{"id":115163,"date":"2026-04-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=115163"},"modified":"2026-04-09T02:59:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T02:59:15","slug":"can-the-gulf-just-snap-back-its-energy-system","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/04\/09\/can-the-gulf-just-snap-back-its-energy-system\/","title":{"rendered":"Can the Gulf just snap back its energy system?"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> <\/p>\n

Bleedin<\/strong>g stops, but healing takes time:<\/strong> Getting oil moving again through Hormuz is one thing, but getting the Gulf energy system back on track is another. The recent ceasefire opens the door to transit in the strait, but the system behind it is still fragile, with strikes hitting refineries, storage, and fields across Gulf countries.<\/p>\n

A sea-turned-storage could be a relief: <\/strong>There\u2019s some 130 mn barrels of crude, 46 mn barrels of refined fuels, and 1.3 mn tons of LNG sitting idle<\/a> on tankers across the Gulf. These volumes can move quickly once routes reopen.<\/p>\n

But clearing the backlog of cargoes is only half the equation \u2014 and moving ships out is <\/strong>easier than convincing them to come back in.<\/strong> Hundreds of vessels and shipowners are preparing<\/a> to move, but transit protocols and key terms are still unclear. Charters remain cautious, with Maersk<\/a> noting that \u201cthe ceasefire may create transit [windows], but it does not yet provide full maritime certainty and we need to understand all potential conditions attached.\u201d<\/p>\n

Crucially, without confidence that tankers will be there to lift cargo, producers won\u2019t rush <\/strong>to restart <\/strong>\u2014 they can\u2019t afford to produce barrels they can\u2019t move. National oil companies like Aramco may be hesitant before restoring output without clarity on the ceasefire conditions. <\/p>\n

The GCC will now play a sequencing game:<\/strong> The first barrels back to market won\u2019t come from fresh output but from crude and products already sitting in tanks in the Gulf. That buys time, but it\u2019s finite, and it masks the deeper issue that upstream and midstream systems are still impaired.<\/p>\n

\n

It will likely take some time<\/p>\n

Wells don\u2019t like being turned off:<\/strong> Idled wells lose pressure balance, take on water, and face<\/a>corrosion risks<\/a> \u2014 especially with hydrogen sulfide exposure. In Saudi and Iraq, where enhanced recovery techniques like gas and water injection are standard, restarting is recalibrating entire reservoir systems under stable conditions.<\/p>\n

Refining will be the quiet bottleneck:<\/strong> The UAE halted<\/a> its Ruwais plant after a drone strike early last month. That matters because refined products<\/a> are where shortages hit harder.<\/p>\n

Even in the best-case scenario, this is a staggered recovery:<\/strong> Some wells could return in days or weeks if damage is limited and security holds. But full system normalization \u2014 across production, processing, and export \u2014 is a months-long process<\/a> at minimum, and it can take years<\/a> where infrastructure has taken a real hit.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>The potential bill for repairing energy infrastructure across the Gulf could reach USD 25 bn<\/a>, with engineering and construction taking the biggest share, followed by equipment and materials.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The potential bill for repairing energy infrastructure across the Gulf stands at USD 25 bn<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":115164,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1604],"tags":[143,7,99,1813],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-115163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-energy","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-logistics","tag-oil-gas","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"f11cb965-e234-4959-9a24-b543d0f8c2a9","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/4\/457.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"It\u2019s not so easy to start things over","related_issue":[115156],"teaser":"The potential bill for repairing energy infrastructure across the Gulf stands at USD 25 bn"},"yoast_head":"\nCan the Gulf just snap back its energy system? 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