? Bakhraibah voiced plans earlier last month to divest its entire 1.2 bn legacy portfolio as it pivots toward private markets, in a bid to lift average annual returns to 9% from 5%, following a strategic review that weighed closing the firm against a full overhaul.
Rawabi Marketing IPO pulled on Nomu: FMCG and chemicals distributor Rawabi Marketing International (RMI) scrapped its planned listing on Tadawul’s parallel market Nomu, according to a bourse filing. RMI had planned to float 1 mn shares (6.45% of its post-IPO capital) on Nomu to fund its growth plans before the primary offering was ultimately scrapped.
A tougher market for small caps? Earlier this year, both AlKhaldiLogistics and DomeInternational scrapped their plans to list on Nomu after failing to drum up enough investor demand. The string of cancellations points to higher execution risks on the parallel market, even as appetite for main market IPOs remains strong.
DATA POINTS-
The number of containers handled at Saudi ports rose 9.5% y-o-y in August to 750.6k TEUs, while transshipments increased 14.7% y-o-y to 189.4k TEUs, the Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) said in a statement on Sunday. Exports were up 7.9% y-o-y during the month to 279.6k TEUs, while imports grew 7.8% y-o-y to 281.7k TEUs.
OIL WATCH-
Goldman Sachs expects a slightly larger oil surplus in 2026, revising its estimate to 1.9 mn bbl/d, up from 1.7 mn bbl / d, with the change tied to faster expected OECD stock builds between late 2025 and late 2026, Reuters reports.
Price forecasts: The investment bank left its 2025 Brent and WTI price forecasts unchanged, and now sees 2026 averages at USD 56 and USD 52, Reuters said. Goldman linked Opec+’s decision to begin unwinding 1.65 mn bbl / d of cuts to still-low OECD commercial stocks, but stressed that the group is likely to retain flexibility and could pause quota increases from early 2026 if inventories begin to rise.
S&P Global is also projecting weaker crude prices by year-end, with dated Brent seen falling toward USD 55 a barrel as Opec+ continues to release additional supply, Reuters reports separately, citing co-president Dave Ernsberger of S&P Global Commodity Insights. Dated Brent under pins more than 60% of global oil trade and serves as a key benchmark for futures pricing.
Prices could dip below that level if surpluses deepen, Russian flows remain steady, and commercial stock-building slows, Ernesberger said. Under such conditions, futures markets could swing into wider contango, with prompt crude priced below forward contracts — a signal of ample supply.
ICYMI- Opec+ will raise output again next month, approving an additional 137k bbl/d from October as part of its accelerated rollback supply cuts. The cartel said that it will continue monthly hikes through September 2026, fast-tracking the return of 1.65 mn bbl/d that was previously set to stay offline until the end of 2026.
ALSO- The Kingdom cut official selling prices for October crude deliveries to Asia, with Arab Light reduced by USD 1 per barrel to a USD 2.2 premium over the Oman/Dubai average, Reuters reported, citing a document it says it had seen. Prices for Arab Extra Light, Arab Medium, and Arab Heavy were also lowered by USD 0.9-1.0 per barrel.
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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
The front pages are shining the spotlight on US President Donald Trump and his past ties to Jeffrey Epstein, after House Democrats released — in a post on X — what they say is a handwritten birthday note from Trump to the convicted deceased fund manager. The message, allegedly referencing a “wonderful secret” the two shared, appears in a birthday book compiled for Epstein by his former accomplice Ghislaine Maxwell. Trump denied writing the note, and his chief of staff Taylor Budowich claimed the image is fake. (Bloomberg | CNBC | New York Times | BBC | The Guardian | Axios | Reuters)
AND IN US MARKETS- Nasdaq hits a fresh high ahead of key inflation data: The tech-heavy Nasdaq closed at an all-time high yesterday as investors braced for fresh US inflation figures out later this week. Chipmakers Broadcom and Nvidia were up 3% and 1%, respectively, pushing the index up 0.45%. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones also closed in the green. Analysts say markets are pricing in a Fed rate cut this month, especially after last week’s underwhelming jobs report, CNBC reports.
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC- France’s government collapses amid budget standoff: French Prime Minister François Bayrou’s nine-month-old government was toppled yesterday after losing a confidence vote in parliament, deepening France’s fiscal and political crisis. Bayrou’s unpopular austerity plan — including tax hikes, spending cuts, and scrapping two public holidays — was rejected by a wide opposition front. His ouster leaves President Emmanuel Macron scrambling to name his fifth prime minister in less than two years. (Financial Times | Reuters | BBC | New York Times)


