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Egypt could be lining up an USD 1.2 bn climate finance agreement

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

TODAY: Egypt could be lining up an USD 1.2 bn climate finance agreement

Good morning, folks. It has been a long and eventful week, culminating in major breaking news from our patch of the region…

THE BIG CLIMATE STORY- Egypt will be eligible to lock in an additional USD 1-1.2 bn in climate finance from the International Monetary Fund if separate negotiations translate into an agreement on the back of a freshly inked USD 8 bn program.

^^ We have the details on this story and more in the news well, below.

THE BIG CLIMATE STORY OUTSIDE THE REGION- US SEC adopts landmark corporate climate disclosure rules: The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has adopted a rule that would require US-listed companies to disclose climate-related risks. The first-of-its-kind regulation will standardize disclosures on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and require companies to explain how they are preparing for the shift to a low-carbon economy.

The backlash was immediate: Ten Republican-led states including Georgia, Alabama and Alaska filed a petition against the SEC over the ruling, Reuters reports. Companies and Republican officials have criticized the move, warning of legal challenges and arguing that the rules overstep the SEC's jurisdiction, the newswire writes.

The story made headlines in the international press:Reuters | AP | The Financial Times | The Wall Street Journal | The New York Times


WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Lucid Motors seeks to fundraise this year: Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund-backed Lucid Motors says it cannot depend on the “bottomless wealth” of its Saudi owner and will set in motion fundraising this year, CEO Peter Rawlinson told The Financial Times in an interview. The company says it is examining costs and will make cutes while boosting output at its Arizona factory. The US facility has the capacity to produce 90k cars annually but only expects to ship out 9k this year.

It’s been rough: Lucid has enough funds to last into 2025, but is burning through around USD 1 bn a quarter. The company is considering options including “bringing logistics under the same roof to reduce [operating spending], looking at the bill of materials, looking at overheads, looking at reducing anything that is variable.”

REMEMBER- Lucid could soon move to full production of EVs in Jeddah: The company’s first international plant has been carrying out semi-knocked-down (SKD) assembly with a capacity of 5k vehicles per annum since it was inaugurated in KSA in September. The company plans to shift to completely built-up (CBU) production at its plant in Jeddah to help it boost production capacity to 155k vehicles per year.

#2- UK-based private equity group Permira is forming a new investment team to focus on the transition to a low carbon economy, Reuters reports. Co-led by former Blackstone executive Kush Patel, the team will invest globally in projects and platforms that support the decarbonisation of various industries and the modernisation of energy grids. The group said that the transition represents a USD 12 tn cumulative revenue opportunity by 2030. Permira is one of the latest alternative asset managers to invest more in the low-carbon transition, following in the footsteps of Carlyle, Brookfield, BlackRock, and General Atlantic, the report adds.

#3- LMErejects miners' call for green nickel premium: The London Metal Exchange (LME) has dismissed a proposal by global mining companies to introduce a price premium for sustainably produced nickel, saying the market is not ready for such a move, The Financial Times reports. Australia’s mining companies BHP and Wyloo Metals have been urging the LME to differentiate between “dirty nickel and cleaner supplies’ and warning that nickel mining in Indonesia, the world's top producer, causes environmental damage and high carbon emissions.

Not enough demand: The LME said that the demand for “green” nickel was not large enough to support a separate futures contract and that it would instead work with the market to identify a credible “green premium” to the LME price through its Metalshub platform. The LME's decision comes as Indonesia's low-cost nickel suppliers are expected to dominate the global market in the next few years. Analysts said the LME was unlikely to establish a separate contract for Indonesian nickel, as it would go against recent efforts to rebuild liquidity on the exchange following a nickel market crisis in 2022, and stated that the green premium was more likely to be negotiated through long-term contracts with customers, or influenced by government policies such as the EU's carbon border tax.

#4- Russia + China want to put a nuclear plant on the moon: Russia and China are exploring the possibility of jointly deploying a nuclear power plant on the lunar surface between 2033 to 2035, which the aim of powering future lunar settlements, Reuters reports, quoting Russia's space agency Roscosmos Yuri Borisov. Russia also intends to launch a nuclear-powered cargo spaceship “to transport large cargoes from one orbit to another, collect space debris and engage in many other applications," Borisov added.

