{"id":95092,"date":"2024-08-23T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-23T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/"},"modified":"2024-08-23T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-08-23T00:00:00","slug":"analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts eye clarity on size, pace of rate cuts at Jackson Hole"},"content":{"rendered":"

Central bankers are gathering in Wyoming for the biggest annual economic gathering<\/strong>, Jackson Hole, which takes place only a few weeks before the Fed\u2019s next meeting on 17 and 18 September, where it is expected to kick off a series of rate cuts. <\/p>\n

Most analysts are waiting for more clarity on the direction of travel for the Fed<\/strong>, with pundits weighing how fast and how deep rate cuts will be over the next few months. Minutes from the Fed\u2019s July session have already confirmed<\/a> a majority of policymakers are on board with the September rate cut. <\/p>\n

Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut, but leaving open a one-in-four chance of a larger 50 bps rate cut,<\/strong> CNBC<\/a> cites FedWatch data as saying. The 50 bps cut is further off, and would require a deterioration of economic data between now and then, according to pundits. <\/p>\n

Most expect Powell\u2019s tone to \u201clean dovish,\u201d <\/strong>CNBC writes, as inflation continues to trend downwards and the labor market shows signs of softening. <\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs expects rate cuts at each of the next three meetings and further easing in 2025<\/strong>, to shave off some 200 bps off of the funds rate. <\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mostly in the red<\/strong> as the world awaits updates from Powell at Jackson Hole. The Nikkei is down 0.11%, while the Kospi fell 0.51% and the small-cap Kosdaq slid 0.58%. Wall Street futures are rising<\/strong> ahead of Powell\u2019s speech, with S&P 500 futures up 0.2% and Nasdaq futures up 0.3%. <\/p>\n

<\/a><\/a> <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,371<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: -2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,309<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +6.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3759<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.0% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.6% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,194<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +1.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,141<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +21.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,571<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

--0.9% (YTD: +16.79%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,288<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0% (YTD: +7.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,885<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0% (YTD: 8.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 77.22<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.54%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.06<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD2,520<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 60,660<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +43.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The DFM rose 0.3% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 442.2 mn. The index is down 6.1% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>National Industries Group Holding (+10.1%), Drake & Scull International (+4.6%) and Parkin Company (+4.5%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>National International Holding Company (-10%), Al Mal Capital REIT (-7.7%) and Al Salam Sudan (-3.6%). <\/p>\n

Over on the ADX<\/strong>, the index rose 0.3% on turnover of 940.5 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai fell 2.2%<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Adnoc petrochemicals JV Borouge appointed Q Market Makers (QMM) as liquidity <\/strong>provider for its shares on the ADX <\/strong>for a duration of one year,<\/strong> according to a disclosure (pdf)<\/a>.<\/p>\n

FX Capital Commercial Investments\u2019 owner and Apex <\/strong>Investment\u2019s<\/strong> managing <\/strong>director\u2019s spouse Siham Najar now owns a 13.3% stake in Apex <\/strong>after acquiring 447 mn shares on 19 August, equivalent to a 12.6% stake, according to a disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. The purchased shares were offloaded by Najar\u2019s company FX Capital on the same day, reducing FX Capital\u2019s holding in Apex to 4.3%, according to a separate disclosure (pdf)<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut, but leaving open a chance of a larger 50 bps rate cut<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":95093,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[19,7,48,331,50,765],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-95092","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-interest-rates","tag-planet-finance","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"eeb58658-1d39-41f1-ad4e-5097e6811d0b","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/12\/994.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Analysts eye clarity on size, pace of rate cuts at Jackson Hole","related_issue":[95074],"teaser":"Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut, but leaving open a chance of a larger 50 bps rate cut","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/8\/.91f5a452-b35f-4314-bf4b-fc19a6872288.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nAnalysts eye clarity on size, pace of rate cuts at Jackson Hole - UAE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analysts eye clarity on size, pace of rate cuts at Jackson Hole\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut, but leaving open a chance of a larger 50 bps rate cut\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"UAE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-08-23T00:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/12\/994.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Analysts eye clarity on size, pace of rate cuts at Jackson Hole\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-08-23T00:00:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/\"},\"wordCount\":461,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/12\/994.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"Economy\",\"EnterpriseAM UAE\",\"Financial markets\",\"interest rates\",\"PLANET FINANCE\",\"US Federal Reserve\"],\"articleSection\":[\"PLANET FINANCE\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/08\/23\/analysts-eye-clarity-on-size-pace-of-rate-cuts-at-jackson-hole\/\",\"name\":\"Analysts eye clarity on size, pace of rate cuts at Jackson Hole - 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