{"id":95134,"date":"2024-08-26T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-26T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/fed-chief-signals-september-rate-cut-as-economic-risks-shift\/"},"modified":"2024-08-26T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-08-26T00:00:00","slug":"fed-chief-signals-september-rate-cut-as-economic-risks-shift","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/26\/fed-chief-signals-september-rate-cut-as-economic-risks-shift\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed chief signals September rate cut as economic risks shift"},"content":{"rendered":"

The \u201ctime has come\u201d for rate cuts in the US: <\/strong>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated his readiness to start cutting interest rates in September during his address at the Fed\u2019s annual retreat in Jackson Hole on Friday \u2014 read the speech<\/a> or (watch, runtime: 16:06<\/a>). Powell emphasized that \u201cthe time has come for policy to adjust,\u201d citing cooling inflation and slowing job growth.<\/p>\n

Behind Powell\u2019s comments was a more optimistic inflationary forecast:<\/strong> US inflation fell under the 3% mark in July<\/a> for the first time since March 2021, strengthening the case for the Fed to cut interest rates. The figure undercut economists\u2019 expectations that inflation would hold steady at 3% and helped to support Powell\u2019s argument at Jackson Hole that \u201cinflation is on a sustainable path back to 2%.\u201d<\/p>\n

Rising concerns about the labor market are also pushing the Fed to take actions:<\/strong> \u201cThe upside risks to inflation have diminished, and the downside risks to employment have increased,\u201d Powell explained. With the US unemployment rate rising to a near three-year high of 4.3% in July<\/a>, which in turn raised recession fears and triggered a market meltdown at the start of August, the Fed is now weighing how confident it is the economy\u2019s inflationary trajectory with a desire not to see \u201cfurther cooling in labor market conditions.\u201d<\/p>\n

The odds:<\/strong> Markets now see a 35% chance of a larger-than-usual 50 bps cut in September, up from 28% before Powell\u2019s remarks, according to the Financial Times<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Market reax:<\/strong> US Treasuries rallied and the USD fell as investors priced in larger rate cuts this year following Powell\u2019s comments on Friday before the markets closed for the weekend. The two-year Treasury yield dropped 0.1 percentage points to 3.9%, while the S&P 500 closed up 1.2% on Friday, approaching July's all-time high.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s next?<\/strong> The Fed will meet on 17-18 September to review rates, six weeks before the US presidential election. \u201cThe direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks,\u201d Powell said. <\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING-<\/p>\n

Asian markers are mixed in early trading this morning <\/strong>as traders weigh up dovish comments from senior US Fed officials and the risk of a regional war breaking out in our part of the world as Israel and Lebanon\u2019s Hezbollah exchange missiles. Japan\u2019s Nikkei is down 1.2% and China\u2019s Shanghai index is essentially flat, while Korea\u2019s benchmark Kospi is up 0.2%.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/a> <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,374<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: -2.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,293<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +5.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3749<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -2.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.6% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,262<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +2.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,074<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +20.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,635<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2% (YTD: +18.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,328<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +7.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,909<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +8.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 79.02<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.02<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,546<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 64,236.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +51.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The ADX rose 0.04% last Friday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 1.14 bn. The index is down 2.1% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Finance House (+5%), Waha Capital Company (+3.9%) and NMDC Group (+3.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Foodco National Foodstuff (-9.6%), Al Khaleej Investment (-4.4%) and Gulf Cement Co. (-4.0%). <\/p>\n

Over on the DFM<\/strong>, the index fell 0.4% on turnover of 265.7 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai fell 0.3%<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US inflation fell under the 3% mark in July for the first time since March 2021<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":95135,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[7,48,285,331,50],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-95134","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"30d7f207-f451-4bfc-9a81-c8b6a2894672","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/8\/2081.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Fed chief signals September rate cut as economic risks shift","related_issue":[95116],"teaser":"US inflation fell under the 3% mark in July for the first time since March 2021","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/8\/.74ba5789-16f7-4325-bc36-308f439710b8.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nFed chief signals September rate cut as economic risks shift - 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