Good morning, nice people. After 30+ hours of fraught negotiations, we have a revised draft of the Global Stocktake and ministers will be heading into a plenary session shortly to hammer out the details. Let’s catch up on what’s happened in the past 24 hours.
OVER IN COPLAND- We have a new draft text: COP28 has officially gone into overtime with ministers assessing an updated draft (pdf) of the Global Stocktake this morning before meeting later in the AM to discuss. The COP presidency reportedly had several discussions scheduled with negotiators until 3am Dubai time, Bloomberg reports. The new draft includes stronger language on moving away from the dirtiest sources of energy, in line with a target to reach climate neutrality by 2050. We have the full rundown in the news well below.
THE BIG QUESTION LOOMS- Will Saudi Arabia and friends take an immovable stance against a transition away from fossil fuels? The revised draft will need to be agreed upon by almost 200 countries represented at COP.
IN ALL CASES, IT’S A HISTORIC MOVE- If this revised text centered on the transition away from fossil fuels is approved, it would mark the first time in COP history nations agree on a united move away from oil, gas and coal – products that account for about 80% of global energy generation.
HERE’S WHAT HAPPENED IN THE LEAD UP- The means of implementation was also a contentious point in the negotiations as developed nations continue to fall short on their climate funding commitments stipulated under the Paris Agreement, the Guardian reports. The developing countries “have received less than 10% of the support of what we need between now and 2030 for the implementation plan,” South Africa’s environment minister, Barbara Creecy said, according to the news outlet. “Developing countries simply cannot accept a fossil fuel phase-out — or any new target — without means of implementation, as they’re already unable to even fund their current mitigation and adaptation plans (all while loss and damage costs are spiraling),” the Guardian writes.
ISLAND NATIONS HELD OUT FOR A PHASEOUT- The Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) reaffirmed its stance, saying that they “cannot sign on to a text that does not have strong commitments on phasing out fossil fuels,” and “any text that compromises 1.5C will be rejected.” The small island countries said that signing the draft as is would be like signing their death certificate.
OTHERS WANTED STRONGER COMMITMENTS- The Umbrella Group nations demanded a stronger text on fossil fuels, saying that they will not sign the agreement otherwise, Australian Climate and Energy Minister Chris Bowen said in a statement on behalf of group members US, the UK, Canada and Japan. The US also reiterated the call for the text’s language on fossil fuels to be “ substantially strengthened.” Other blocs that are pushing for phaseout language include the EU, the 46 Least Developed Countries, and the Independent Alliance of Latin America and the Caribbean, the Guardian reports.
KSA SAID NO WAY- Saudi Arabia reportedly refused — on behalf of the 22 Arab Group countries — the inclusion of a stronger language on fossil fuels in the draft, saying that the draft text is a “good base to work from” and that the science does not necessitate a complete fossil fuel phaseout by 2050, The Guardian reports. Kuwait also explicitly reiterated its rejection of an item calling for phasing out fossil fuels in the draft text, Oil Minister Saad Al Barrak told Kuwait's state news agency (KUNA). Qatar was also amongst those clearly opposing tougher language on fossil fuels stating that the need lies in reducing emissions rather than eliminating the sources of emissions.
AND BROUGHT THEIR FRIENDS ON BOARD- Speaking on behalf of the Like Minded Developing Countries — which include Egypt, Algeria, Jordan, Iran, and Iraq, amongst others — Bolivia said that the text cannot prescribe the actions of countries and should be voluntary, similar to the Paris Agreement. Some African countries also share the same sentiment, saying that for them a fossil fuel phaseout is a “non-starter,” Politico reports, citing two anonymous African diplomats.
WATCH THIS SPACE #1- Morocco is scouting for white hydrogen: Morocco’s National Bureau for Hydrocarbons and Minerals signed an agreement with an unnamed Swiss company to conduct 3D seismic surveys in the Southern and Eastern parts of the country in a bid to quantify Morocco’s geologic hydrogen reserves, Hespress reports.
SOUNDSMART- What is white hydrogen? Geologic hydrogen — also known as white hydrogen — is believed to be produced deep underground through reactions between ultramafic and mafic rocks with anoxic water. The naturally-occurring hydrogen can be found in abundance in layers of continental and oceanic crusts, geysers, and hydrothermal systems.
Already proven viable: The Malian town of Bourakébougou is the first locale globally to be powered by white hydrogen. Wildcatters — oil and gas explorers — have also found deposits of the gas in Oman, New Caledonia, Canada, Russia, Australia, Japan, Germany, and New Zealand. Oman’s Energy and Minerals Ministry signed two MoUs back in September with Eden GeoPower and Earth Sciences Consultancy Centre to conduct preliminary studies on exploring geological white hydrogen and identifying new sites for research.
WATCH THIS SPACE #2- Biden administration to release SAF subsidy guidance this week: The US Treasury is expected to release guidance by the end of the week regarding whether to ease eligibility for subsidies for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) derived from corn-based ethanol, Reuters reports, citing multiple sources close to the Biden administration.
Internal division: The administration has been divided over this decision for months due to lobbying pressure from stakeholders in the US Farm Belt, an influential constituency ahead of elections. SAF is crucial for corn-based ethanol producers to grow their industry amid the rise of EVs, and they argued for its use in reducing carbon emissions. However, environmental groups oppose clearing land to grow fuel crops, claiming that it is counterproductive to mitigating global warming. The guidance was originally expected in September but was then delayed until December, Reuters reported.
Get Enterprise daily
The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.