#5- El Niño is growing weaker but its effects are expected to continue to fuel above average temperatures worldwide in the next few months, according to new research by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). There is a 60% chance that the El Niño phenomenon will persist from March until May and an 80% chance of neutral weather patterns between April to June, according to the study.

REMEMBER- El Niño is a naturally occuring weather phenomenon that takes place every two to seven years due to the warming of sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean.

Fueling heat trapped by GHG: This latest El Niño cycle reached its peak between November 2023 and January 2024 and is one of the five strongest in history at 2°C above the 1991 to 2020 average sea surface temperature for the eastern and central tropical Pacific Ocean, the study shows. The main culprit behind high temperatures is heat trapping greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, according to the WMO.

DANGER ZONE-

Arctic summers could be “icefree” by 2035: Scientists are warning that the Arctic could lose almost all of its sea ice during the summer months within the next decade due to global warming, The Guardian writes, citing a new study (pdf) in the Nature Reviews Earth & Environment journal. The study’s findings report the first icefree day could occur over 10 years earlier than previous projections. Researchers used a climate model to simulate the future of the Arctic under different emission scenarios, discovering that under a high-emission scenario, the Arctic could experience consistently icefree Septembers between 2035 and 2067. This would transform the Arctic from a "white Arctic" to a "blue Arctic" boasting mainly water during summer months. This would not only affect wildlife, but also people living along nearby coasts as the loss of sea ice would result in a lack of barrier for stronger and bigger waves causing more erosion.

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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

The UAE will host the World Future Energy Summit from Tuesday, 16 April to Thursday, 18 April in Abu Dhabi. The summit will address solutions for development in the transformation of future energy systems. The summit will also feature discussions on recycling, waste-to-energy, and air-to-water trends and progressions.

The UAE will host the Connecting Green Hydrogen MENA event from Tuesday, 23 April to Thursday, 25 April in Dubai. The event will explore green hydrogen partnerships, policies, and practices in the region, in parallel to a showcasing of the latest in the clean fuel’s technology.

Oman will host the Oman Sustainability Week from Sunday, 28 April to Thursday, 2 May in Muscat. The event will focus on exploring investment opportunities and implementing best practices in sustainability within the energy, water, and environmental sectors.

The UAE will host The Electric Vehicle Innovation Summit from Monday, 20 May to Wednesday, 22 May in Abu Dhabi. The event will see industry leaders come together to discuss sustainable mobility and tapping into groundbreaking advancements in electric vehicles while engaging with key decision-makers.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

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DEBT WATCH

Egypt could be lining up an USD 1.2 bn climate finance agreement

Fresh climate finance on the horizon for Egypt: Egypt will be eligible to lock in an additional USD 1-1.2 bn in climate finance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) if separate negotiations translate into an agreement on the back of a freshly inked USD 8 bn program, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said at a press conference yesterday with Central Bank of Egypt Governor Hassan Abdalla and IMF mission chief for Egypt Ivanna Hollar (watch, runtime: 18:13). This agreement is subject to approval by the IMF’s executive board, which will meet to consider the pact before the end of the month, Hollar said at the presser.

The agreement came together yesterday after Egypt’s central bank announced the float of the EGP and a jumbo rate hike. All of this was built on a pledge two weeks ago of up to USD 35 bn worth of investment from Abu Dhabi’s ADQ, including some USD 24 bn in payments for the development rights to Ras El Hekma. The first payment from ADQ arrived in Egypt last week.

As the IMF sees it: The expanded package ”seeks to preserve debt sustainability, restore price stability, and reinstate a well-functioning exchange rate system, while continuing to push forward deep structural reforms to promote private sector-led growth and job creation,” Hollar said.

It should also open the door more for the private sector: The reforms are also aimed at “fostering an environment that enables private sector activity,” according to Hollar — a move that will create jobs and attract fresh investment.

And there might be more to come: The agreement will be followed by more funding — in soft loans — from other international partners like the World Bank and EU, Madbouly added. (We don’t expect bns from the EU, which has perhaps EUR 500 mn more headroom for Egypt, we’re told.)

It will all come together to a “large comprehensive package,” Madbouly said at the press conference, adding that the funding “will once again allow Egypt to be fiscally stable and carry on with its structural reforms.” (Tap or click here to read the full cabinet statement.)

