{"id":89904,"date":"2024-03-12T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-12T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/oversupply-risk-global-economic-pressures-to-possibly-lead-to-a-cyclical-slowdown-in-dubais-property-market-sp-global\/"},"modified":"2024-03-12T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-03-12T00:00:00","slug":"oversupply-risk-global-economic-pressures-to-possibly-lead-to-a-cyclical-slowdown-in-dubais-property-market-sp-global","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/03\/12\/oversupply-risk-global-economic-pressures-to-possibly-lead-to-a-cyclical-slowdown-in-dubais-property-market-sp-global\/","title":{"rendered":"Oversupply risk, global economic pressures to possibly lead to a cyclical slowdown in Dubai\u2019s property market \u2013S&P Global"},"content":{"rendered":"

S<\/strong>&P Global is doubling down on its expectation that the UAE\u2019s residential <\/strong>property market could be approaching a cooldown<\/strong> in its latest GCC Real Estate Report (pdf)<\/a>, echoing its previous forecasts<\/a> that we\u2019re going to see more price growth before a reversal over the next 12-18 months. The ratings agency had forecast that prices will climb 5-7% this year in Dubai before reversing, with price declines expected to be within the 5-10% range. <\/p>\n

An oversupply risk in Dubai could be to blame for a potential \u201ccyclical reversal,\u201d <\/strong>the ratings agency said. The report also cites global economic pressures possibly affecting demand, and points to the challenges Dubai-based developers are facing in finding fresh land, leading to higher costs for new land parcels. <\/p>\n

Abu Dhabi is at less risk:<\/strong> Abu Dhabi\u2019s property market faces less risk for reversal, owing to its slower post-pandemic appreciation than its neighboring emirate, which indicates it has yet to reach its peak.<\/p>\n

Companies with exposure to Dubai real estate are in for \u201climited upside potential\u201d given<\/strong> the forecast slowdown<\/strong>, S&P Global said. <\/p>\n

GCC outlook: <\/strong>A 2-3% increase in population, coupled with GCC governments\u2019 reforms to support new businesses and expat inflow, as well as an expected uptick in demand due to potential interest rate declines in 2H 2024, open windows for GCC real estate markets to continue growing past 2019 levels, the report notes. However, geopolitical tensions, property shortages, liquidity crunches, and funding gaps risk the sector will fall into a reversal.<\/p>\n

ICYMI-<\/strong> We recently ran a deep-dive<\/a> into the reasons behind the property price boom in 2023, and a breakdown of different analysts\u2019 and pundits\u2019 outlook for the market this year.<\/p>\n

\n

BINGHATTI CEO FORECASTS 14% PRICE GROWTH IN 2024- <\/p>\n

Dubai's property market prices are poised to \u201cgrow steadily\u201d at a 12-14% clip in 2024<\/strong>,driven by factors such as population growth, increased demand for mortgages spurred by an anticipated drop in interest rates, and an influx of wealthy individuals opting to invest in the city, CEO of Binghatti Holding, Muhammad Binghatti told Khaleej Times<\/a>, noting that this is a mark of \u201chealthy growth.\u201d <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The ratings agency had previously said it expects prices to climb 5-7% this year before reversing in 12-18 months<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89905,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1565],"tags":[1360,87,7,98],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-89904","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate","tag-abu-dhabi","tag-dubai","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-real-estate","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"61b29f66-ec03-42c5-9051-089416c6884a","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/1\/1026.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Oversupply risk, global economic pressures to possibly lead to a cyclical slowdown in Dubai\u2019s property market \u2013S&P Global","related_issue":[89900],"teaser":"The ratings agency had previously said it expects prices to climb 5-7% this year before reversing in 12-18 months","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/3\/.8b7d7b86-7c18-45ee-8308-5432e6510a53.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nOversupply risk, global economic pressures to possibly lead to a cyclical slowdown in Dubai\u2019s property market \u2013S&P Global - UAE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2024\/03\/12\/oversupply-risk-global-economic-pressures-to-possibly-lead-to-a-cyclical-slowdown-in-dubais-property-market-sp-global\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta 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