Good morning, friends. It’s a fairly busy morning of news as we kick off the week, with lots to unpack on the electric vehicle front both at home and abroad. There’s also a bit of green financing and investment ground to cover from the UAE and Oman. Shall we?

THE BIG CLIMATE STORY OUTSIDE THE REGION- The EU moves forward with Chinese EV tariffs after vote: The European Commission voted to confirm proposed tariffs of up to 45% on Chinese-made EVs, according to a statement released Friday. These duties, set to last for five years starting next month, could cost Chinese carmakers bns who wish to stay in the EU market and are designed to counter what the EU considers unfair subsidies provided to Chinese manufacturers.

The decision was split: 10 member states voted in favor, while 17 including major EU players have either voted against or abstained, Reuters reported. Countries such as Italy, France, and Poland backed the move, while Germany, Hungary, and Slovakia opposed it. Belgium, Spain, and Sweden were among the nations that abstained from voting.

Some European carmakers also oppose the move: EV makers in Europe with production embedded in China are opposing the move. Seat, a subsidiary of the German Volkswagen Group, described the tariffs as “punitive,” and warned some of its models produced in China could be “at risk.” BMW CEO Oliver Zipse called the vote “a fatal signal for the European automotive industry” and called for “a quick settlement between the EU Commission and China to prevent a trade conflict from which no one gains," Reuters wrote. Mercedes-Benz also views the tariffs as a "mistake" and urged the European Commission to delay their implementation for further negotiations.

Prices may not immediately change: Automakers like MG Motor, a subsidiary of China’s SAIC, and BYD are expected to keep prices unchanged, a few sources told Reuters.

REMEMBER- China’s EVs are hit by tariffs right and left: China requested the World Trade Organization (WTO) to rule on Canada’s recent tariffs on Chinese EVs, steel, and aluminum last week. The move follows Canada’s imposition of a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum. The US has also recently confirmed 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs and excluded Chinese-made components from EV subsidies.

The story grabbed a lot of ink over the week in the int’l press: Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | The New York Times | The Wall Street Journal | BBC | The Guardian | Politico | CNBC

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

The World Power-to-X Summit will kick off tomorrow and wrap on Wednesday in Marrakesh. This event will host discussions about green hydrogen and clean fuels as part of the Power-to-X concept. It is supported by Morocco's Ministry of Energy, and positions the country as a key player in the global shift toward sustainable energy.

The first ever EU-GCC Green Transition Forum will open its doors on Wednesday in Abu Dhabi. The forum will gather industry leaders, policymakers, and experts to explore netzero emission strategies and host discussions on sustainability across the region. Interested parties can register here.

Later in the week, the EVs Electrify Egypt Summit will start on Thursday and wrap on Saturday in Cairo. This event will bring together industry players, engineers, and over 300 exhibitors for interactive showcases and EV test drives.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Rivian slashes production forecast: Abdul Latif Jameel-backed US EV startup Rivian has lowered its annual production forecast by over 14% due to parts shortage and demand slowdown, Reuters reported on Friday. Annual production is now down from 57k to 47k-49k vehicles. The company's shares tumbled by almost 9% in reaction to the news.

Part of a cost-cutting plan? Rivian closed its only manufacturing facility in Illinois for three weeks earlier this year to streamline its manufacturing processes and reassess the costs of building its vehicles as it weathers sluggish EV demand, the newswire writes. The company plans to turn its first profit in 4Q, increasing the production of its R1 models and lining up production of its smaller R2 models in 2026.

The company is seeking financing to beef up its production capacity: Rivian applied for a federal loan to fund the construction of its long-planned EV plant in Georgia that had been stalled due to a lack of funds, Bloomberg reported on Friday. The Department of Energy has yet to make a decision on whether to greenlight the loan, whose amount was not disclosed. Earlier in 2022, Rivian secured a USD 1.5 bn financing package from state and local incentives to build the facility. The company expects the plant to begin operations by Q3 2027 and reach full production capacity by 2028, according to a DoE disclosure (pdf).

#2- UAE renewable energy developer Masdar is expected to issue its third green bond in 2025 to fund its upcoming global renewable energy projects, the renewables giant’s CFO Maiz Khan told The National on Thursday. The exact size of the bond will depend on the project pipeline but is likely to be similar to previous issuances, he added.

Background: In July, Masdar raised USD 1 bn through its second green bond issuance which consisted of two tranches worth USD 500 mn each, with five- and 10-year tenors, carrying yields of 4.875% and 5.25%. The issuance officially went live on the ADX in September. The company’s first issuance last year raised USD 750 mn.

#3- The GCC is in a good position for CBAM: The Gulf’s aluminum producers are reportedly in a favorable position for European exports when the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) comes into effect in 2026 due to their shift towards green and lower-carbon production, Khaula Bhatti from S&P Global Commodity Insights told The National on Saturday. The full rollout in 2026 would require foreign producers to pay the same carbon tax that European firms pick up in Europe’s carbon market based on direct emissions (Scope 1) and indirect emissions (Scope 2) for imported fertilizer, cement and electricity. Nearly a third of the GCC’s current output is exported to the US and EU.

The EU soft-launched the CBAM last year: The CO2 levy’s initial phase has required firms importing steel, cement, aluminum, electricity, fertilizers, and hydrogen into the EU to report CO2 levels emitted during the production of such goods. If they fail to report such emissions, companies are exposed to fines of up to EUR 50 per ton of CO2.

