{"id":115158,"date":"2026-04-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=115158"},"modified":"2026-04-09T02:59:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T02:59:09","slug":"this-morning-is-dp-world-eyeing-a-usd-13-2-bn-stake-in-uks-largest-port-operator-1-in-eight-brits-have-left-the-uae-_storytags_-dp-world-defense-tourism-india-uae-relations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/04\/09\/this-morning-is-dp-world-eyeing-a-usd-13-2-bn-stake-in-uks-largest-port-operator-1-in-eight-brits-have-left-the-uae-_storytags_-dp-world-defense-tourism-india-uae-relations\/","title":{"rendered":"THIS MORNING: Is DP World eyeing a USD 13.2 bn stake in UK\u2019s largest port operator? + 1 in eight Brits have left the UAE !_StoryTags_! DP World, defense, Tourism, India-UAE relations,"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, friends. <\/strong>We\u2019re a day (and a few hours) into the two-week ceasefire, and we don\u2019t know how to feel. While it triggered a sense of relief across markets, with both the DFM and ADX soaring on the news, and some companies are already discussing a return to the office, ongoing aggression from both sides has cast doubt on how likely it is that the ceasefire will hold. <\/p>\n

<\/a> The UAE \u2014 along with Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait \u2014 was <\/strong>targeted<\/a><\/strong> yesterday<\/strong> in a fresh round of Iranian attacks, while Lebanon was battered by Israel, with dozens of strikes across over 100 locations in Beirut. The UAE said its air defense systems were dealing with attacks<\/a> well into the afternoon, with one of the strikes hitting Habshan gas facility, which has already been targeted multiple times since the start of the war. <\/p>\n

Abu Dhabi has called for a \u201csustained approach\u201d in responding to the threats posed by <\/strong>Tehran<\/strong>, and \u201cfurther clarification\u201d on what the ceasefire\u2019s provisions are, the Foreign Ministry said in a statement<\/a>. The ministry also emphasized the importance of \u201cending threats to freedom of navigation, as well as economic warfare and piracy in the Strait of Hormuz.\u201d <\/p>\n

As we enter a period of uncertainty over the next two weeks<\/strong>, we take a step back to try to make sense of what might unfold, and how officials and investors might use these two weeks to prepare for what\u2019s next. <\/p>\n

We dive into the potential outcomes of the temporary ceasefire agreement<\/strong>, the capital market response and how performance might look in the near term, as well as how long it might take to resume normal energy flows \u2014 all in this morning\u2019s issue. Let\u2019s dive in.<\/p>\n

WEATHER- The rain is not done with us just yet. <\/strong>Bouts of rainfall are expected across the country from today until Monday, according to the National Center of Meteorology. Expect a mostly cloudy day today, with a high of 30\u00b0C and a low of 23\u00b0C in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. <\/p>\n

Watch this space <\/p>\n

<\/a> M&A WATCH<\/strong> \u2014 DP World eyeing USD 13.2 bn stake in UK\u2019s biggest port <\/strong>operator? <\/strong>A controlling 64% stake worth USD 13.2 bn in the UK\u2019s largest port operator, Associated British Ports (ABP), is up for grabs, and DP World is reportedly interested, Bloomberg<\/a> reports, citing people it says are familiar with the matter.<\/p>\n

Currently, nothing is set in stone, and discussions are still underway. <\/strong>The likes of Brookfield Asset Management, KKR & Co, and BlackRock\u2019s Global Infrastructure Partners are also reportedly interested in snapping up the stake from Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and Toronto-based Omers Administration Corp.<\/p>\n

The target: <\/strong>As the UK\u2019s largest port operator, ABP handles roughly a quarter of the UK\u2019s maritime trade.<\/p>\n

IN CONTEXT- <\/strong>DP World already operates two deepwater ports and freight rail terminals at Southampton and London Gateway, the latter of which it had previously committed to investing GBP 1 bn into<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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MACRO \u2014 <\/strong>The World<\/strong> Bank has lowered the UAE\u2019s GDP growth projection for 2026 to <\/strong>2.4%<\/strong>, a 2.7 percentage point downward revision from January\u2019s forecast, according to its latest regional economic update (pdf)<\/a>. Despite the revision, we\u2019re doing better than some of our neighbors thanks to \u201cstrides in reorienting [our] economies toward financial services, tourism, and manufacturing.\u201d<\/p>\n