What the prime minister is saying: The agreement comes within the framework of a wider set of structural reforms that aim to increase FX reserves, reduce foreign and local debt, ensure the consistent flow of FDI over the coming period, see the economy achieve high growth rates, and reduce inflation, the prime minister explained.

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DEBT WATCH

Saudi Arabia’s Al Rajhi raises USD 1 bn from 5-year sustainable sukuk sale

KSA’s Al Rajhi Bank has closed USD 1 bn from its USD-denominated sustainable sukuk offering, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul. This is the first time that the leading Islamic lender tapped the debt market this year.

Breaking it down: It sold a total number of 5k bonds at a par value of USD 200k each, according to the disclosure. A document seen by Reuters showed the bank selling the sukuk at 90 bps over benchmark US Treasuries, tighter than an initial price guidance of 120 bps. The sukuk sale saw orders topping USD 2.8 bn.

Where the funds are going: Proceeds will be earmarked to support the bank’s financial and strategic objectives in line with its sustainable finance framework, it said in an earlier this week.

ADVISORS- Al Rajhi Bank hired our friends at HSBC, along with Al Rajhi Capital, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank, Citigroup Global Markets, Dubai Islamic Bank, Emirates NBD Capital, First Abu Dhabi Bank as joint lead managers and bookrunners for the transaction. Its advisors list also includes Goldman Sachs, KFH Capital Investment, SMBC Capital Markets, Société Générale and Standard Chartered Bank.

IN OTHER GREEN FINANCE NEWS- Green bond issuances surge in the region: The total value of green bond issuances in the Arab region increased 40% y-o-y reaching USD 6.8 bn, Wam writes, citing comments by the Arab Monetary Fund AMF's Director Fahad bin Mohammed Al-Turki at the third meeting of the Arab Green & Sustainable Finance Network in Abu Dhabi. UAE and Saudi Arabia account for over 90% of the total green bond issuances.The network is a platform for exchanging experiences in sustainable finance to support the development of green and sustainable finances, products, and services in Arab countries, as well as raise awareness about sustainable finance issues and managing climate change risks.

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EARNINGS WATCH

Saudi Electricity Company reports a 32.3% drop in net income in 2023

Saudi Electricity Company (SEC) has reported a 32.3% drop in net income y-o-y to SAR 10.2 bn in 2023, while revenues rose 4.5% y-o-y to SAR 75.3 bn over the same period, it said in an earnings release (pdf). The Public Investment Fund holds a 74.3% stake in the company.

A mixed bag for 4Q: The company extended its losses in 4Q 2023 to SAR 2 bn, while its revenues were up 12.4% y-o-y to SAR 18.4 bn, according to data seen by Argaam.

Driving the plunge: SEC attributed its bottom line decline in 2023 to rising financing costs in the face of rising global interest rates and higher operating and maintenance costs among others. Such factors were offset by increases in operational revenue and lower net provisions for outstanding invoice. The increase in topline came on the back of an uptick in demand and subscriber base and higher revenues from subsidiary Dawiyat.

Some highlights during the year: SEC said it has obtained approval to expand the Rabigh plant, which will contribute an additional 1.2 GW of capacity. A consortium led by SEC also signed power purchase agreements (PPAs) for Taiba 1 and Qassim 1 power stations at investments worth SAR 14.6 bn. Both plants have a combined capacity of 3.6 GW. It also grabbed a 25% stake in the Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Company in a transaction valued at SAR 254 mn. The EV-focused company is a joint stock company that is wholly owned by the PIF.

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ALSO ON OUR RADAR

More EV charging stations for Egypt + UAE’s Beeah Group secures ESG financing

ELECTRIC VEHICLES-

Taqa Volt + Wadi Degla partner on EV stations: Taqa Volt, a subsidiary of TaqaPower, and real estate developer Wadi Degla Developments have announced a partnership to install 14 EV charging stations across Wadi Degla’s projects in Egypt, according to a statement. The agreement aims to address market research stating that 40% of EV buyers are discouraged by a lack of sufficient charging infrastructure. The charging stations will be compatible with all types of EVs, the statement said.

Taqa is upping its infrastructure game: Taqa Volt also partnered with Al-Futtaim Real Estate to install nine EV charging stations in Cairo last month.

