Good morning, folks. It is a packed issue with big loan updates from the Abdul Latif Jameel-backed Rivian and a torrent of mining updates from Saudi Arabia’s Future Minerals Forum which wrapped in Riyadh yesterday. But first, the big climate story dominating headlines internationally…
THE BIG STORY ABROAD THIS WEEK- Los Angeles is enduring its most destructive wildfire season yet, with at least 25 deaths, over 12k structures destroyed, and 88k residents under evacuation orders as three major fires ravaged the region. Fires across LA have scorched over 45k acres and thousands of buildings as firefighters battle to contain the spread, according to the California fire department. The fires have been fueled by “hydroclimate whiplash” combined with record-breaking Santa Ana gusts exceeding 100 mph.
Hydro-what now? Hydroclimate whiplash occurs when wet conditions fuel rapid vegetation growth before drying out during an unusually hot and dry spring and summer, leaving the landscape highly flammable. The region’s traditionally rainy December-to-February season was abnormally dry for eight months, further compounding the issue. Strong winds have further escalated conditions, leading any spark from power lines, vehicles, arson, or other causes to trigger a major blaze.
Economic tolls are climbing rapidly: Fire damage could exceed USD 30 bn in ins., according to Wells Fargo, while AccuWeather estimates total losses could top USD 275 bn. The Palisades fire alone has become LA’s most destructive wildfire on record, depleting municipal water supplies and leaving affluent residents in Pacific Palisades to abandon their vehicles and flee by foot as gridlocked neighborhoods burned.
The story made headlines in the international press: Reuters | Bloomberg | Washington Post | The Guardian | AP | CNN | BBC | NBC | New York Times | CBS | ABC | Financial Times
WHAT WE’RE TRACKING REGIONALLY-
#1- Chinese solar energy firm Trina Solar is seeking a partner to help set up a USD 5 bn integrated solar power generation chain in the UAE, Trinasolar’s Middle East and Africa regional head Vincent Wu told The National on Wednesday.
Sounds familiar? The company signed an MoU with the UAE’s AD Ports and China’s Jiangsu Provincial Overseas Cooperation and Investment to build a large-scale PV manufacturing base in the Khalifa Economic Zones Abu Dhabi (Kezad) in 2023. No financial details or a timeline for the project were disclosed at the time.
#2- Ma’aden and Alba call off proposed merger talks: Saudi mining giant Ma’aden and Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) have agreed to discontinue discussions regarding their potential merger, signing an agreement to terminate the non-binding heads of terms, according to a Tadawul disclosure released on Monday. No reasons were disclosed for the decision.
ICYMI- The now-terminated agreement, inked last September, had laid the groundwork for Ma’aden to explore swapping its full share capital in subsidiaries Ma’aden Aluminum and Ma’aden Bauxite and Alumina for new shares in Alba.
IN OTHER SAUDI NEWS- Saudi Tabreed reportedly hired Citigroup and SNB Capital for a potential IPO on the Saudi Tadawul, Bloomberg reported last week, citing unnamed sources with knowledge of the matter. While the size, value, and timeline of the offering remain under discussion, the potential IPO could happen this year, Bloomberg’s sources said.
REMEMBER- The Public Investment Fund acquired a 30% stake in Saudi Tabreed — the Saudi arm of DFM-listed National Central Cooling Company Tabreed in 2023. The stake PIF acquired was estimated to be worth some USD 250 mn.
#3- Egypt is ramping up its renewable energy ambitions, aiming to reach 10 GW of renewable energy and 2.85 GW of battery storage to its grid by the end of 2025, increasing to 12 GW of renewables and 3.35 GW of storage by late 2026, according to a statement on Sunday. The country aims to reach 20 GW of renewables by 2029, 3.6 GW of nuclear energy, and 2.4 GW of pumped storage. Egypt had put forward a plan to add 4 GW of renewables to the national grid by next summer, with the Electricity Ministry reportedly preparing for an addition of up to 5.5 GW by yearend.
Moving forward with plans? Egypt is planning a grid expansion push to connect solar and wind projects as they come online in the next few years. The plan aims to extend around 1.6k km of transmission lines through 2028, including 55 km of lines dedicated to solar and wind projects as they come online. The EETC also said it was looking to borrow EGP 68 bn — likely from the National Bank of Egypt, Banque Misr, and Banque du Caire — to finance electrical equipment and transformers imports for use in domestic projects.
