{"id":102632,"date":"2025-04-15T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-15T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/egx-defies-regional-slump-but-the-edge-may-be-mechanical\/"},"modified":"2025-04-15T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-15T00:00:00","slug":"egx-defies-regional-slump-but-the-edge-may-be-mechanical","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/04\/15\/egx-defies-regional-slump-but-the-edge-may-be-mechanical\/","title":{"rendered":"EGX defies regional slump, but the edge may be mechanical"},"content":{"rendered":"

Egypt appears to be one of the least impacted markets by the Trump-era tariff-driven <\/strong>global volatility amongst its regional peers<\/strong>, with the EGX30 up 4.9% YTD. That\u2019s in sharp contrast to regional peers, with Saudi Arabia\u2019s Tadawul down 3.7% so far this year, the DFM down 2.0%, and the ADX down 1.9%.<\/p>\n

The EGX30 is also faring better than some of the markets that wrapped up <\/strong>2024 with record gains<\/strong>, including the S&P 500, which is now down 8.1% YTD. It is even beating BTC, which closed out 2024 with a staggering 121.3% YTD gain, but is currently down 9.5% since January.<\/span><\/p>\n

While that\u2019s undoubtedly positive for the EGX, the comparison between the EGX and <\/strong>GCC indexes doesn\u2019t paint the full picture. <\/strong>The divergence has more to do with structural differences than market outperformance in the traditional sense.<\/span><\/p>\n

The EGX\u2019s relative resilience is largely a function of its investor base. <\/strong>Trading activity remains dominated by local, retail investors \u2014 for example, 80.9% of trading activity was done by retail investors and 90.5% by local investors during trading yesterday. These investors tend to be more reactive to local cues and sentiment-driven triggers, such as the recent reaffirmation of Egypt\u2019s commitment to a flexible FX regime<\/a>.<\/p>\n

This means that any sell-off is less likely to spiral<\/strong>, because retail traders account for the lion\u2019s share of turnover in Egypt, EGX board member Rania Yacoub told EnterpriseAM last week<\/a>. Retail investors tend to be more speculative, and this behavior could underpin a near-term correction rather than a sustained downturn.<\/p>\n

In contrast, regional peers like the Tadawul and UAE markets are more exposed to <\/strong>global investor flows.<\/strong> Foreign investors were net sellers<\/a> on the Tadawul last week, offloading SAR 2.2 bn worth of equities, while local investors bought SAR 2.3 bn. Non-Arab foreigners accounted for 44.5% of turnover on the ADX and 40.9% on the DFM last week.<\/p>\n

The EGX\u2019s relatively low liquidity and smaller size also mean it responds more sharply <\/strong>to modest inflows<\/strong> \u2014 especially when there\u2019s a local policy trigger. Case in point: Tadawul closed yesterday with a turnover of SAR 6.5 bn \u2014 23x the EGX\u2019s 90-day average.<\/p>\n

Crude overhang is also weighing on Gulf markets<\/strong>, as weakness in crude continues to pressure sentiment and the earnings outlook for Gulf corporates, especially state-linked and large-cap names. This pressure is reflected in YTD performances of important market constituents, including Aramco \u2014 the Tadawul\u2019s heavyweight \u2014 which is down -7.5%, the DFM-listed DEWA in the red -10.3%, and Abu Dhabi\u2019s Taqa at -2.2%.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING-<\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed this morning <\/strong>following a tech rally in US markets, with Japan\u2019s Nikkei up 1%, and Hang Seng (Hong Kong) virtually unchanged, while Shanghai Composite is inching down 0.4%. Meanwhile, Wall Street futures are pointing to marginal losses when markets open.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,237<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9% (YTD: -1.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,056<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.8% (YTD: -2.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,082<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2% (YTD: -2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.1% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.1% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,597<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.04% (YTD: -3.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

31,182<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.02% (YTD: +4.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,406<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: -8.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,134<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.1% (YTD: -0.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,911<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.6% (YTD: +0.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 64.88<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.34<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3226.30<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 84,643.40<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.7% (YTD: -9.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The ADX rose 0.9% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 1.8 bn. The index is down 1.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Umm Al Qaiwain General Investment Co. (+14.7%), Americana Restaurants International (+11.6%) and Eshraq Investments (+9.1%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Abu Dhabi National Takaful Co. (-7.8%), United Arab Bank (-3.5%) and AD Ports (-1.9%).<\/p>\n

Over on the DFM<\/strong>, the index rose 1.8% on turnover of AED 501.7 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai was up 2%.<\/p>\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Response <\/strong>Plus Holding (RPM) has approved the distribution of AED 20 mn in final <\/strong>dividends for FY 2024<\/strong>, equivalent to 10% of its share capital, according to a press release (pdf)<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Burjeel <\/strong>Holdings has approved a dividend distribution of AED 170 mn for FY 2024<\/strong>, equivalent to AED 0.03 per share, according to an ADX disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. The payout represents 32.6% of the company\u2019s share capital.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Some 81% of EGX\u2019s investor base is made up of retail investors<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":102633,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[74,29,203,1378,7,48,50,462],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-102632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-adx","tag-capital-markets","tag-dubai-financial-market","tag-egx","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-tadawul","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"210f5ffd-e716-4a91-b8fe-fc68e94c57fb","order":"11","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/855.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"EGX defies regional slump, but the edge may be mechanical","related_issue":[102612],"teaser":"Some 81% of EGX\u2019s investor base is made up of retail investors","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/4\/.202558ff-a994-4e45-b463-f6665098eb0c.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nEGX defies regional slump, but the edge may be mechanical - 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