{"id":107306,"date":"2025-09-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-09T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/em-debt-rush\/"},"modified":"2025-09-09T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T00:00:00","slug":"em-debt-rush","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/09\/09\/em-debt-rush\/","title":{"rendered":"EM debt rush"},"content":{"rendered":"

Emerging market borrowers are rushing to tap global debt markets at the <\/strong>fastest pace in <\/strong>at least a decade<\/strong>, taking advantage of a brief risk-on window before a possible return of volatility to the market, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. More than USD 27 bn worth of issuances were priced last week alone, including sales from Saudi Arabia, Brazilian oil giant Petrobras, and Turkey\u2019s sovereign wealth fund.<\/p>\n

The surge has pushed YTD EM issuances to nearly USD 511 bn <\/strong>\u2014 the busiest similar time period since 2021. JPMorgan now forecasts a record year of nearly USD 240 bn in sovereign issuances, with September already logging USD 8.5 bn \u2014 more than half the average for the month. Even Brazil, which typically relies on local markets, has tapped global markets three times this year.<\/p>\n

Investor appetite has been outsized: <\/strong>Saudi Arabia\u2019s USD 5.5 bn sukuk drew USD 17.5 bn in orders, while Turkey\u2019s USD 1 bn sale was 10x oversubscribed. Demand has narrowed EM risk premiums, with the extra yield over US Treasuries falling to 298 bps on average \u2014 the tightest since 2019, according to JPMorgan\u2019s gauge. The strong appetite shows investors are \u201cpreemptively anticipating some volatility,\u201d said Aayush Sonthalia of PGIM Fixed Income.<\/p>\n

This backdrop has lured steady inflows into EM-dedicated debt funds for 20 consecutive weeks<\/strong>, totaling USD 1.9 bn in the week ending 3 September, EPFR data shows. Local currency debt is up 13% this year, with USD-denominated bonds up by more than 8% \u2014 both outpacing developed-market debt returns of 6.5%.<\/p>\n

Still, strategists warn the window may be short-lived.<\/strong> Persistent inflation, heavy sovereign borrowing, and political instability in core markets from the UK to Japan are unsettling global bonds, raising the risk that higher US yields will push up EM borrowing costs.<\/p>\n

More agreements are in the pipeline: <\/strong>Saudi Aramco is preparing a USD sukuk this month, and Mexico may issue up to USD 10 bn to fund a Pemex bond buyback \u2014 with Indonesia, Kuwait, Oman, and Nigeria all expected to follow by year-end.<\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING-<\/p>\n

Equity markets in Asia are firmly in the green this morning, maintaining gains on the back of Japan\u2019s prime minister stepping down over the weekend, and tracking a positive day for US tech stocks yesterday. Japan\u2019s Nikkei hit an all-time high yesterday and is up in early trading, while the Shanghai index is trading flat. <\/p>\n

Over on Wall Street, markets are on track to follow suit and open in the green<\/strong>, after the tech-heavy Nasdaq, the Dow Jones, and the S&P 500 all closed up yesterday.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,960<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: +5.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,935<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.9% (YTD: +15.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,760<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.4% (YTD: +14.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.4% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.0% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,497<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.9% (YTD: -12.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

34,602<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +16.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,495<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +10.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,221<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +12.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,363<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +9.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 66.19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.09<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,677<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 111,665<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +19.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Chimera JP Morgan UAE Bond UCITS ETF<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

AED 3.63<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +4.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

149.46<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +6.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15.11<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: -12.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The ADX fell 0.7% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 1.5 bn. The index is up 5.8% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>GFH Financial Group (+5.6%), Hayah Ins. Company (+5.3%) and Adnoc Gas (+1.8%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Umm Al Qaiwain General Investment Co. (-8.7%), Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (-7.5%) and Abu Dhabi National Co. for Building Materials (-7.1%). <\/p>\n

Over on the DFM<\/strong>, the index fell 0.9% on turnover of AED 714.9 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai was down 1.4%.<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

ADCB plans AED 6.1 bn rights issue:<\/strong> Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB) is planning to raise its capital to AED 7.9 bn through a rights issue worth up to AED 6.1 bn, according to an ADX disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. The move will see the bank issue as many as 592.7 mn new shares at AED 10.3 each \u2014 including AED 1 in nominal value and an AED 9.3 share premium \u2014 representing a 30% markdown to ADCB\u2019s 4 September closing price on the ADX.<\/p>\n

Shareholders will vote on the proposal at a general assembly scheduled for 13 October. <\/strong>Mubadala, ADCB\u2019s largest shareholder, said it supports the move and will fully subscribe in line with its ownership.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>Earlier in March<\/a>, shareholders authorized ADCB to set up and renew debt programs worth up to USD 8 bn, issue up to USD 2 bn in standalone bonds and sukuk, and raise a further USD 2 bn via capital instruments to bolster its adequacy ratios. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

YTD issuance stands at nearly USD 511 bn, the busiest start since 2021<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":107307,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[215,7,48,50],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-107306","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-abu-dhabi-commercial-bank","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"6cc959f9-0890-4eff-bb43-388e52fcb416","order":"14","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/1166.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Emerging markets flood debt markets as investors chase yield","related_issue":[107281],"teaser":"YTD issuance stands at nearly USD 511 bn, the busiest start since 2021","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/9\/.285fc199-36bb-47b4-b45f-34ce0826fd59.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nEM debt rush - 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