DEBT WATCH-

UAE’sBeeah Group has secured an environmental, social, and governance (ESG) linked financing facility fromEmirates Islamic Bank, according to a press release. The facility includes a Shariah-compliant term financing and a liquidity murabaha structure based on tradable certificates.

Where the funds will go: The funding will support Beeah’s clean energy, green mobility, and waste management projects, and will also be used to invest in modern technologies for sustainability initiatives in the UAE and the GCC. Emirates Islamic will also partner with BEEAH on education and awareness initiatives for promoting sustainable practices.

SUSTAINABILITY-

UAE’s DMCC unveils sustainability hub: The UAE’s Dubai Multi Commodities Centre (DMCC) has launched a sustainability hub in a bid to promote environmental, social and governance (ESG) practices across its 24k member companies, according to a press release. The hub, which will be run in partnership with social enterprise C3, will allow companies to network, and will provide them with mentorship and access to financing through ESG-focused venture capital firms and accelerator programs. Existing DMCC members can gain membership without charge following an evaluation process.

OTHER STORIES WORTH KNOWING ABOUT THIS MORNING-

  • Tunisia + Italy ink environmental protection agreements: Tunisia’s National Agency for Environmental Protection (ANPE) and the Regional Environmental Protection Agency of Sicily (ARPA) have signed four framework agreements aimed at fostering environmental education in Tunisia and Sicily. The agreements focus on water quality management, biodiversity preservation, climate change mitigation, and air quality control. (TAP)
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AROUND THE WORLD

Nautical Sunrise Project to develop world’s largest offshore floating solar plant in the Netherlands

The world’s largest offshore floating solar plant is in development: The European consortium Nautical Sunrise Project will handle research and development for the world’s largest offshore floating solar (OFS) power installation using tech from Dutch-Norwegian company SolarDuck, according to a press release. The EUR 8.4 mn project aims to establish a 5 MW OFS system that will be integrated into the OranjeWind wind farm off the coast of the Netherlands.

Where is the money coming from? The Horizon Europe program is providing EUR 6.8 mn in funding, while German energy company RWE will pay for the projects’s installation and deployment.


H&M teams up with major investors to cut emissions from fast fashion: Swedish fast fashion giant H&M is partnering with US-based private equity firm TPG and Swedish sustainable investment firm Vargas to fund Syre, a Swedish start-up that aims to reduce fast fashion's carbon footprint, The FinancialTimes reports. The venture will pour USD 60 mn into constructing a US-based factory in North Carolina that will reduce polyester emissions by up to 85%. H&M has also entered into a USD 600 mn agreement with Syre to purchase a sufficient quantity of the start-up's output over the next seven years to fulfill half of its demand for recycled polyester.

Syre wants to revolutionize the textile industry: Syre aims to introduce circular polyester (cPET) that can be recycled and reused, as opposed to recycled polyester (rPET) sourced from plastic bottles, which can only be used once, FT writes. Syre plans to construct 12 factories globally, and seeks investments from major brands like Ikea to acquire the bns in funding it needs. Syre is targeting not only the clothing sector but also automotive and home interiors, with ambitions to produce 3 mn metric tons, a market share of about 3%, of circular polyester by 2032.

OTHER STORIES WORTH KNOWING ABOUT THIS MORNING-

  • ABG + Ad Net Zero partner on decarbonization: The UAE’s AdvertisingBusiness Group (ABG) has partnered with Ad Net Zero to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the advertising sector. ABG and Ad Net Zero will provide guidance to help organizations meet net zero targets. (Statement)
  • UK to invest record GBP 800 mn in offshore wind farms: The UK is set to provide record support for new offshore wind farms in an upcoming auction. The country has a renewable energy budget of over GBP 1 bn, GPB 800 mn of which is earmarked for the wind farms. (Bloomberg)
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ON YOUR WAY OUT

Ocean pollutants and shipping are killing whales, EPAA finds

Whales are exposed to organic chemical pollutants that present a “major threat” to their wellbeing, according to a study (pdf) by the UAE’s Environment and Protected Areas Authority (EPAA) in collaboration with the American University of Sharjah and Zayed University.

The findings: The study analyzed tissues from seven dead whales found along the coasts of Sharjah, Dubai, Umm Al Quwain. Tissues from five Bryde’s whales, one humpback whale, and one blue whale tested positive for polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) found in coal, crude oil, and gasoline, polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), organochlorine pesticides (OCPs), and heavy metals. The animals were also affected by the consumption of plastic waste along with their food which resulted in digestive tract blockages that contributed to death.

