{"id":110860,"date":"2025-12-17T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-17T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/?p=110860"},"modified":"2026-01-04T21:40:32","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T21:40:32","slug":"this-morning-uae-launches-strategic-partnership-talks-with-the-eu-corporate-tax-credit-refunds-explained","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/12\/17\/this-morning-uae-launches-strategic-partnership-talks-with-the-eu-corporate-tax-credit-refunds-explained\/","title":{"rendered":"THIS MORNING: UAE launches strategic partnership talks with the EU + corporate tax credit refunds, explained"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, friends \u2014 we\u2019ve missed you. <\/strong>We\u2019re back after a long publication holiday with the biggest updates from the past few days and the weekend. <\/p>\n

The big story of the day is none other than Adnoc\u2019s Covestro acquisition finally seeing the light<\/strong> \u2014 a major win for the UAE oil giant as it looks to boost its footprint overseas. <\/p>\n

The M&A theme continues<\/strong> throughout the issue, with a mandatory tender offer from AD Ports<\/strong> that could see it secure up to 90% of Egypt\u2019s Alexandria Container and Cargo <\/strong>Handling Company. <\/strong>Meanwhile, in India, two potential transactions from UAE firms look to be dead in the water<\/strong> \u2014 as Masdar pulls its take-private transaction for Renew and Emirates NBD is said to be reconsidering its bid for a second Indian lender. <\/p>\n

It\u2019s also a busy issue on the investment front<\/strong>, with a big ticket investment into noon, a new real estate debt partnership by Mubadala, and a new massive Mercedez Benz-branded city planned by Binghatti. <\/p>\n

Finally, on the macro front<\/strong>, we have the latest inflation<\/strong> figures for Dubai and a breakdown of what the IMF<\/strong> thinks of the UAE economy based on its Article IV consultation. <\/p>\n

Watch this space<\/strong>- <\/p>\n

<\/a> TRADE: <\/strong>The UAE and EU formally launched negotiations on a strategic<\/strong> partnership agreement<\/strong> (SPA), according to joint statements here<\/a> and here<\/a>. This comes as trade talks<\/a> we\u2019ve previously reported on are now four rounds deep, with another round expected early next year. The SPA is positioned as groundwork for finalizing a future trade agreement.<\/p>\n

Our take: <\/strong>Brussels and Abu Dhabi want more structure around an already sizable relationship.<\/strong> The SPA is meant to anchor cooperation across digitalization, AI, connectivity, research, and the green transition \u2014 areas where regulatory alignment, rather than tariff cuts alone, will shape cross-border capital and technology flows.<\/p>\n

What to watch: <\/strong>Timing and substance. When the SPA actually lands, which regulatory barriers it meaningfully tackles, and how that alignment accelerates or complicates the path to a full FTA.<\/p>\n

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<\/a> TAX: The UAE just cleared the way for taxpayers to monetize their tax incentives and <\/strong>claim tax credits as refunds <\/strong>through a new federal decree-law picked up by state news agency Wam<\/a>. The order of settlement now starts with tax credits, followed by foreign tax credit, and then incentives and facilities. <\/p>\n

Uh, Enterprise, what does that mean? <\/strong>The new order of settlement effectively allows firms to use their tax credits in an order that prioritizes those that expire first, and shields multinationals from the 15% global minimum tax by treating tax credit refunds as income rather than tax breaks. <\/p>\n

Background: <\/strong>In November<\/a>, the Finance Ministry set new deadlines for requesting refunds for credit balances, setting a maximum deadline of five years to request a refund for credit balances or to offset tax liabilities with a credit balance.<\/p>\n

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INHERITANCE: Inheritance disputes in the UAE are set to move faster<\/strong> after the launch of specialized inheritance courts under amendments to the Civil Procedures Code, state news agency Wam<\/a> reports. The reforms allow the President of the Federal Judicial Council or the head of a local judicial authority to establish dedicated inheritance courts without needing litigants\u2019 consent.<\/p>\n

The backdrop: <\/strong>Inheritance disputes were previously<\/a> split across family and civil courts under the UAE Personal Status Law<\/a> \u2014 a system that defaults to shariah-based rules but allows non-Muslims to apply civil or home-country laws through a registered will. The new framework replaces this multi-step process with a single specialized forum for inheritance cases.<\/p>\n

