{"id":115711,"date":"2026-04-20T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=115711"},"modified":"2026-04-20T03:10:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T03:10:16","slug":"a-strong-1q-for-uae-startups-but-regional-war-threatens-momentum-come-2h","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/04\/20\/a-strong-1q-for-uae-startups-but-regional-war-threatens-momentum-come-2h\/","title":{"rendered":"A strong 1Q for UAE startups, but regional war threatens momentum come 2H"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"> <strong>Startups in the UAE were the most well-funded in 1Q 2026. <\/strong>That largely boils down to a single mega transaction, but is also a reflection of solid momentum carried over from 2025, Magnitt says in its latest report seen by EnterpriseAM. But the bigger news is that 1Q 2026 also saw significant seasonal softness on the back of compounded disruptions with Ramadan, Eid, and then, of course, the war.<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>If you were waiting for 1Q data for insights into how the war has affected startup investments, it\u2019s too early for that. <\/strong>The real impact of recent geopolitical shocks won't be visible until later this year. \u201cThe [investment] that's being announced today is [one] that was already discussed earlier,\u201d Magnitt Research Director Farah El Nahlawi tells EnterpriseAM. \u201cThe expected [impact of the war] is going to start reflecting in the region in 3Q numbers,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>VC investments typically take six to nine months to move from handshake to a close.<\/strong> This means 1Q numbers are largely a mirror of 2025 sentiment, Magnitt says.<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>Case in point:<\/strong> We\u2019ve seen several startups announce funding rounds since the start of the war. Fikry Boutros, co-founder and co-CEO of Carnistore, which <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/03\/31\/dp-world-russias-rosatom-form-jv-a-gaming-supplier-eyes-the-uae-empower-secures-a-contract-from-meraas-epointzero-acquires-us-energy-firm-for-usd-2-3-bn-egf-backs-carnistore\/\" style=\"\">secured AED 45 mn in funding<\/a> from Emirates Growth Fund, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/04\/10\/how-one-fb-business-is-keeping-shelves-stocked-and-absorbing-costs-during-crisis\/\" style=\"\">told us<\/a> the investment had been in the works for months, and it was near closing when EGF said it would push ahead with closing the transaction despite the turbulent geopolitical environment and expected headwinds. <\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>But one potential repercussion of the war is that some startups likely opted not to disclose funding at all<\/strong>, possibly to avoid publicizing flat rounds or lower valuations, or simply because the geopolitical environment doesn\u2019t allow it, El Nahlawi said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">A closer look at 1Q <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>UAE startups raised USD 419 mn during the quarter<\/strong>, up 47% y-o-y, largely driven by <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/01\/28\/property-finder-secures-usd-170-mn-in-investments-from-mubadala-beco-and-another-sovereign-wealth-fund\/\" style=\"\">Property Finder\u2019s bumper USD 170 mn round<\/a>. The volume of transactions, however, fell 45% y-o-y to just 37, reflecting a broader trend in the VC ecosystem of bigger funding rounds concentrated into a smaller number of investments. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Pre-seed and seed activity in particular was softer<\/strong>, Magnitt said, and non-mega transactions saw a 13% y-o-y decline to USD 249 mn. <\/p>\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">The investor taxonomy <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>One key shift in 1Q data is the composition of the investor base.<\/strong> International participation fell to 26% of capital deployed in Q1, down from 49% in 2025. This isn\u2019t a uniform retreat, however. El Nahlawi categorizes the foreign base into three distinct risk profiles:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The entrenched investors:<\/strong> These are the firms with physical offices and permanent teams in Dubai, Riyadh, or Cairo. They are \u201cpart of the investment landscape\" and remain steady.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The fundraisers:<\/strong> Global firms that arrived in the region recently to tap local capital for their global funds. Their regional deployment is often a secondary, strategic neighborly gesture, and is set to remain steady too. <\/li>\n<li><strong>The diversifiers:<\/strong> This is the high-risk group \u2014 purely international firms (largely reflecting a broader trendUS-based) with no regional boots on the ground. \u201cThose are the ones that are going to pull back the hardest,\u201d El Nahlawi says. Their share of capital cratered from 22% to just 5% this quarter.