#4- Engie eyes renewables growth in the region: French power utility Engie is pursuing renewable energy projects in Saudi Arabia and the UAE to expand its clean energy footprint in the Gulf market, Engie’s managing director for renewables in the MENA region François-Xavier Boul told Bloomberg last week. The company will bid for 3 GW of solar and 1.5 GW of wind projects under Saudi’s sixth round of wind and solar projects under the National Renewable Energy Program and is already awaiting the outcome of a 1.5 GW Abu Dhabi solar tender, Boul said.
[wwtt4]#5- Algeria relaunches 520 MW solar projects tenders after terminating initial selection: Algeria’s Sonelgaz has relaunched national and international tenders to construct three large photovoltaic power plants in Algeria, Echorouk reported last week. The projects were originally awarded to a consortium of Cosider Canalisations and Italy’s Fimer last April but were terminated after Sonelgaz rejected a contractual substitution proposed during Fimer’s internal restructuring, Italy’s Map Energy told TSA.
The details: The projects include solar plants in Bechar, Touggort, and Temacine with capacities of 120 MW, 150 MW, and 250 MW, respectively. To qualify, foreign firms must have completed 25 MW solar projects when partnering with a consortium of Algerian companies or 40 MW in case of an independent submission. The tender covers engineering, civil work, supply, transportation, installation, testing, and connection to the electricity grid, with the deadline set for 6 February.
WHAT WE’RE TRACKING GLOBALLY-
#1- Thailand to launch new carbon market in 2025: Thailand is planning to launch a new carbon credits market this year, secretary-general of the nation’s Securities and Exchange Commission Pornanong Budsaratragoon told Bloomberg. The move comes after the country suffered from oversupply and lackluster demand that left prices very low since carbon trades started in the country in 2016. The details of the new market — which would be operated by the country’s stock exchange — are still being hashed out.
Thailand has big carbon potential: The country is viewed — alongside Indonesia, Vietnam, and Malaysia, as a possible major supplier for the global carbon markets as demand picks up in the wake of the COP29 carbon markets agreement. The country’s cumulative oversupply for the period between 2016 and 2024 stood at 17 mn tons of carbon credits.
#2- Lithium prices to steady in 2025 as China eases oversupply: Lithium prices are set to stabilize this year after two years of an 86% drop on the back of surging EV sales in China — the world’s leading EV market — and closing mines help address the issue of oversupply, Reuters reported on Monday. Lithium carbonate supply is expected to almost halve to about 80k tons of lithium carbonate, Reuters reported, citing forecasts by China’s commodity data provider Antaike. The surge in prices, however, could be halted if mines reopen in response to increasing NP.
#3- Europe’s clean energy goals in jeopardy due to negative power prices: Europe is currently at risk of missing its 2030 clean energy targets as negative electricity prices curtail investors’ appetite for new renewable projects, Bloomberg reported last Friday, citing data from market research company Aurora Energy.
Negative electricity prices reached record highs in 2024, with Germany seeing 468 hours of below-zero energy prices in 2024 and France bagging 356 hours.
Missing the target: The EU’s solar and wind capacity is projected to reach 850 GW by 2030, not meeting the 1.1 TW goal set in national energy strategies due in part to old subsidy schemes.
The culprit: Older subsidy schemes encourage energy producers to continue generating power even if there is an oversupply, which causes electricity prices to drop below zero, disrupting market dynamics and reducing the profitability of renewable energy projects, Aurora Energy analyst Jannik Carl told Bloomberg. Grid infrastructure’s undercapacity is also another culprit, especially in the UK and Germany where grid congestion and curtailment are worsening the issue.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
Bahrain will host the Sustainability Forum Middle East from Tuesday, 28 January to Wednesday, 29 January in Manama. Climate experts and decision-makers will convene to discuss a number of issues ranging from decarbonization to supporting SMEs on their path to net zero. Speakers will include GCC government officials and industry leaders from the banking and industrial sectors.
The Egypt Energy Show will kick off from Monday, 17 February and run through to Wednesday, 19 February in Cairo. The event will bring together over 47k attendees and will highlight Egypt’s role in driving green energy transformation in the region under the theme “Building a secure and sustainable energy future.”
Oman Climate Week will begin on Monday, 24 February and run through to Thursday, 27 February in Muscat. The event will facilitate a dialogue on how Oman can align with the Paris Agreement and the goal to reach net zero emissions. Topics of interest include Climate Mitigation, Climate Adaptation, Climate Finance, Carbon Markets, Climate Technologies, Loss & Damage, and Social Inclusion.
The UAE will host Connecting Hydrogen MENA from Monday, 24 February to Wednesday, 29 January in Dubai. The event will be the largest hydrogen event in the region and will bring together over 3k attendees from over 50 countries to discuss collaboration in the sector along with ammonia, manufacturing, and transport.
Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