The shift to lower-carbon production has already begun: Emirati aluminum conglomerate Emirates Global Aluminium became the first company in the world to produce aluminum commercially using solar power in 2021. The company is also a leader in other sustainability practices in aluminum production, building an aluminum recycling plant in 2023 and piloting a first-of-its-kind plant in Abu Dhabi to convert bauxite residue — a waste stream from aluminum refining — into manufactured soil. In January, Saudi state-owned mining company Ma’aden and American renewables developer GlassPoint revealed plans for the first phase of project development for their solar thermal energy power plant in KSA’s Ras Al Khair to decarbonize Ma’aden’s aluminum supply chain.

#4- Toyota increases its backing of Joby: Toyota Motor Corporation is raising its investment in Abdul Latif Jameel-backed electric air taxi manufacturer Joby Aviation by USD 500 mn to USD 894 mn in a bid to support the firm’s commercialization and certification efforts, according to a statement released last week. Toyota will channel additional financing in two equal tranches as cash for common stock. Contingent on finalizing regulatory approvals and terms, the first tranche could become available this year and the second in 2025, with the latter expected to support a commercial manufacturing alliance.

Joby is active in our neck of the woods: Joby plans on launching battery-powered air taxis in Dubai by late 2025 after applying for commercial air transport certification last month. The company will start infrastructure work later this year and kick off initial flights in early 2025, with full commercialization targeted by year-end. Joby also partnered with Aramco subsidiary Mukamalah Aviation in May to deploy eVTOLs in Saudi Arabia. Joby Aviation is backed by Jameel Investment Management Company, the investment arm of Saudi Arabia’s Abdul Latif Jameel.

#5- TotalEnergies eyes entry into copper trading: French energy giant TotalEnergies is exploring the possibility of entering the copper trading market, the Financial Times reports, citing remarks made by TotalEnergies’ Senior Vice President of Crude, Fuel and Derivatives Trading Rahim Azouni at a closed-door conference in London on Wednesday. While a final decision is yet to be made by TotalEnergies, the company is studying copper trading due to the metal's growing importance in clean energy infrastructure, including EVs and electricity cables, several sources who heard his remarks told FT.

The move reflects a broader trend: Driven by declining oil demand and rising demand on essential materials needed for the energy transition, some major oil traders are increasingly shifting to trading in metals like copper, aluminum, and nickel, FT wrote. Other major players, such as Swiss-based Vitol and Mercuria are also expanding into metals, while French hedge fund manager and energy trader Pierre Andurand predicts significant price surges in copper over the coming years to reach USD 40k a ton.

#6- Climate Investment Funds (CIF) will invest USD 1 bn to support decarbonization of heavy-emitting industries in developing countries, according to a statement released on Friday at the conclusion of the 15th Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM15) in Brazil. The industry decarbonization program will use money from the USD 8.6 bn CIF Clean Technology Fund to support the development of emissions reduction technologies with the aim of reducing emissions from energy-intensive sectors by 20% by 2030 and 93% by 2050, Reuters reported on Friday. Expressions of Interest are now open until January 17, 2025, the statement notes.

What is CIF? The CIF is one of the world’s largest multilateral funds assembled to help developing countries with climate change mitigation. The group operates in 81 countries and receives funding from governments and the private sector.

The fund is active in MENA emerging economies: CIF has financed 17 projects in seven countries, channeling over USD 860 mn in financing towards investments in solar and wind farms in Egypt and Morocco. The fund is projecting its financing in the region to exceed USD 12 bn in the following years.

IN OTHER NEWS FROM THE MINISTERIAL- Azerbaijan is touting its Green Energy Zones and Corridors Pledge of COP29 which aims to create zero-emission green energy spaces in regions with abundant renewable energy resources, News.az reported on Saturday, citing comments made by Azerbaijan’s Energy Minister Parviz Shahbazov at the CEM15 innovation meeting. The pledge will also aim to support the establishment of transmission infrastructures between energy supply and demand centers to transfer renewable energy over long distances.

THE SCORECARD-

Saudi Arabia is planning to generate 44 GW of its electricity from renewable energy by the end of 2024, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman was quoted as saying by SPA. The Kingdom plans to establish a hydrogen production facility in Ras Al Khair to support its renewable energy goals, in addition to developing a carbon capture and storage project with an annual capacity of 9 mn tons, bin Salman revealed at the G20 meetings in Brazil

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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

Egypt will host Cairo Water Week from Sunday, 13 October to Thursday, 17 October in Cairo. The event will explore various themes relating to water and climate and enhancing resilience in communities.

Egypt will host the World Urban Forum from Monday, 4 November to Friday, 8 November in Cairo. The forum, established by the UN, will center around the effect of rapid urbanization on communities, economies, climate change, and policies.

South Africa will host the Critical Mineral Africa Summit from Wednesday, 6 November to Thursday, 7 November in Cape Town. The summit aims to attract critical minerals investment to the continent.

Azerbaijan will host the United Nations Climate Change Conference or Conference of theParties (COP29) from Monday, 11 November to Friday, 22 November in Baku. The annual conference brings together governments, world leaders, and other stakeholders to advance the Paris Agreement and negotiate ways to fight climate change.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.