{"id":116052,"date":"2026-04-24T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=116052"},"modified":"2026-04-24T03:04:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T03:04:11","slug":"the-greenback-faltered-for-a-few-weeks-as-ceasefire-prospects-grew-but-its-staging-a-comeback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/04\/24\/the-greenback-faltered-for-a-few-weeks-as-ceasefire-prospects-grew-but-its-staging-a-comeback\/","title":{"rendered":"The greenback faltered for a few weeks as ceasefire prospects grew, but it\u2019s staging a comeback"},"content":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s a battle between the g<\/strong>reenback and emerging market currencies <\/strong>as the outlook for the war and the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz changes by the hour.<\/p>\n

The USD was down by roughly 2.3% against its peers since its late-March peak<\/strong>, losing value against virtually all major currencies bar Japan\u2019s JPY, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. The EUR has also clawed back nearly all of its losses since the start of the US\u2019s war with Iran, and riskier wagers in emerging markets were also seeing gains at the USD\u2019s expense.<\/p>\n

Yesterday, though, the USD seems to have regained some ground<\/strong>, with the USD index, which measures the value of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, gaining yesterday. EM currencies and equities also saw a dip<\/a> as tensions in the Strait of Hormuz persisted and prospects of US-Iran negotiations remain unclear. MSCI's gauge for emerging market currencies shed 0.2%. <\/p>\n

What\u2019s happening? <\/strong>Since the conflict began, the greenback has been enjoying a rebound in its safe-haven status<\/a>, clawing its way back into investors\u2019 favor, while other defensive asset classes like bonds and gold took a hit. However, recent ceasefire negotiations and hopes of an end to the war are sending mixed signals, providing a bit of hope for risky assets but keeping volatility high amid ongoing tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n

While \u201crisk sentiment is improving,\u201d as BNY\u2019s Geoffrey Yu noted, the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates is clouding the USD outlook. <\/strong>A simultaneous likely uptick in European rates on the back of higher energy costs means foreign capital will probably be looking elsewhere to deposit their funds to secure higher yields.<\/p>\n

The outlook:<\/strong> The USD is likely to continue to fall until the war ends as increasingly unpredictable US policy pushes investors to roll back their exposure to US assets. Meanwhile, as things stand, Wall Street lenders predict the EUR will rise to EUR 1.2 next year, up from EUR 1.175 now, while the GBP is also set to inch up.<\/p>\n

Conflict duration is the key decider: <\/strong>\u201cThe conflict will dictate the near-term direction,\u201d Vanguard\u2019s Roger Hallam said, indicating that the wider macro environment is pointing to a weaker USD.<\/p>\n

Now analysts see a ceasefire as the likely outcome: <\/strong>\u201cOur base case remains that it is in the interest of both parties to come to a deal [...] despite hiccups,\u201d Jeffries\u2019 chief Europe economist Mohit Kumar said.<\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mostly in the red this morning, with the only outlier being Japan\u2019s Nikkei, which rose 0.7%. Over on Wall Street, futures are trading flat after a day in the red for Wall Street.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,747<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: -2.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,814<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.0% (YTD: -3.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,639<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: -5.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.4% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.0% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,109<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.2% (YTD: +5.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

52,375<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +25.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,108<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +3.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,457<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +5.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,895<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +1.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 106.87<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.58<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,714<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 77,871<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: -12.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Chimera JP Morgan UAE Bond UCITS ETF<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

AED 3.59<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: -2.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

151.94<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +0.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

19.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.1% (YTD: +29.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The DFM remained flat yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 823.7 mn. The index is down 3.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Gulf Navigation Holding (+14.8%), National International Holding Company (+9.2%), and National Cement Company (+3.6%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Amlak Finance (-4.7%), National General Ins. Company (-4.7%), and Al Mazaya Holding Company (-4.3%). <\/p>\n

Over on the ADX<\/strong>, the index fell 0.4% on turnover of AED 776.2 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai was down 0.4%.<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS<\/p>\n

U<\/strong>AE retailer Lulu Group\u2019s general assembly approved distributing<\/strong> AED 361.5 mn in dividends for 2H 2025<\/strong>, according to a disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. The payout, equivalent to 3.5 fils per share, brings total dividends for the year to AED 723 mn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gains seen by the USD on account of its safe-haven status are being pared back<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":116053,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[225,7,48,50],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-116052","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a0b7bb7d-1bc8-49f9-b199-5555cc41f121","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/877.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Ceasefire prospect weighs on greenback \u2014 until it doesn\u2019t","related_issue":[116035],"teaser":"Gains seen by the USD on account of its safe-haven status are being pared back"},"yoast_head":"\nThe greenback faltered for a few weeks as ceasefire prospects grew, but it\u2019s staging a comeback - UAE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/04\/24\/the-greenback-faltered-for-a-few-weeks-as-ceasefire-prospects-grew-but-its-staging-a-comeback\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The greenback faltered for a few weeks as ceasefire prospects grew, but it\u2019s staging a comeback\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Gains seen by the USD on account of its safe-haven status are being pared back\" \/>\n<meta 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