{"id":103865,"date":"2025-05-21T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-21T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/dubai-annual-inflation-dips-again-in-april-as-analysts-slash-inflation-forecasts-amid-oil-price-pressure\/"},"modified":"2025-05-21T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-21T00:00:00","slug":"dubai-annual-inflation-dips-again-in-april-as-analysts-slash-inflation-forecasts-amid-oil-price-pressure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/05\/21\/dubai-annual-inflation-dips-again-in-april-as-analysts-slash-inflation-forecasts-amid-oil-price-pressure\/","title":{"rendered":"Dubai annual inflation dips again in April, as analysts slash inflation forecasts amid oil price pressure"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dubai\u2019s annual<\/strong> inflation continued to dip in April, coming in at 2.31% y-o-y, <\/strong>compared to 2.79% in March<\/a>, and extending a softening trend since January\u2019s peak of 3.22%, according to the Dubai Statistics Center (pdf)<\/a>. The decline was mostly due to a \u201cmeaningfully lower petrol price offsetting still elevated upwards pressure on housing,\u201d Emirates NBD<\/a> said in its research note.<\/p>\n

The breakdown:<\/strong> Prices for housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels \u2014 the largest component in the inflation basket \u2014 remained elevated, rising 7.02% in April, slightly down from 7.16% in March but on a downward trajectory since the beginning of the year, moderating to a seven-month low. Furnishing, household equipment and routine household maintenance, along with restaurants and accommodation and recreation, sports, and culture, also recorded slight price growth. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>Fuel prices were slashed<\/a> around 5-6% in April, and while they saw a slight uptick<\/a> in May, Super 98 is still 22.8% lower than last year, so fuel is expected to keep inflation moderate this month, Emirates NBD said. <\/p>\n

Segments seeing deflation: <\/strong>Transport prices, making up just over 9% of the index, slipped further to -7.64 y-o-y in April, compared to -3.34% y-o-y in March. Food and beverages, clothing and footwear, and information and communication, were among the sectors that saw deflation. \u201cThe deceleration was driven by base effects and a sharp drop in transport prices,\u201d National Bank of Kuwait\u2019s Issa Hijazeen told EnterpriseAM.<\/p>\n

On a monthly basis<\/strong>, prices grew 0.29%, returning back to inflation territory after March saw the first instance of monthly deflation since July 2024, according to monthly figures from the statistics center\u2019s monthly inflation report (pdf)<\/a>. A rebound in the prices of restaurant and hotel segments and food prices, led the uptick in monthly inflation, Hijazeen said. <\/p>\n

Looking ahead: <\/strong>Emirates NBD has revised downwards its forecast for inflation to 2.5%, from 2.8% earlier, due to the downward pressure on oil prices expected throughout the year and as other components of the basket show weak price growth, according to the note. Hijazeen agrees, saying that \u201cDubai\u2019s inflation is expected to moderate further, supported by easing housing rents and a potential decline in fuel prices.\u201d The Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) had pencilled in a 2.0% inflation rate<\/a> for the country this year, almost matching the IMF recent estimate<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Housing continued to be elevated, while transport dipped further<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":103866,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1556],"tags":[87,19,7,678,285,98,1367],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-103865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-dubai","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-food-and-beverage","tag-inflation","tag-real-estate","tag-transport","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"836a185d-48ce-48b1-91f8-63aa9aed75bf","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/9\/2050.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Dubai 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