{"id":102587,"date":"2025-04-14T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/global-confidence-in-the-usd-wanes-as-trade-wars-continue\/"},"modified":"2025-04-14T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T00:00:00","slug":"global-confidence-in-the-usd-wanes-as-trade-wars-continue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/04\/14\/global-confidence-in-the-usd-wanes-as-trade-wars-continue\/","title":{"rendered":"Global confidence in the USD wanes as trade wars continue"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD dominance under pressure? <\/strong>Fund managers are warning policy volatility and trade barriers are threatening the USD\u2019s status as a safe haven for global capital, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. The greenback fell to a three-year low against the EUR on Friday, following US President Donald Trump\u2019s erratic policymaking and reciprocal tariff decisions<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The slump is somewhat surprising<\/strong>, as the greenback typically strengthens during global financial stress, with investors seeking refuge in US treasury bonds. <\/p>\n

The reasons? <\/strong>The weaker USD \u2014 alongside the rise in bond yields \u2014 may point to a \u201ccapital flight,\u201d Fidelity International Senior Portfolio Manager Mike Riddell told the FT. \u201cThis suggests foreigners have been and are continuing to sell US stocks and sending their money elsewhere,\u201d Axios<\/a> reports, citing Howard Ward and John Belton, co-chief investment officers of value at Gabelli Funds.<\/p>\n

The trend may also have to do with the US president floating the rule of law and <\/strong>threatening the Federal Reserve<\/strong>, Edward Fishman, a former top sanctions official at the US State Department, told the FT. He speculated that this could lead, over time, to the emergence of a \u201cmulti-polar\u201d currency system where the EUR played a bigger role.<\/p>\n

Selling America: <\/strong>With nearly USD 2 tn in annual foreign capital inflows, the US saw its share of global capital flows rise to 41% in 2024 \u2014 nearly double the pre-pandemic levels \u2014 Axios reports, citing gov\u2019t data. However, the tariff-triggered sell-off of assets, including equities, bonds and the USD \u2014 a trend which ING interest rate strategists called \u201c sell America Inc.<\/a> \u201d \u2014 may threaten redirecting these inflows elsewhere.<\/p>\n

The drop led fund managers to doubt the USD\u2019s market dominance and role as a global <\/strong>capital haven<\/strong>, raising concerns about the greenback serving as a reserve currency during market volatility. \u201cThere is [now] a very good case for the end of [USD] exceptionalism,\u201d JPMorgan Asset Management Global Head of Fixed Income Bob Michele told the salmon-colored paper.<\/p>\n

BUT- A weaker USD can be a boon for the US, some economists argue.<\/strong> \u201cThe reserve function of the [USD] has caused persistent currency distortions and contributed to \u2026 unsustainable trade deficits,\u201d weighing down US competitiveness and manufacturing, said Stephen Miran, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (watch, runtime: 1:04:00<\/a>).<\/p>\n

The recent tariffs are meant to correct these dated trade trends<\/strong>, Miran said, adding that a weaker greenback may redistribute the \u201cburden of peace and security\u201d while returning dynamism to the US economy.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9158<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: -2.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4966<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: -3.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4003<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: -3.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.0% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.0% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,593<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: -3.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

31,175<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2% (YTD: +4.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,363<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.8% (YTD: -8.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,964<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: -2.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,787<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: -2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 64.76<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.53<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,245<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 83,392 <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.3% (YTD: -10.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The DFM fell 0.2% on Friday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 489.7 mn. The index is down 3.7% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Emirates Investment Bank (+14.2%), Al Ramz Corporation Investment and Development (+13.8%) and National General Insurance Company (+12.9%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Al Salam Sudan (-7.7%), National International Holding Company (-5.5%) and Commercial Bank of Dubai (-4.8%). <\/p>\n

Over on the ADX,<\/strong> the index rose 0.4% on turnover of AED 942 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai was up 0.5%.<\/p>\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS- <\/p>\n

Abu Dhabi-based <\/strong>BHM Capital <\/strong>and publicly listed property developer RAK Properties <\/strong>have mutually agreed not to renew their expired liquidity provision agreement<\/strong> for RAK\u2019s shares traded on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX), according to a DFM disclosure (pdf)<\/a>.<\/p>\n

In context:<\/strong> RAK Properties tapped Arqaam Securities as its liquidity provider last week<\/a> for shares traded on the ADX. The agreement aims to reduce bid-ask spreads, improve price discovery for shares, and increase market participation from institutional and retail investors.<\/p>\n

Salik\u2019s general assembly approved distributing AED 619.8 mn in dividends for 2H <\/strong>2024<\/strong>, equivalent to 8.3 fils per share, according to a disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Shuaa <\/strong>Capital has activated its <\/strong>previously approved<\/a><\/strong> capital increase<\/strong>, raising its share capital by 44.3% from AED 2.5 bn to AED 3.7 bn, according to a DFM disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. Trading on the new shares begins today, with the company confirming it has fulfilled all regulatory and procedural requirements. The capital increase comes following the issuance of AED 359.5 mn in bonds it issued to investors and noteholders<\/a> over two tranches last month.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trump\u2019s policies have triggered a capital flight from US assets to foreign alternatives<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":102588,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[329,1125,50],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-102587","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-currencies","tag-donald-trump","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ef2b9558-76b4-49f6-906a-2c03d33363a7","order":"13","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/745.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Is the USD losing its edge amid market turbulence?","related_issue":[102563],"teaser":"Trump\u2019s policies have triggered a capital flight from US assets to foreign alternatives","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/4\/.a6d012dc-7326-439e-aef1-d24af556fd6b.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nGlobal confidence in the USD wanes as trade wars continue - 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