{"id":112227,"date":"2026-03-05T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=112227"},"modified":"2026-03-05T09:18:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T09:18:21","slug":"car-sales-set-to-take-a-hit-as-war-dampens-consumer-spending-and-prices-spike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/03\/05\/car-sales-set-to-take-a-hit-as-war-dampens-consumer-spending-and-prices-spike\/","title":{"rendered":"Car sales set to take a hit as war dampens consumer spending and prices spike"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong> The UAE is home to some pretty big spenders<\/strong> \u2014 and one thing high-net-worth individuals (and let\u2019s face it, anyone who just got a good bonus) love is cars. You only need to head to any of the city\u2019s five-star hotels for a who\u2019s who of luxury cars parked at the entrance.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>But with war hitting the region, cars might fall much lower on people\u2019s wishlists.<\/strong> \u201cEscalation [will likely] trigger a \u2018wait-and-see\u2019 pullback in big-ticket discretionary purchases such as new vehicles, particularly in the UAE and other GCC markets where confidence can turn rapidly in response to security developments,\u201d Santiago Arieu, senior research analyst at Fitch Solutions, tells EnterpriseAM.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>They will also likely get more expensive. <\/strong>\u201cRising freight and ins. premia [will likely increase] the cost of imported vehicles, forcing dealers and distributors to pass on higher logistics costs, which would raise effective transaction prices,\u201d Arieu added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>IN CONTEXT-<\/strong> The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the targeting of several ports across the region have meant risk premia and ins. costs have increased, while airspace closures have impacted air cargo flows, raising freight rates.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>This could skew the automotive demand dynamic in the country, with a bigger<\/strong><strong> focus on used vehicles and more affordable segments<\/strong>, while premium car brands take a hit, Arieu says.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>SOUND SMART- <\/strong>Most vehicles coming into the UAE are imported as fully built-up units, with the local assembly and manufacturing industry only accounting for a sliver of the market.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>Car sales came to a complete halt Sunday and Monday<\/strong>, despite Ramadan typically being the peak season for the industry in the UAE, with sales usually up 50-100%, Glenn Harwood, co-founder of automotive data platform <a href=\"https:\/\/algodriven.xyz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AlgoDriven<\/a>, tells EnterpriseAM. But in the past 48 hours, some car shopping has resumed, though not at the regular pace at which it usually takes place during this season, he added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>\u201cThis could be a repeat of Covid-19 when supply chains froze up<\/strong>, but the one difference is: where at the time, there was not enough new cars in the market, now some car dealers have one to two years\u2019 worth of stock, both of used and new cars,\u201d Harwood said, adding that this could actually be a blessing in disguise for them to clear some of their stock.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>What did happen at the time, though, was that used car prices were inflated and<\/strong><strong> took nearly three years to simmer down<\/strong>, he explained. New cars were being sold at full price, with no haircuts offered, he added. \u201cThe fact that the car market has been pretty bloated for six months [could help,] but it really depends how big the shockwave is to the new car supply chain,\u201d he noted.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>Chinese automakers \u2014 some of which are newcomers to the market \u2014 have already<\/strong><strong> given traditional automakers plenty to compete with <\/strong>in terms of pricing and have flooded the market with inventory, making it even harder for traditional automakers to clear existing stock, he explained.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>Another problem for the market? Newcomer car brands might start<\/strong><strong> shying away. <\/strong>While the UAE has been a popular choice for global carmakers \u2014 with yet another Chinese manufacturer, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.icauruae.com\/newsDetail\/?id=257\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">iCaur<\/a>, launching just last month \u2014 headwinds including heightened freight costs, war-risk ins. premia, and deteriorating schedule reliability will deter new brands from entering the market, Arieu said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>\u201cWe expect most carmakers to remain more cautious about ne<\/strong><strong>w localization plans<\/strong>, awaiting more clarity until routing and ins. conditions stabilize,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding: 0;margin: 0;line-height: 1.15;text-align: left\"><strong>The Gulf region might lose its prime position for Chinese carmakers.<\/strong> \u201cThe Gulf region was often the first stop for Chinese carmakers looking to expand globally, because it\u2019s geographically close by,\u201d Harwood said. \u201cOther Chinese brands have had such good success, and local importers are chasing them, but if there's instability, no supply chain, and consumer confidence disappears, they're just going to choose a different market to launch into next.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Car prices are set to surge as ins. costs and risk premia rise, but the country has enough supply to absorb some of the damage<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":112228,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2064],"tags":[895,19,7],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-112227","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-automotive","tag-automotive","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam-uae","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ea885cac-71cb-49bf-859d-6250224c3253","order":"6","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/282.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Eyeing a new car? The market might not be in your favor for a while\u2026","related_issue":[112219],"teaser":"Car prices are set to surge as ins. costs and risk premia rise, but the country has enough supply to absorb some of the damage","photo_link":"","related_sponsor":"","voice_url":"","en_translation_ref_id":"","section_story_id":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Car sales set to take a hit as war dampens consumer spending and prices spike - UAE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2026\/03\/05\/car-sales-set-to-take-a-hit-as-war-dampens-consumer-spending-and-prices-spike\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta 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