{"id":112919,"date":"2026-02-10T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/02\/10\/geopolitics-drove-the-uaes-sovereign-wealth-investments-last-year-but-diversification-was-still-the-name-of-the-game\/"},"modified":"2026-02-10T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T00:00:00","slug":"geopolitics-drove-the-uaes-sovereign-wealth-investments-last-year-but-diversification-was-still-the-name-of-the-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/02\/10\/geopolitics-drove-the-uaes-sovereign-wealth-investments-last-year-but-diversification-was-still-the-name-of-the-game\/","title":{"rendered":"Geopolitics drove the UAE\u2019s sovereign wealth investments last year, but diversification was still the name of the game"},"content":{"rendered":"

Long-te<\/strong>rm <\/strong>tech plays and geopolitics defined the UAE\u2019s sovereign wealth <\/strong>funds\u2019 investment strategies in 2025. <\/strong>While each SWF has clear, distinct objectives \u2014 with some skewed more toward domestic investments and others focused on building global portfolios \u2014 every one had a role to play in executing the UAE\u2019s strategic agenda, from its foreign affairs policy to its national targets. Bns of USD in investments have been poured either directly into some of the UAE\u2019s now biggest allies or into expanding cross-border ties through acquisitions and expansions.<\/p>\n

The US played a major role: <\/strong>In May, the UAE said it plans to invest USD 1.4 tn<\/a> in the US through a 10-year investment framework in key sectors, including AI infrastructure, semiconductors, energy, and manufacturing, with ADQ \u2014 which is historically focused on the local economy \u2014 planning to invest USD 25 bn in data centers in the US and forming a JV with Orion Resource to invest USD 1.2 bn in metals and mining. Mubadala-backed Emirates Global Aluminium is also involved, with plans to build the US\u2019 largest smelter in four decades.<\/p>\n

As did Canada\u2026: <\/strong>The UAE later in the year signed a USD 50 bn<\/a> investment framework with Canada, targeting sectors that include AI, logistics, and mining.<\/p>\n

\u2026 and Asia: <\/strong>The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority lasered in on India and Asia more widely in what is widely understood to be a diversification play amid wider geopolitical uncertainty.<\/p>\n

Where did the money go?<\/p>\n

The top sectors for capital:<\/strong> UAE and Saudi SWFs focused their investments on infrastructure, energy transition, digitalization, and advanced technologies, in addition to sectors connected to long-term economic resilience, Deloitte\u2019s Sovereign Wealth Fund leader Julie Kassab tells EnterpriseAM. Attention was also given to partnerships and platforms that deliver scale, operational depth, and enduring market access (think Mubadala\u2019s partnership with Fortress<\/a> or Adia\u2019s investment in US-based women\u2019s healthcare firm Hologic<\/a>).<\/p>\n

\n

Behind the pivot westward last year<\/p>\n

GCC SWFs were attracted to the West for its <\/strong>\u201cregulatory certainty, market maturity, and governance standards<\/strong>,\u201d Kassab said. These markets offered the scale and stability needed for sectors like infrastructure, energy transition, technology, and advanced manufacturing while also supporting domestic targets through knowledge transfer, strategic partnerships, and access to global best practices.<\/p>\n

\u201cDomestic investment continues to be central, but in 2025 it has been complemented by a more deliberate global approach<\/strong>,\u201d Kassab said. The GCC funds\u2019 international investments are turning into a pathway to gaining capabilities, expertise, and scale that can support domestic targets.<\/p>\n

Yes, but:<\/strong> The US \u2014 and the West more broadly \u2014 was also no straightforward investment last year. One of two major geopolitical risks GCC SWFs faced last year that reshaped their investment strategies was the US\u2019 introduction of a new trade policy, which created economic and policy uncertainty, Oxford Economics\u2019 Macroeconomist Azad Zangana tells EnterpriseAM. <\/p>\n

The other major risk? <\/strong>Escalating tensions between Iran and Israel \u2014 alongside the US \u2014 also led to a reassessment of regional risk, pushing funds to pursue greater diversification.<\/p>\n

These events caused GCC SWFs to focus on future gains rather than short-term profitability<\/strong>, Kassab tells us. Although diversification and returns remain central goals, attention has shifted toward building portfolios that boost supply chain security, resilient infrastructure, energy systems, and advanced technologies. Funds are now increasingly targeting sectors and markets that offer lasting stability and a competitive edge in the long term.<\/p>\n

\n

The major drivers of the geopolitical shift toward the West: AI and energy<\/p>\n

The regional geopolitical shift is being driven by the global energy transition, the emergence of new energy producers from Latin America to the US, and the rise of AI<\/strong>, Foreign Policy<\/a> has recently written.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s no secret that the<\/strong> UAE has been capitalizing on AI to establish itself as a key hub in global infrastructure<\/strong> and has done so by strengthening ties with major powers like the US. This has been at the cost of its \u201ctech ties\u201d with China \u2014 G42 has had to cut all of its technological ties with the country to continue working with the US and receiving advanced chip exports from the country.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER-<\/strong> Mubadala emerged<\/a> as the top state-owned spender on AI in 2025, with some USD 4.9 bn spent. These include a USD 1.4 bn<\/a> Series E funding round in US-based AI infrastructure company Crusoe and a USD 150 mn<\/a> funding round for AI tools provider Anaconda. Meanwhile, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority spent some USD 1.2 bn on AI, while ADQ invested USD 1 bn.<\/p>\n

\n

However, the focus is less on locale and more on market depth <\/p>\n

UAE and Saudi SWFs looked beyond specific geographies in 2025<\/strong>, targeting markets that provide \u201cdepth, stability, and access to innovation,\u201d Kassab said. Developed markets with solid regulatory foundations continue to anchor investment strategies, alongside carefully chosen investments in high-growth regions.<\/p>\n

Possible challenges: Unprofitable investments and execution risk?<\/p>\n

What\u2019s the catch?<\/strong> The focus on strategic investments could present some challenges, including mistimed investment entries that can hurt short-term performance, as well as the cost incurred from capital being locked in long-term strategic initiatives, Zangana said. They can also bring execution risks and extended investment horizons, demanding greater focus on governance, risk management, and portfolio diversification, Kassab said.<\/p>\n

GCC countries are anchoring their economic transformation on ambitious strategies<\/strong>, yet overinvestment in unprofitable sectors or unsuccessful reforms could slow progress, Foreign Policy also wrote.<\/p>\n

\n

What\u2019s next? <\/p>\n

GCC SWFs are expected to maintain a \u201cbalanced approach\u201d in 2026<\/strong>, with domestic investments driving national priorities and targeted global investments focused on resilience, innovation, and long-term competitiveness, Kassab said. Portfolio flexibility and disciplined capital deployment are expected to stay at the core as funds adapt to a rapidly changing global environment.<\/p>\n

International geopolitical noise is expected to subside, allowing funds to refocus on domestic priorities<\/strong>, Zangana said. Meanwhile, investments in domestic infrastructure, healthcare, technology (including AI), and energy transition are likely to feature prominently in the coming few years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

UAE sovereign wealth funds poured bns of USD into its allies and into propping up its national 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