The US-Iran war did a number on GCC projections. <\/strong>The lender slashed its growth forecast for the GCC to 1.3% in 2026, down from the 4.4% penciled in in January. Qatar and Kuwait dragged the forecast down, with both economies now expected to end the year in contraction. The most notable risks facing the Gulf are extended disruption to hydrocarbon exports, souring investor preferences, and reduced tourism, aviation, and maritime services.<\/p>\n

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<\/a> TOURISM \u2014 The war could wipe USD 13-32 bn in GCC tourism revenues<\/strong>, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Secretary General Jasem Albudaiwi told officials during an extraordinary GCC tourism ministers meeting, Saudi Gazette<\/a> reports. Tourism arrivals could be down by 8-19 mn on the back of the regional conflict, he added.<\/p>\n

ICYMI<\/strong>- <\/strong>As we\u2019ve previously reported, tourism in the Emirates was on a roll prior to the war, accounting for USD 70.1 bn of GDP in 9M 2025<\/a>. Forecasts expect that inbound arrivals to the region could shrink by as much as 27% y-o-y this year, after the UAE clocked 8.5k holiday rental cancellations on the day the conflict erupted.<\/p>\n

The <\/strong>UAE government is trying to support the sector<\/strong>, rolling out state-backed initiatives to try and give the hospitality sector a boost, including fee deferrals<\/a> and tax rebates for upgrades<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n

Data point<\/p>\n

<\/a> <\/p>\n

<\/a> One <\/strong>in eight \u2014 that\u2019s how many British citizens have left the UAE since the <\/strong>conflict began<\/strong>, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. Around 30k British residents (10-15% of the long-term population) are now outside the UAE out of a pre-conflict population of 240k.<\/p>\n

A 180:<\/strong> As we\u2019ve previously reported, until recently, the UAE was a top alternative destination<\/a>, along with Saudi Arabia, for high-net-worth individuals from the UK looking to escape tax reforms and economic stagnation.<\/p>\n

The shift is already rippling through sectors like education<\/strong>, where operators had been banking on steady enrollment growth of up to 7% y-o-y. Dubai-based security consultant Nigel Lea said many have chosen to relocate temporarily to share childcare and schooling responsibilities with families back home, adding that most are expected to return. <\/p>\n

There\u2019s been a parallel wave of departures from other international groups. <\/strong>More than 52k Indian nationals left the UAE and the wider Gulf between March 1 and 7, The Times of India<\/a> reports. The bulk of that flow appears tied to travel disruptions and short-term movements rather than a structural exit, as airspace tightening triggered a wave of departures. As of mid-March, over 40k Americans<\/a> had left the Middle East after the conflict began.<\/p>\n

\n

Happening this week<\/p>\n

India\u2019s External <\/strong>Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar will be in the UAE on Saturday and Sunday<\/strong> for a diplomatic meeting, according to a press release<\/a>. The meeting will focus on strengthening regional cooperation and deepening the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (Cepa) between the two countries. <\/p>\n

The UAE-India corridor runs deep<\/strong>, and the countries\u2019 2022-era Cepa has been bearing fruit for some time now. Earlier this year, the two inked a raft of agreements<\/a> spanning space, food trade, investment, tech, defense, and energy. The two are aiming to double bilateral trade to USD 200 bn. More recently, India has also extended the UAE\u2019s gold import quota<\/a> deadline to offset disruptions to the gold supply chain from the war.<\/p>\n

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The big story abroad<\/p>\n

The global front pages remain fixated on the aftermath of what is shaping up to be a<\/strong> pretty fragile ceasefire agreement. <\/strong>We have more on that and what it means for us at home in the news well, below. <\/p>\n

Oil is rising again: <\/strong>After the news of the ceasefire dragged oil prices down, fear that tensions could escalate again pushed prices up in early trading today. Brent crude rose 2.5% to USD 97.14 per barrel. <\/p>\n

Meanwhile, in the world of AI: <\/strong>Tech giant Meta has debuted<\/a> its first AI model \u2014 Muse Spark \u2014 after CEO Mark Zuckerberg\u2019s latest spending drive on new-hires and infrastructure. Pitched as an improved version of virtual assistant Meta AI, the new product enables more personalized and visual responses and draws from content shared across Facebook, Instagram, and Threads.<\/p>\n

And in the feud between Anthropic and the Pentagon<\/strong>, a Washington DC federal appeals court declined to obstruct<\/a> the national security blacklisting of the AI \u200ccompany. The move could block contractors who work with the Pentagon from using AI models by the startup. <\/p>\n

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