{"id":110094,"date":"2025-12-08T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/world-bank-maintains-forecast-for-uaes-gdp-at-4-8\/"},"modified":"2025-12-08T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T00:00:00","slug":"world-bank-maintains-forecast-for-uaes-gdp-at-4-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/12\/08\/world-bank-maintains-forecast-for-uaes-gdp-at-4-8\/","title":{"rendered":"World Bank maintains forecast for UAE\u2019s GDP at 4.8%"},"content":{"rendered":"

The World Bank maintained its forecast for the UAE\u2019s GDP in 2025 at<\/strong> 4.8%<\/a><\/strong>, while seeing GDP average 5% in FY 2026-2027, amid strong non-oil momentum and oil production hikes as Opec+ reverses its supply cut-focused policy from earlier this year, it said in its latest Gulf Economic Update (pdf).<\/a> The UAE has already reported 4.2% growth<\/a> for 1H 2025. <\/p>\n

Driving next year's growth is a forecasted 5.2% expansion in the UAE's non<\/strong>-oil sector<\/strong>, which makes up over 75% of the country's total GDP, making the UAE \u201cthe most economically diversified GCC economy,\u201d the World Bank said. The oil sector is also set to grow 4.5% in 2026-2027, from an expected 3.9% in 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n

Meanwhile, unemployment is expected to hover around 2.1%<\/strong>, below the GCC average, though with some gender and age disparities. <\/p>\n

The World Bank kept its headline inflation forecast at 2% in 2026<\/strong>, and anticipated inflationary pressures could stem from \u201cthe alignment of interest rate cuts with that of the Federal Reserve to maintain the parity of the [AED] with the [USD],\u201d the report said. The first half of 2025 saw accelerated inflation rates in sectors including recreation and culture (6%), ins. and financial services (4.4%), and housing, water, electricity, and gas (4%). Property and rentals inflation are also anticipated to rise on the back of population growth.<\/p>\n

It also expects the UAE\u2019s fiscal surplus to average 5% of GDP over the medium term<\/strong>, backed by its \u201cstrength and scale of sovereign wealth funds (SWFs).\u201d Meanwhile, it revised its forecast for the current account surplus to 7.4% of GDP in 2025, from a previously estimated 7.1%, and to 7.8% in 2026 from its previous estimation of 7.7%. It\u2019s expected to shrink to 5.7% in 2027, according to the report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The non-oil sector is expected to continue to drive growth next year<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":110095,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1556],"tags":[19,7,20,96],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-110094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-gdp","tag-world-bank","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"19855fff-2db6-43ec-b305-5a6d4f95bb6d","order":"6","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/1292.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"World Bank maintains forecast for UAE\u2019s GDP at 4.8%","related_issue":[110084],"teaser":"The non-oil sector is expected to continue to drive growth next year","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/12\/.edb3fa5c-df21-4d42-8a2f-11fd7eeb2383.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nWorld Bank maintains forecast for UAE\u2019s GDP at 4.8% - 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