{"id":107210,"date":"2025-09-04T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/usd-under-pressure-on-fed-cuts-and-independence-doubts\/"},"modified":"2025-09-04T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T00:00:00","slug":"usd-under-pressure-on-fed-cuts-and-independence-doubts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/09\/04\/usd-under-pressure-on-fed-cuts-and-independence-doubts\/","title":{"rendered":"USD under pressure on Fed cuts and independence doubts"},"content":{"rendered":"

The USD is set to remain under pressure in the coming months <\/strong>as markets weigh further Fed rate cuts and questions over the Fed\u2019s independence, a Reuters<\/a> FX poll shows. The greenback has already shed nearly 10% y-t-d against a basket of peers \u2014 the weakest performance among major currencies \u2014 as the short-USD trade has dominated since late March.<\/p>\n

Survey respondents expect the trend to persist<\/strong>, with nearly 80% of strategists seeing net short positions rising or holding steady. \u201cThe [USD] will face some pressure to soften into the end of the year,\u201d said HSBC\u2019s Paul Mackel.<\/span><\/p>\n

Over in Asia,<\/strong> the INR has been among the hardest hit<\/strong>, with the currency touching a record low of 88.33 against the USD on Monday before stabilizing after the Reserve Bank of India used part of its USD 690 bn in reserves to intervene, Reuters<\/a> separately reported. It has fallen about 3% this year on USD 15 bn in equity outflows, compounded by Trump-era tariffs on Indian goods<\/a> and tensions over Russian oil imports<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Some near-term relief has emerged: <\/strong>The INR has gained for two sessions, closing at 88.07 yesterday, supported by a softer USD index and stronger local equities, Reuters<\/a> reports separately. A Reuters poll put the median forecast at 88.04 by month-end, though about one-third of analysts warn it could drift towards 90 if the 50% US tariff on Indian goods remains in place.<\/p>\n

Longer-term projections are split: <\/strong>Many expect the INR to hold around 88 over the next year, but top forecasters at Nirmal Bang and HDFC see fresh lows near 90. \u201cThe RBI's role would be to prevent panic selling rather than defend any particular level,\u201d said HDFC\u2019s Sakshi Gupta, who projects 89.5 by this time next year.<\/p>\n

For now, traders caution that positioning is heavily skewed against the USD<\/strong>, leaving both the USD and INR vulnerable to sharp swings if inflation surprises or trade tensions escalate. \u201cA big risk is the fact everybody seems to think the [USD] is likely to weaken,\u201d Rabobank\u2019s Jane Foley warned.<\/p>\n

OTHER PLANET FINANCE NEWS-<\/p>\n

Global bonds stayed under pressure yesterday<\/strong>, with the US 30-year Treasury yield briefly hitting 5% for the first time since July before easing to 4.97%, the Financial Times<\/a> and Reuters<\/a> report. UK 30-year gilts touched 5.75%, while Japan\u2019s equivalent rose to a record 3.29%. The sell-off was fueled by heavy sovereign issuance \u2014 including a record GBP 14 bn UK syndication on Tuesday \u2014 stubborn inflation, and political strains.<\/p>\n

ICYMI- <\/strong>Government bond markets have been gripped by a global rout<\/a>, with yields at multi-year highs on swelling debt loads, tariff uncertainty, and political turmoil across Europe, the US, and Japan.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are in the green<\/strong>, tracking Wall Street gains that came on the back of a tech rally. The only outlier, Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng, is currently in the red, despite trading in the green in early trade. Meanwhile, Wall Street futures largely point to another strong open despite jitters about the US economy following a weak jobs report \u2014 though the Dow Jones, which fell yesterday, could open in the red. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,051<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +6.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,974<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +15.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,823<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +15.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.2% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.1% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,619<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: -11.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

34,762<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.1% (YTD: +16.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,448<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +9.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,178<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +11.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,325<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +8.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.08<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,613.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 112,109<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1% (YTD: +18.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Chimera JP Morgan UAE Bond UCITS ETF<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

AED 3.62<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2% (YTD: +3.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

148.24<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +5.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16.35<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-4.8% (YTD: -5.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The ADX rose 0.2% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 937.4 mn. The index is up 6.7% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>RAK Co. for White Cement & Construction Materials (+4.8%), Apex Investment (+4.3%) and Phoenix Group (+4.2%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Oman & Emirates Investment Holding Co. (-9.9%), Abu Dhabi National Takaful Co. (-7.5%), and Abu Dhabi National Co. for Building Materials (-3.4%). <\/p>\n

Over on the DFM<\/strong>, the index fell 0.6% on turnover of AED 575.1 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai was down 0.3%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The greenback has shed nearly 10% y-t-d, while the INR is the worst performer in Asia, down 3% y-t-d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":107211,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[7,48,50],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-107210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"8079e9a2-fef1-41c8-8af6-c83625229e8d","order":"15","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/1906.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"USD under pressure on Fed cuts and independence doubts","related_issue":[107183],"teaser":"The greenback has shed nearly 10% y-t-d, while the INR is the worst performer in Asia, down 3% y-t-d","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/9\/.208a45a8-c082-4645-86de-4aaa165d0acc.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nUSD under pressure on Fed cuts and independence doubts - 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