What are organic pollutants?Persistent organic pollutants (POPs) are hazardous chemicals used in various products and industrial processes that can persist in the environment for long periods of time. They pose a significant threat to both human health and the ecosystem as they magnify in concentration while moving through the food chain. POPs are used across supply chains in products like pesticides. Despite some POPs — mirex, dieldrin, and hexachlorobenzene — being banned years ago, these “forever chemicals” continue to be detected at elevated levels today. With global chemical sales expected to soar to EUR 6.6 tn by 2030 and new chemicals constantly entering the market, the threat of POPs is growing.


MARCH 2024

4-7 March (Monday-Thursday): Leap Forward: A Digital Davos, Malham, Saudi Arabia.

19-29 March (Monday-Friday): International Seabed Authority Assembly and Council, Kingston, Jamaica.

APRIL 2024

16-18 April (Tuesday-Thursday): World Future Energy Summit, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

16-18 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Energy, Dubai, UAE.

22-24 April (Monday-Wednesday): Oman Petroleum and Energy Show, Mustac, Oman.

23-25 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Connecting Green Hydrogen MENA, Dubai, UAE.

24-26 April (Wednesday-Friday): Global Education & Training Exhibition (GETEX), Dubai, UAE.

28-29 April (Sunday-Monday) Global Cooperation, Growth and Energy for Development,Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

28 April-2 May (Sunday-Thursday) Oman Sustainability Week, Oman International Exhibition Center, Muscat.

30 April-2 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Autonomous E-Mobility Forum, Doha, Qatar.

MAY 2024

7-9 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Global Waste Forum, Algiers, Algeria.

14-16 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Airport Show, Dubai, UAE.

18-25 May (Saturday-Saturday) The World Water Forum, Bali, Indonesia.

19-21 May (Sunday-Tuesday): Saudi Energy Convention, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

20-22 May (Monday-Wednesday): Electric Vehicle Innovation Summit, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

28-30 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Make it in the Emirates Forum, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

JUNE 2024

5 June (Wednesday): World Environment Day, Saudi Arabia.

OCTOBER 2024

15-17 October (Tuesday-Thursday): EV Auto Show, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

NOVEMBER 2024

4-8 November (Monday-Friday): World Urban Forum, Cairo, Egypt.

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday) Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition & Conference (ADIPEC), Abu Dhabi, UAE.

DECEMBER 2024

2-13 December (Monday-Friday): Conference of the Parties (COP16) to the United Nation Convention to Combat Desertification, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2024

Early 2024: The 2023 US Algeria Energy Forum, Washington DC, USA.

12-14 February (Monday-Wednesday): Sustainable Aviation Futures MENA Congress, Dubai, UAE.

End-2024: Emirati Masdar’s 500 MW wind farm in Uzbekistan to begin commercial operations.

QatarEnergy’s industrial cities solar power project will start electricity production.

2025

International Union for Conservation of Nature World Conservation Congress, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

UAE to have over 1k EV charging stations installed.

2026

26-29 October (Monday-Thursday): World Energy Congress, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

UITP Global Public Transport Summit, Dubai, UAE.

Annual Meetings of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, Bangkok, Thailand.

1Q 2026: QatarEnergy’s USD 1 bn blue ammonia plant to be completed.

End-2026: HSBC Bahrain to eliminate single-use PVC plastic cards.

2027

MENA’s district cooling market is expected to reach USD 15 bn.

World Water Forum, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

2030

UAE’s Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB) wants to provide AED 35 bn in green financing.

UAE targets 14 GW in clean energy capacity.

Tunisia targets 30% of renewables in its energy mix.

Qatar wants to generate USD 17 bn from its circular economy, creating 9k-19k jobs.

Morocco’s Xlinks solar and wind energy project to generate 10.5 GW of energy.

2035

Qatar to capture up to 11 mn tons of CO2 annually.

2045

Qatar’s Public Works Authority’s (Ashghal) USD 1.5 bn sewage treatment facility to reach 600k cm/d capacity.

2050

Tunisia’s carbon neutrality target.

2060

Nigeria aims to achieve its net-zero emissions target.

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