What else is changing: <\/strong>The amendments beef up courts\u2019 ability to rely on technical expertise, allowing judges to appoint local or international experts, question their findings, and request revisions. Appeals are also getting tighter \u2014 challengers must now file judgments, dates, juridical grounds, and specific requests upfront, or risk having appeals thrown out as inadmissible.<\/p>\n

Plus, a wider safety net for appeals: <\/strong>The reforms expand access to the Court of Cassation to cover decisions issued by the Courts of Appeal, not just final judgments. The Attorney General has also been given the power to file appeals independently, including in cases where litigants miss appeal deadlines.<\/p>\n

Not entirely new, just federal now: <\/strong>Dubai rolled out its own standalone inheritance court in 2022<\/a> to speed up estate disputes at the emirate level. <\/p>\n

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PSA- <\/p>\n

\u26c5WEATHER- Rainy and unstable conditions are set to continue through today<\/strong>, with the mercury peaking at 30\u00b0C in Dubai and 28\u00b0C in Abu Dhabi, before cooling to a low of 22\u00b0C in the former and 21\u00b0C in the capital. <\/p>\n

THE BIG STORY ABROAD- <\/p>\n

Will Gulf sovereigns continue backing Paramount Skydance\u2019s hostile bid for Warner <\/strong>Bros Discovery? <\/strong>The question hangs in the air this morning amid widespread reports that WBD plans to reject Paramount\u2019s bid<\/a> in favour of Netflix. The news sent Affinity partners, the key conduit for GCC backing of Paramount\u2019s hostile bid, running to the exit. <\/p>\n

Affinity, the private equity outfit led by Donald Trump\u2019s son-in-law Jared Kushner, said <\/strong>overnight it would \u201cno longer pursue the opportunity.\u201d<\/strong> Kushner helped Paramount line up some USD 24 bn in funding for the bid from Saudi\u2019s PIF, the Qatar Investment Authority, and Abu Dhabi\u2019s L\u2019imad Holding.<\/p>\n

PLUS- It\u2019s a rough morning for the auto industry: <\/strong>Volkswagen is shutting a plant<\/a> in Germany, its home market, for the first time in its 88-year history. That\u2019s bad news for any country (including Egypt) hoping that VW would choose it as the site for a new assembly plant <\/strong>\u2014 German unions would go bonkers if it invested significant sums abroad after shutting a plant at home. Ford, meanwhile, is taking a USD 19 bn writedown<\/a> as it walks-back plans to go all-in on EVs.<\/p>\n

Keep an eye on oil this morning:<\/strong> Crude futures dipped overnight after the Trump administration said it would impose a \u201ctotal and complete blockade<\/a> of all sanctioned oil tankers\u201d going into and and out of Venezuela.<\/p>\n

AND- The Trump administration is in damage-control mode after the White House <\/strong>chief of staff gave a stunningly candid interview <\/strong>to Vanity Fair in which she said she was \u201caghast\u201d at the destruction of USAID<\/strong>, called Elon an \u201codd duck\u201d and ketamine user, and talked smack about JD Vance\u2019s love of conspiracy theories. Read:<\/strong> Susie Wiles, JD Vance, and the \u201cJunkyard Dogs\u201d: The White House Chief of Staff on Trump\u2019s Second Term (Part 1 of 2)<\/a> <\/p>\n

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***<\/p>\n

OIL WATCH- <\/p>\n

<\/a> Dubai crude\u2019s forward curve briefly flipped into contango \u2014 meaning near-term barrels <\/strong>were<\/strong> cheaper than later loads<\/strong> \u2014 a classic sign of plentiful supply, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. Futures slid across key hubs, pushing Brent toward the USD 50s. <\/p>\n

If we\u2019re at USD 50-something now\u2026 <\/strong>Consensus on where oil will land next year is difficult to find, but Fitch Ratings\u2019 \u201cneutral\u201d sector outlook<\/a> assumes Brent averages around USD 63 \/ bbl, while Emirates NBD (pdf)<\/a> is more bearish, forecasting Brent at USD 60 \/ bbl. Fitch Ratings also expects the oil market to remain oversupplied next year, while ENBD sees demand growth slowing as global economic activity moderates. <\/p>\n

REMEMBER- There\u2019s a demand debate: <\/strong>The International Energy Agency sees demand growth slowing<\/a> to some 860k bbl \/ d, while Opec is nearly twice as bullish, pegging growth at 1.4 mn bbl \/ d. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Plus: Will Gulf sovereigns continue backing Paramount Skydance\u2019s hostile bid for Warner Bros 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