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>The UAE is the most exposed to this shift in foreign investor sentiment. <\/strong>It took a 53% share of total funding in the region, but 70% of that capital came from international investors. Still, this is not likely to result in a big gap in funding in the medium to long term, El Nahlawi said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>Our take? <\/strong>We think there\u2019s a diverse enough composition of investors that the one \u201cdiversifier\u201d segment of foreign investors will not leave a huge dent, but we\u2019ll still be looking out for how the investor base composition changes in 3Q and 4Q.<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">Zooming out<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>Startups in our region raised USD 799 mn in 1Q, flatlining y-o-y but showing a steady 31% q-o-q increase<\/strong>, according to the report. Transaction volume, meanwhile, plummeted 20% q-o-q and some 41% y-o-y to reach a five-year low at 115 closed transactions, but the average size of VC transactions grew significantly, effectively offsetting any drop in volumes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">By the industry<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>Fintech still reigns supreme<\/strong>, accounting for 31% of all funding (USD 246 mn) despite seeing a 48% y-o-y drop. But its absolute dominance is \u201crelatively seeing a decline,\u201d El Nahlawi says. \u201cWe are now seeing a reshuffling of the top funded sectors as capital seeks out more tangible operational business models,\u201d she added. Real estate and F&B have aggressively moved into the top 10 most funded sectors list, with three-digit growth rates, growing from a much smaller base.<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>But this comes with a caveat: It\u2019s mainly driven by mega agreements. <\/strong>For real estate, that was Property Finder\u2019s USD 170 mn round from Mubadala. In F&B, the surge was driven by USD 50 mn rounds from Egypt\u2019s Breadfast and the UAE\u2019s Kitopi.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>What about AI? <\/strong>AI funding\u2019s share of the total value of transactions almost halved y-o-y, and its share of the total number of transactions fell from 36% to 12%. The drop was seen across the top three markers: Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, El Nahlawi said. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>What about the investor base? <\/strong>While US investors slowed down their overall VC deployment in our region in 1Q, they, along with UAE investors, were still the biggest spenders when it comes to AI.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Funding stage composition changed, too. <\/strong>Unlike 2025, where deployment was balanced between early-stage and more mature companies, the concentration of funding during 1Q 2026 was in early-stage players, with the majority of transactions falling in the USD 1-5 mn range. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>How can we read this data?<\/strong> A likely explanation for the y-o-y drop across fintech and AI is that we are seeing a delay in deployment and coming off an already strong base for both sectors in 2025, El Nahlawi says.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">The outlook<\/p>\n<p style=\"border-right-style:solid;border-top-width:0pt;border-left-style:solid;orphans:2;text-align:left;padding:0;margin:0;border-right-width:0pt;line-height:1.15;border-left-width:0pt;border-top-style:solid;border-bottom-width:0pt;border-bottom-style:solid;widows:2\"><strong>Expect investors to go big on their safer wager \u2014 and that could be good news for startups with the strongest fundamentals. <\/strong>Those who make the cut in 2Q and 3Q will likely raise bigger rounds because investors are over-capitalizing their safest wagers, El Nahlawi tells us. With average agreement sizes already trending high over the last few quarters before hitting an all-time high of USD 8.1 mn in 1Q 2026, we can expect bigger averages to come, paired with a reduction in overall activity and value. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The full impact of the conflict on startup investments will become clearer later this year<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":115712,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1557],"tags":[7,1342,25,147,274],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-115711","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investment-watch","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-investment","tag-investment-watch","tag-startups","tag-venture-capital","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ae4c1c6f-9a55-4315-8c41-5fd0528f8414","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/521.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Mega rounds buoyed investment momentum in 1Q, but war could hit appetite later this year","related_issue":[115704],"teaser":"The full impact of the conflict on startup investments will become clearer later this year"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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