{"id":112365,"date":"2026-03-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=112365"},"modified":"2026-03-09T04:02:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T04:02:43","slug":"uae-most-exposed-in-the-region-to-possibility-of-bank-deposit-outflows-bloomberg-intelligence-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/03\/09\/uae-most-exposed-in-the-region-to-possibility-of-bank-deposit-outflows-bloomberg-intelligence-says\/","title":{"rendered":"UAE most exposed in the region to possibility of bank deposit outflows, Bloomberg Intelligence says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;text-align:left\"> <strong>The GCC<\/strong><strong> banki<\/strong><strong>ng sector could face between USD <\/strong><strong>111-260 bn<\/strong><strong> in outflows<\/strong>, as the US-Iran conflict escalates toward a broader regional crisis with a credible threat to the Strait of Hormuz, according to a recent Bloomberg Intelligence report picked up by <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/asharqbusiness.com\/banks\/122450\/%D9%83%D9%8A%D9%81-%D9%82%D8%AF-%D8%AA%D8%AA%D8%A3%D8%AB%D8%B1-%D8%B3%D9%8A%D9%88%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A8%D9%86%D9%88%D9%83-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AE%D9%84%D9%8A%D8%AC-%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%85%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AD%D8%B1%D8%A8\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Asharq Business<\/a> and an <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fitchsolutions.com\/bmi\/banking\/us-iran-conflict-increased-risks-for-regional-and-global-banks-03-03-2026\" rel=\"noopener\">article<\/a> by Fitch Solutions\u2019 research unit BMI. This again confirms what we\u2019ve reported on the UAE potentially seeing <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/issues\/capital-outflows-to-be-expected-in-the-near-term-as-war-tarnishes-the-uaes-safe-haven-status\/\" rel=\"noopener\">moderate outflows<\/a> as the war shakes expat confidence in the Emirates\u2019 safe-haven label. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;text-align:left\"><strong>Trade and travel disruptions are putting the \u201csafe haven\u201d assertion to the test.<\/strong> While elevated energy prices are providing a fiscal cushion for some, the physical disruption of trade and travel is forcing a sharp sell-off among some regional bourses and testing the GCC\u2019s long-standing narrative as a global safe haven, BMI explains.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;text-align:left\"><strong>The UAE is particularly exposed to banking volatility due to its high expat population <\/strong>\u2014 representing roughly 85-88% of the total \u2014 which has been a primary driver of banking liquidity since 2021, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. Non-resident deposits, meanwhile, constitute about 8% of total liquidity inflows, exposing roughly half of retail deposits to extreme volatility.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;text-align:left\"><strong>Still, UAE banks collectively possess a significant liquidity surplus of USD 87 bn<\/strong>, which is sufficient to cover 30% of anticipated retail withdrawals over a three-month period. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;text-align:left\"><strong>Emirates NBD and Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank are currently the best positioned to weather the storm. <\/strong>On the other hand, smaller players like Commercial Bank International and United Arab Bank are showing negative three-month cashflows, signaling a potential tightening of liquidity.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UAE banks are most exposed due to their large expat population<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":112420,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1618],"tags":[159,7,2460],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-112365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-banking","tag-banking","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-https-ent-news-2026-3-430-jpg","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"3a8b0331-c830-4d77-86e1-d5b629a457c3","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"GCC banks face up to USD 260 bn in outflows, with the UAE among the most exposed","related_issue":[112358],"teaser":"UAE banks are most exposed due to their large expat population","photo_link":"","related_sponsor":"","voice_url":"","en_translation_ref_id":"","section_story_id":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>UAE most exposed in the region to possibility of bank deposit outflows, Bloomberg Intelligence says - UAE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/03\/09\/uae-most-exposed-in-the-region-to-possibility-of-bank-deposit-outflows-bloomberg-intelligence-says\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta 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