{"id":97900,"date":"2024-11-14T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-14T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/traders-still-see-the-fed-slashing-rates-at-next-meeting-despite-us-inflation-edging-up\/"},"modified":"2024-11-14T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T00:00:00","slug":"traders-still-see-the-fed-slashing-rates-at-next-meeting-despite-us-inflation-edging-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/11\/14\/traders-still-see-the-fed-slashing-rates-at-next-meeting-despite-us-inflation-edging-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Traders still see the Fed slashing rates at next meeting despite US inflation edging up"},"content":{"rendered":"

US inflation data shows the US moving further away from the Fed\u2019s 2% target as Trump<\/strong> prepares to re-enter the Oval Office:<\/strong> US inflation saw a slight increase in October to 2.6%, in line with expectations and 0.2 percentage points above the 2.4% recorded in September, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/a>. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, remained steady at 3.3% but showed a third consecutive monthly increase of 0.3%, signaling persistent underlying price pressures. October\u2019s data comes at a critical point for the US economy, as the Fed weighs its next move ahead of President-elect Donald Trump taking office early next year. <\/p>\n

But traders don\u2019t see the rise in inflation hampering the Fed\u2019s road to monetary easing<\/strong>: Traders are pricing in an 80% chance of another rate cut when the Fed meets next to decide interest rates in mid-December, <\/span>Bloomberg<\/a> reports. During its last meeting earlier this month, the Federal Reserve <\/span>cut rates by 25 bps<\/a>, after having kicked off its easing cycle in September with a <\/span>half a percentage point cut<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Some are already warning that Trump\u2019s policies could complicate the Fed\u2019s fight against <\/strong>inflation:<\/strong> Trump\u2019s reelection and his proposed policies \u2014 tariffs, tax cuts, and mass deportations \u2014 could potentially push inflation higher. Economists are concerned that such measures could fuel price pressures while adding uncertainty, making the Fed\u2019s task of achieving a \u201csoft landing\u201d even tougher. (Financial Times<\/a> | BBC<\/a> | New York Times<\/a> | Guardian<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Market reax: <\/strong>Two-year Treasury yields, which are more sensitive to Fed decisions, fell as much as 10 bps after inflation data was released. <\/p>\n

BTC HITS ANOTHER HIGH- <\/p>\n

Another day, another BTC peak: <\/strong>BTC hit a fresh high of USD 93.2k yesterday before reversing some of its gains to sit at USD 88.9k at midnight, driven by inflation concerns and a strong post-election rally. (Reuters<\/a> | Bloomberg<\/a> | CNBC<\/a>)<\/p>\n

The cryptocurrency has been on a Trump-driven rally <\/strong>since Trump was reelected to the Oval Office on 5 November. We dove deeper into the rally in a Planet Finance<\/a> published earlier this week. <\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING-<\/p>\n

Asian markets are starting mostly in the green during early trading this morning<\/strong>, with Japan\u2019s Nikkei up 0.5%, followed by Korea's Kospi at 0.4% in the green, and Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng at 0.1%. China\u2019s Shanghai index is trading in the red at -0.1%.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,372<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: -2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,733<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +16.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,918<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +2.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.6% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.5% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,931<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1% (YTD: -0.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

31,433<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: +26.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,985<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.02% (YTD: +25.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,030<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +3.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,740<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +4.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 72.28<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.98<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,586.50<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 88,897.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +110.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The ADX fell 0.5% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 1.4 bn. The index is down 2.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Ghitha Holding (+3.1%), Abu Dhabi Ship Building (+2.8%) and Bank of Sharjah (+2.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Umm Al Qaiwain General Investments (-3.9%), Abu Dhabi National Building Materials (-3.5%) and Al Dar Properties (-3.4%). <\/p>\n

Over on the DFM<\/strong>, the index rose 0.7% on turnover of AED 784.3 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai closed up 2.0%.<\/p>\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

International Holding Company\u2019s AED 5 bn share buyback program will run until 19 June <\/strong>2025<\/strong>, with the goal of boosting shareholder value through increased earnings per share, according to a bourse filing (pdf)<\/a>. Supported by strong cashflow, the Abu Dhabi conglomerate will cancel shares after repurchasing them. The program, launched in June<\/a> , representing 0.6% of IHC\u2019s total share capital, may be extended beyond one year pending ADX approval.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US inflation saw a slight increase in October to 2.6%<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":97901,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[127,7,48,285,50,765],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-97900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-planet-finance","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"b1b0dbc4-0d6a-4a05-af7f-6a4e97e826be","order":"14","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/1343.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Traders still see the Fed slashing rates at next meeting despite US inflation edging up","related_issue":[97874],"teaser":"US inflation saw a slight increase in October to 2.6%","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/11\/.7c0ac518-e95b-49dd-b231-adab689e31e8.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nTraders still see the Fed slashing rates at next meeting despite US inflation edging up - 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