Good morning, wonderful people. We’re back to your inboxes with a packed issue, featuring major green hydrogen, debt, M&A, and renewables updates from across the region. We also tackle below how the escalating trade war could impact the green sector’s supply chains and investments. But first, an update on China’s critical minerals export controls…
THE BIG STORY ABROAD THIS WEEK- Beijing limits rare mineral flow in trade war salvo: China has restricted exports of seven categories of medium and heavy rare earths, Reuters reported last week. The move encompasses exports to all nations and does not constitute a complete ban, though Beijing can still limit export licenses. The restriction is part of a set of countermeasures against renewed tariffs by the Trump administration on China.
This impacts the US: The US, which has only one rare earths mine, relies heavily on Chinese minerals. All but one of the world’s heavy rare earth element-focused operations are in China, Laos, and Myanmar, Project Blue consultant David Merriman told Reuters.
IN CONTEXT- China expanded its export restrictions on essential tech used to extract, process, and recycle critical minerals earlier this year, tightening its hold on global EV supply chains. The move came months after China banned the sale of materials used in semiconductors, a critical component in EV production, such as gallium and germanium.
The story made headlines in the international press: Reuters | FT | WSJ | Bloomberg | AP | Washington Post
WHAT WE’RE TRACKING REGIONALLY-
#1- Seventh phase of MBR solar park grabs some attention: 47 companies from 17 countries have expressed interest in developing the seventh phase of the Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Solar Park under an Independent Power Producer (IPP) model, according to a statement issued on Wednesday. Dewa invited expressions of interest for the project in February, which is set to bring the total solar park capacity to 7.26 GW.
REMEMBER- The seventh phase will include 1.6 GW of solar capacity and a 1 GW battery energy storage system, with commissioning slated between 2027 and 2029. The project positions Dewa to exceed its 5 GW target for the solar park ahead of schedule — initially set for 2030.
#2- Ma’aden eyes foreign partners for rare earths project: Saudi Arabian Mining (Ma’aden) is looking to partner with a foreign firm by the end of June to establish a rare earth minerals processing project and a magnet facility later, Reuters reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed sources familiar with the matter. A timeline for the project is expected to be finalized by December, and the investment ticket is yet to be disclosed.
The candidates: Among the companies Ma’aden is considering are US-based MP Materials, Australia’s Lynas Rare Earths, Chinese mining outfit Shenghe Resources, and Toronto-based Neo Performance Materials.
Ma’aden’s big ambitions: Mining giant Ma’aden said last year it wants to grow 10x by 2040 to become one of the world’s largest mining companies, targeting both mining JVs abroad and Saudi Arabia’s untapped mineral resources, which were reported last year to be worth as much as USD 2.5 tn — 90% more than the last forecast in 2016. The company is also investing in new tech to recycle and reprocess minerals from industrial waste.
#4- PIF-backed luxury EV maker Lucid saw its 1Q deliveries jump 58% y-o-y, largely driven by price cuts and incentives offers, Reuters reported last week. The company’s 1Q revenues are estimated between USD 232-236 mn, hovering below a market forecast of USD 256.3 mn. Tesla’s current brand crisis has also contributed to the figures as more consumers opt to replace their Teslas with Lucid-made cars, Interim CEO Marc Winterhoff told Yahoo Finance (watch, runtime: 03:34).
IN CONTEXT-Tesla 1Q 2025 sales dropped about 13% y-o-y, selling some 337k unitsthe year — the firm’s owest figure in three years, Reuters reported. The drop far exceeds the 3.7% drop predicted by S&P Global’s Visible Alpha, Reuters said. The decline comes in light of the firm’s recurrent launch delays and CEO Elon Musk’s controversial presence on the political stage, as well as weak sales in the EU and China markets.
Meanwhile, the Abdul Latif Jameel-backed, US-based EV maker Rivian saw a 36% drop in deliveries for the same period, which is largely attributed to market trends toward more modestly priced EVs and gas-powered cars. Rivian’s 1Q deliveries fell to 8.6k EVs, a marked drop from last year’s 13.6k.
In line with last year’s trend? Lucid’s 4Q 2024 deliveries had seen 11% q-o-q growth and 78% y-o-y growth thanks to lower prices and better financing, whereas Rivian lowered its annual production forecast last October by over 14% for last year due to parts shortages and demand slowdown last October.
#5- Xlinks slams UK gov’t for stalling Morocco-UK project: Xlinks is mulling whether to take its ambitious 3.6 GW renewables interconnection project — currently planned to connect Morocco’s grid to the UK — to a different European market, citing the UK government’s failure to greenlight it, Xlinks Chairman Dave Lewis told The Telegraph late in March. Xlinks Chief Executive Simon Morrish first indicated the possibility of exclusively involving Germany in the GBP 25 bn project last month.
The financing plans: The company plans to secure GBP 8 bn from investors, which Lewis said are already lined up pending the final regulatory nod. The remaining GBP 17 bn will be financed by debt. A market test for the debt financing reveals the project is likely to be oversubscribed, Lewis added. While the project has a hefty price tag of GBP 25 bn, investors and financial institutions are already expressing interest, Lewis told the British paper.
REMEMBER- Xlinks began talks earlier this year with the UK’s labor administration to draw up a pricing contract for the energy to be supplied by the project, a move that could help the company raise necessary financing.
