{"id":108393,"date":"2025-10-13T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/dubai-inflation-rebounds-to-2-9-in-september\/"},"modified":"2025-10-13T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T00:00:00","slug":"dubai-inflation-rebounds-to-2-9-in-september","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/10\/13\/dubai-inflation-rebounds-to-2-9-in-september\/","title":{"rendered":"Dubai inflation rebounds to 2.9% in September"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dubai\u2019<\/strong>s annual inflation accelerated again in September to 2.88%<\/strong>, after slowing to 2.43% in August<\/a>, pushed mainly by a slower decline in transport prices, according to the Dubai Statistics Center (pdf)<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Housing price inflation is cooling further<\/strong>\u2026:<\/strong> Price upticks came primarily from the housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels segment \u2014 the largest component of the basket at just over 40% \u2014 which softened to 5.8% y-o-y compared to 6.05% in August. September\u2019s housing inflation reading is the lowest since May 2023, and follows on from a gradual slowdown that started earlier this year.<\/p>\n

\u2026and is signaling a longer term downtrend:<\/strong> \u201cBase effects, a moderation in the market, and an uptick in supply will all likely contribute to an ongoing slowdown in housing costs, helping soften the headline rate,\u201d Emirates NBD said in a research note (pdf).<\/a> <\/p>\n

Other categories seeing inflation:<\/strong> Food and beverages which inched up 0.15% y-o-y during the month, after sitting in deflation territory (-0.37%) the prior month. Education also rose 2.49% y-o-y, while healthcare inflation sat at a constant 1.38% y-o-y for the third month in a row, and personal care and miscellaneous goods inflation came in at 1.03%. Tobacco posted one of the sharpest gains, rising 3.66% y-o-y but holding steady on a m-o-m basis. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Recreation, sport, and culture inflation jumped 4.15% y-o-y during September<\/strong>, after recording -1.76% a month earlier. Clothing and footwear prices accelerated to 1.0% y-o-y after easing to 0.39% in August. Inflation in the ins. and financial services segment also inched up to 1.13% after cooling to 0.85% the month before.<\/p>\n

The deflation of transport prices continued, albeit at a much lower rate of 0.87% y-o-y<\/strong> during the month, after recording -3.49% in August. This was pushed primarily by retail petrol prices, with the liter of super 98 costing AED 2.70 in September, marking a 6.9% y-o-y decrease, compared with an 11.8% dip in August. For October, Emirates BND expects that \u201cthe transport component will likely be positive for the first time since July 2024,\u201d as petrol prices are already up 4.1% y-o-y. However, the bank rules out October fuel price spike to persist through November and December, as \u201cthe steady production increases from OPEC+ has reaffirmed our expectation of softer oil prices through Q4, and our forecast average of USD 65.0\/b would be significantly lower than the Q4 2024 average of USD 74.0\/b.\u201d<\/p>\n

REMEMBER:<\/strong> The Fuel Price Committee increased<\/a> prices for fuel and lowered diesel\u2019s price for September. This month, fuel and diesel prices were hiked by up to 3%<\/a>.<\/p>\n

On a monthly basis, consumer prices edged up 0.44% in September,<\/strong> up from 0.11% in August, according to the statistics center\u2019s monthly inflation report (pdf).<\/a> <\/p>\n

Looking ahead:<\/strong> Emirates NBD revised upward its forecast for average headline inflation through year-end to 2.6%, an increase by 0.1 percentage point from its previous forecast, as it believes that \u201ctransport is unlikely to exert a drag on prices in October.\u201d Meanwhile, CI Capital estimates the full-year annual inflation to average 2.9%, helped by lower transportation costs, according to a note seen by EnterpriseAM. Annual inflation has averaged 2.7% over the first nine months of the year, down from 3.6% in the same period last year, CI Capital added. Emirates NBD sees inflation remaining in the range of 2.5% in 2026, as housing price pressures are predicted to cool further. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Monthly inflation inched up to 44% in September, after cooling to 11% a month earlier<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":108394,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1556],"tags":[19,7,1394,285],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-108393","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-housing","tag-inflation","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"5a1e1b95-2165-4adc-b671-850e2db6e7b9","order":"3","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/230.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Dubai inflation rebounds to 2.9% in September","related_issue":[108388],"teaser":"Monthly inflation inched up to 44% in September, after cooling to 11% a month earlier","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/10\/.a1568dba-453e-48e4-b42a-13c77f8fc85f.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nDubai inflation rebounds to 2.9% in September - 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