{"id":117904,"date":"2026-06-04T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=117904"},"modified":"2026-06-04T02:53:38","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T02:53:38","slug":"uaes-non-oil-sector-saw-slight-improvement-in-may-but-softening-demand-is-still-weighing-on-firms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/06\/04\/uaes-non-oil-sector-saw-slight-improvement-in-may-but-softening-demand-is-still-weighing-on-firms\/","title":{"rendered":"UAE\u2019s non-oil sector saw slight improvement in May, but softening demand is still weighing on firms"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>Operating conditions<\/strong><strong> in the UAE\u2019s non-oil private sector saw a modest <\/strong><strong>recovery in May<\/strong>, though the improvement masked deepening strains from regional geopolitical tensions and the worst supply-chain disruption since the pandemic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The <\/strong><strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/6\/299.pdf\" style=\"\">S&P Global UAE Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index (pdf)<\/a><\/strong><strong> rose to 52.6 in May<\/strong>, up from <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/05\/06\/non-oil-sector-takes-another-hit-in-april-amid-soaring-prices-supply-chain-disruptions\/\" style=\"\">52.1 in April<\/a>, remaining comfortably in expansion territory but still running well below its long-run average of 54.3. That\u2019s mostly due to a slight improvement in operating conditions and output growth despite ongoing supply chain disruptions, which weighed on export orders and input delivery times.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>MENA economist Hamzeh Al Gaaod thinks the recovery can be attributed to the \u201cpositive sentiment on [the US and Iran] reaching an [agreement]<\/strong>,\u201d along with the persisting ceasefire.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The persistent issue for non-oil firms is the \u201ccascading effect\u201d of the maritime trade disruptions through the economy<\/strong> and the uncertainty over how long the conflict will last \u2014 both of which are suppressing export demand. \u201cThe UAE\u2019s non-oil sector has been significantly impacted by the regional tensions and the consequent supply disruptions,\u201d CIO at Century Financial Vijay Valecha tells EnterpriseAM.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Yes, but \u2014 could the impact have peaked? <\/strong>\u201cThe pace of decline of [export orders] eased notably from April, signaling the worst may be behind us,\u201d he adds.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>One thing that might take some time to resolve is the issue of reconciling increased costs with softening demand.<\/strong> \u201cBusinesses often mentioned that the soft demand environment had made firms more price competitive than usual, resulting in higher fuel and material prices being absorbed by companies rather than passed on to customers,\u201d David Owen, principal economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said. <strong>That\u2019s weighing on employment trends<\/strong>, with hiring slowing to its mildest pace since October.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The good news: <\/strong>The costs firms are absorbing are being offset by multiple government programs aimed at providing support to the economy, Al Gaaod says. The government and freezones alike are offering support packages and stimulus to help firms struggling with disruptions and increased costs, with Dubai so far <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/05\/22\/another-aed-1-5-bn-of-help-coming-to-dubai\" style=\"\">introducing a total of AED 2.5 bn<\/a> for sectors like tourism, trade, education, customs, transport, and aviation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The one clear bright spot is sentiment: <\/strong>Business expectations for the year ahead remained strong in May, with firms treating current disruptions as temporary and anticipating a swift growth rebound once conditions normalize.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>That optimism is well-placed, Valecha <\/strong><strong>says<\/strong><strong>. <\/strong>\u201cWhen the conflict eases, pent-up export demand and a recovering tourism sector position the UAE for a sharp PMI re-acceleration toward and beyond its long-run average,\u201d he adds.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Dubai mirrored the national trend<\/strong>, with its PMI edging up to 52.0 from 51.6 in April \u2014 but activity growth there slowed for a fifth consecutive month, reaching its weakest level since June 2021.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Positive sentiment around a potential agreement from the US and Iran helped boost the 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