About the project: Backed by the Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa) and TotalEnergies, the UK-Morocco interconnection project will comprise a 3.8k km high-voltage direct current (HVDC) subsea cable transporting 3.6 GW of renewable energy — nearly 8% of the UK’s current requirements — from a 10.5 GW solar and wind farm planned in Morocco’s Guelmim-Oued Noun region. It will also include a 20 GW battery storage system. Xlinks was scheduled to begin construction on its interconnection project last April.
IN OTHER GRID UPDATES- The GCC Interconnection Authority (GCCIA) is expected to spend up to USD 1.3 bn on network expansion over 2025-27, according to an S&P Global Ratings report published late last month. The investment could rise to USD 1.5 bn if additional backbone funding is secured. The funds are expected to be sourced from development banks in Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE, according to the report. The rating agency also expctes no delays in the financing, cementing a stable outlook for the GCCIA.
ALSO- Oman Electricity Transmission (OETC) has earmarked USD 2.2 bn to undertake as many as 32 network transmission projects by 2028, according to its Green Financing Framework (pdf) published last month. The projects are expected to absorb new generation capacity, support load growth, and ensure the security of the grid.
#6- Spain’s GES eyes Egypt and Morocco for 2026 plans: Spain-based renewable energy developer Global Energy Services (GES) is planning to assemble wind turbines for a “large project” in Egypt under its 2026 plan, according to a press release published late last month. The firm is also mulling an entry into the Morccan markets, where it expects to partner with a local player. No further details were disclosed about each of the projects..
WHAT WE’RE TRACKING GLOBALLY-
#1- Indian electric scooter maker AtherEnergy is weighing whether to size down its planned USD 400 mn IPO by at least USD 50 mn, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday, citing multiple unnamed sources. The company may also trim its valuation target, though a final decision has not been made.
The context: The move comes as Ather’s existing investors are reportedly considering selling fewer shares in the listing, leading to a smaller float. Despite global market volatility, Ather is still expected to proceed with the IPO in the coming weeks, but could also consider a private placement instead if market sentiment continues to slide, the sources said.
A huge cut? The company initially filed for an IPO last September, with reports at the time saying the firm aimed to raise approximately USD 536 mn at a valuation of USD 2.5 bn
#2- US jumps ship on shipping emission talks: Washington has exited negotiations over decarbonising global shipping and threatened to take countermeasures to nullify any greenhouse gas tax on US-flagged vessels, Reuters reported on Wednesday, citing a diplomatic document it has seen. The US has urged other states not to attend meetings held by the International Maritime Organization in London.
A carbon levy is a no-go for many others: Saudi Arabia, China, Brazil, South Africa, and eight other countries formally opposed a proposed global levy on shipping emissions earlier this year. The anti-tax camp argued that it would harm developing nations’ exports, raise food prices, and exacerbate global inequalities.
#3- Green trucking suffers streak of failures: Four hydrogen trucking startups have gone bust in the past six months, as tepid demand, high hydrogen prices, and lackluster infrastructure continue to weigh down the industry, Bloomberg reported last week. US-based Nikola and Hyzon Motors and EU-based Hyvia and Quantron are among the shuttered firms, in addition to electric truck and bus makers Arrival and Proterra.
China is the exception: Green trucking has managed to progress in China, with 75k electric units sold in the medium and heavy truck sector last year, as well as roughly 4k fuel cell-powered trucks. China’s low battery prices for electric commercial vehicles — at USD 90 per kWh in 2024 — were less than half of the average for other nations, which stood at USD 190 per kWh — a low cost that allows China’s green trucks to compete with diesel-run counterparts.
Green passenger vehicles in slump too: Sales of hydrogen fuel passenger cars reportedly amounted to 4.8k in 2024, a sharp drop from 8.8k in 2023. Sales in 2022 were even higher, north of 15k.
DANGER ZONE-
A 4°C rise in global temperatures could result in a 40% drop in the average person’s wealth, The Guardian reported last week, citing a study published in Environmental Studies Letters. Limiting warming to 2°C could reduce global GDP per person by 16%, much higher than earlier predictions of 1.4%. In comparison, predictive models of wealth that account exclusively for extreme weather — and not for complex climate change trickle-down events — estimate an 11% drop. “We can expect cascading supply chain disruptions triggered by extreme weather events worldwide,” the study’s lead author Timothy Neal said. Global warming will affect all nations’ economies across the globe, as they are all linked by global trade, Neal said.
THE SCORECARD-
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The UAE will host the Electric Vehicle Innovation Summit conference from Monday, 21 April until Wednesday, 23 April in Abu Dhabi. The summit is the largest of its kind and brings together industry players to address and collaborate on sustainable transportation.
Egypt will host Solar & Storage Live Egypt from Tuesday, 29 April until Wednesday, 30 April in Cairo. The supplier-led exhibition will allow companies to showcase their solar and clean energy solutions. Over 7k attendees, 150 exhibitors, and 150 speakers are expected to attend.
Turkey will host the International Renewable Energy Conference from Wednesday, 7 May until Friday, 9 May in Istanbul. The conference facilitates a dialogue between industry professionals on renewables policy, hydrogen in the energy transition, renewable energy solutions, and other.
Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

