{"id":116121,"date":"2026-04-27T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=116121"},"modified":"2026-04-27T03:20:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T03:20:28","slug":"is-market-panic-about-private-credit-overblown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/04\/27\/is-market-panic-about-private-credit-overblown\/","title":{"rendered":"Is market panic about private credit overblown?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Point:<\/strong> Private credit funds are under pressure from higher<\/a>borrowing costs<\/a> and transparency concerns<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Counter-point:<\/strong> These funds\u2019 conservative leverage and distinct capital structure provide a buffer that limits the risk of a systemic collapse. At least that\u2019s what Amit Seru, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and professor of finance at Stanford\u2019s Graduate School of Business argues in a piece for the Financial Times<\/a>. Seru\u2019s core thesis is that the asset class isn\u2019t what\u2019s going to set off a 2008-style financial crisis. <\/p>\n

Private credit funds\u2019 conservatively structured leverage ratio and equity absorption cushion losses<\/strong>, Seru argues. Banking leverage is around 8-to-1, or roughly 12 cents of equity per USD of assets, while private credit has an average ratio of 1.25-to-1. Roughly 65-80 cents of every USD of assets is funded by equity rather than debt for funds that borrow from banks. This means losses are absorbed by long-term equity investors first, making funds more resilient in downturns.<\/p>\n

This asset class also holds a strategic advantage by locking in investor capital for long durations.<\/strong> This structure aligns liabilities with the span of underlying loans and reduces the risk of forced liquidation. Meanwhile, banks fund long-term assets with short-term liabilities that can be withdrawn on demand, creating maturity mismatches and fueling financial crises.<\/p>\n

\n

Bank ties and investor withdrawals aren\u2019t major threats<\/p>\n

Concerns about bank linkages are also overstated:<\/strong> Private credit funds typically only use bank credit lines for short-term needs, such as managing the timing of capital calls, Seru notes. The Federal Reserve even modeled a severe stress<\/a> scenario in which private credit funds face distress and fully draw down these lines \u2014 even then, major banks remain well capitalized.<\/p>\n

Rising investor withdrawals are less of a distress sign than a financial safety measure.<\/strong> Investors have rushed to redeem their capital amid transparency and AI-related risks, pushing multiple firms to cap withdrawals and avoid selling illiquid loans at steep reductions. These measures don\u2019t mean that the sector is facing a crisis, but rather a precaution designed to slash losses and protect valuable assets.<\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets hit record highs in early trading this morning, led by Japan\u2019s Nikkei, which gained around 1.5%, and South Korea\u2019s Kospi, which was up over 2.0%. US futures are set to open mixed later today, with futures swinging between gains and losses. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,789<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: -2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,854<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -3.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,682.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9% (YTD: -4.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.5% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,122<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +6.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

52,421<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +25.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,165<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +4.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,379<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8% (YTD: +4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,883<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +0.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 105.33<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,741<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 78,422<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: -10.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Chimera JP Morgan<\/strong> UAE Bond UCITS ETF<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

AED 3.59<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: -4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

151.77<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -0.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

18.71<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.1% (YTD: +29.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The ADX rose 0.4% <\/strong>on Friday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 928.1 mn. The index is down 2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Gulf Cement (+4.9%), Ins. House (+4.8%), and Abu Dhabi National Co. for Building Materials (+4.6%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>National Bank of Fujairah (-4.4%), Hayah Ins. (-4.1%), and Burjeel Holding (-3.5%). <\/p>\n

Over on the DFM<\/strong>, the index rose 0.7% on turnover of AED 709.2 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai rose 0.9%. <\/p>\n

\n

Corporate actions<\/p>\n

Salama says the cleanup is done: <\/strong>DFM-listed takaful insurer Salama completed its capital restructuring program after converting its mandatory sukuk into equity and lifting paid-up capital to AED 820 mn, according to a DFM disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. The move \u2014 which comes after Eshraq and Humana Holding fully subscribed to the capital increase \u2014 restores solvency to what it described as a \u201cstrong and fully compliant level\u201d under Central Bank of the UAE requirements.<\/p>\n

IN CONTEXT-<\/strong> The turnaround came in two stages we\u2019ve been tracking<\/a>. Salama first cut capital<\/a> to wipe out accumulated losses and meet tighter regulatory thresholds before raising a mandatory convertible sukuk<\/a> in February as a liquidity bridge. Its conversion now increases the stakes of backers Eshraq Investments and Humana Holding<\/a> while helping close out more than AED 420 mn in legacy exposures.<\/p>\n

What comes next:<\/strong> With the balance sheet repaired, management said the focus now shifts to rebuilding underwriting capacity, reactivating distribution channels, and pursuing growth across life and wealth, health, and property and casualty lines.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Conservative structure and long-term capital lock support the sector against disruptions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":116122,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[7,48,50,951],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-116121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-private-credit","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"784b08d2-810a-4871-8efe-48eae27212ad","order":"8","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/4\/1319.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Not another 2008","related_issue":[116108],"teaser":"Conservative structure and long-term capital lock support the sector against disruptions"},"yoast_head":"\nIs market panic about private credit overblown? 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