{"id":106801,"date":"2025-08-22T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-22T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/us-tariffs-hit-indias-earnings-forecasts-as-foreign-investors-grow-wary\/"},"modified":"2025-08-22T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T00:00:00","slug":"us-tariffs-hit-indias-earnings-forecasts-as-foreign-investors-grow-wary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/08\/22\/us-tariffs-hit-indias-earnings-forecasts-as-foreign-investors-grow-wary\/","title":{"rendered":"US tariffs hit India's earnings forecasts as foreign investors grow wary"},"content":{"rendered":"

India sees steepest earnings downgrades in Asia:<\/strong> Forward 12-month earnings estimates for Indian large- and mid-cap firms dropped by 1.2% over the past two weeks \u2014 the sharpest fall in Asia, Reuters<\/a> reports, citing LSEG IBES data. The cuts come as the US\u2019 50% tariff on India \u2014 set to take effect on 27 August \u2014 raises growth risks \u2014 even with proposed domestic tax cuts looking to soften the blow.<\/p>\n

The downgrades follow another disappointing reporting season<\/strong>, extending a slowdown that began last year. Corporate earnings growth has been stuck in single digits for five straight quarters, down from 15-25% in 2020-2023. \u201cAfter disappointing earnings growth of only 6% in 2024, the pace of recovery remains sluggish in 2025,\u201d said Rajat Agarwal, Asia equity strategist at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale.<\/span><\/p>\n

Autos + consumer sectors hit the hardest: <\/strong>Automobiles, capital goods, F&Bs, and consumer durables all saw earnings forecasts cut by around 1% or more. This comes despite the fact that Nifty 50 firms derive just 9% of their revenues from the US.<\/p>\n

Valuations could be next: <\/strong>Analysts warn stretched valuations could leave Indian equities vulnerable if tariffs persist. \u201cWe could potentially see the tariff triggering a broad valuation re-rating downwards and make some of the domestic oriented stocks attractive,\u201d says Raisah Rasid, strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management.<\/p>\n

Gov\u2019t leans on tax reforms to boost growth:<\/strong> To counter external pressures, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has unveiled sweeping consumption tax cuts, proposing a two-rate structure of 5% and 18% instead of the previous 12% and 28% tax that was imposed on some items. Economists at Standard Chartered expect the reforms to lift GDP growth by 0.35-0.45 percentage points by FY 2027. MUFG, however, expects sustained 50% tariffs to reduce India\u2019s GDP growth by one percentage point, with the textiles sector among the hardest hit.<\/p>\n

Despite the policy support, foreign investors are pulling back. <\/strong>Bank of America\u2019s latest fund manager survey shows that India has slid from the most-preferred to the least-preferred Asian equity market in just two months, as doubts grow over valuations and the pace of earnings growth.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed this morning<\/strong>, with South Korea\u2019s Kospi leading gains with a 1.2% jump, and Japan\u2019s Nikkei dipping 0.1% at the open. Meanwhile, China\u2019s CSI 300 was trading flat, and Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng was up 0.3%. Over on Wall Street, futures inched up slightly following a losing session yesterday, as investors await US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s speech at Jackson Hole.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

AD<\/strong>X<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,200<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.0% (YTD: +8.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,128<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +18.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,986<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +19.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.2% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.2% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,867<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -9.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

35,622<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +19.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,370<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +8.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,309<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +13.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,462<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +11.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67.64<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.81<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,381.1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 112,135<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.8% (YTD: +18.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Chimera JP Morgan UAE Bond UCITS ETF<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

AED 3.49<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +0.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

148.39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.0% (YTD: +6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16.6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+5.8% (YTD: -4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The DFM rose 0.1% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 427.5 mn. The index is up 18.8% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>National Cement Company (+6.6%), Emirates Reem Investments Company (+6.3%) and Dubai National Ins. and Reins. (+5.7%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Sukoon Takaful (-9.4%), Chimera S&P UAE Sharjah ETF - Share class B - Income (-6.2%) and Al Mal Capital REIT (-2.3%). <\/p>\n

Over on the ADX<\/strong>, the index remained flat on turnover of AED 905.5 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai was down 0.1%<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

India\u2019s large- and mid-cap earnings forecasts dropped 1.2% over the past two weeks<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":106802,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[1419,50],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-106801","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-earnings","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"401a0641-bd4a-4467-946d-e6fd3d37491d","order":"11","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/5\/839.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"India faces steepest earnings downgrade in Asia as US tariffs weigh on outlook","related_issue":[106782],"teaser":"India\u2019s large- and mid-cap earnings forecasts dropped 1.2% over the past two weeks","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/8\/.8b3f2652-7c1a-4851-9bf6-efd3defaa784.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nUS tariffs hit India's earnings forecasts as foreign investors grow wary - 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