{"id":100728,"date":"2025-02-14T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-14T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut\/"},"modified":"2025-02-14T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-14T00:00:00","slug":"rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/uae\/2025\/02\/14\/rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut\/","title":{"rendered":"Rising US inflation in January reduces chance of Fed rate cut"},"content":{"rendered":"

The <\/strong>odds of a US Federal Reserve rate cut took another hit after <\/strong>inflation came in <\/strong>hotter than expected in January<\/strong>, with the consumer price index rising 3% y-o-y, the highest increase since June, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data<\/a>. While only marginally higher than December\u2019s 2.9%, the uptick was enough for traders to dial back projections of a 2025 rate cut, pushing Treasury yields above 4.6%, CNBC<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s driving inflation?<\/strong> Shelter costs accounted for nearly 30% of January\u2019s price increase, rising 0.4%. Gasoline jumped 1.8%, contributing to a 1.1% increase in overall energy costs. Food prices also ticked up 0.4%, with grocery costs rising 0.5%. Meanwhile, used car prices climbed 2.2%, and motor vehicle insurance surged 2%. Excluding food and energy, core CPI rose 3.3% y-o-y.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs are expected<\/a> to stoke inflation further. The US president reiterated earlier this week that rates \u201cshould be lowered, something which would go hand in hand with upcoming tariffs,\u201d CNBC reports. Some 90% of the economists in Reuters\u2019 October 2024 and February 2025 polls raised their inflation estimates for 2025 following Trump\u2019s election victory.<\/p>\n

ICYMI- <\/strong>Trump has already imposed a 10% tariff on USD 450 bn worth<\/a> of Chinese goods and 25% tariffs on steel aluminum imports<\/a> and vowed to impose reciprocal tariffs matching those imposed by other US trade partners. The president has also threatened to impose 25% tariffs<\/a> on US imports from Mexico and Canada, with the measures on hold until 1 March<\/a> as the neighboring countries continue to negotiate over border security. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt also signaled more trade actions could be announced soon, CNBC reports.<\/p>\n

Market reax: <\/strong>Markets struggled to process the mixed signals, with the S&P 500 falling 0.27% and the Dow dropping 0.5%, while the Nasdaq remained near flat.<\/p>\n

Are cuts still possible?<\/strong> A Reuters poll<\/a> of 101 analysts suggests that Fed officials will adopt a wait-and-see approach as they assess how tariffs and other policy changes could affect the economy before making any further rate cuts.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Most Asian markets are in the green, tracking gains on Wall Street, <\/strong>save for Japan\u2019s Nikkei, which is down 0.6%, and Topix, down 0.2%. Meanwhile, Wall Street futures are little changed<\/strong> after Trump\u2019s announcement of reciprocal tariffs. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/tbody>\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,659<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +2.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,319<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +3.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,446<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +6.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : AED<\/strong> CBUAE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 3.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EIBOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.1% o\/n<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.3% 1 yr<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,385<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +2.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

29,997<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: +0.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,115<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +4.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,765<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: 7.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,501<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.8% (YTD: +12.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 75.13<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.65<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,962.6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 96,514<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.3% (YTD: +2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The ADX stayed flat yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of AED 1.4 bn. The index is up 2.6% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Abu Dhabi National Takaful (+15.0%), Commercial Bank International (+14.1%) and Al Khaleej Investment (+7.3%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Agthia Group (-9.9%), Al Wathba National Ins. (-6.3%) and Phoenix Group (-3.7%). <\/p>\n

Over on the DFM<\/strong>, the index rose 0.3% on turnover of AED 996.3 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai closed down 0.3%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The consumer price index rose 3% y-o-y, the highest rise since June<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":100729,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1553],"tags":[7,48,285,331,50,765],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-100728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-uae","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-planet-finance","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"36a358b3-f88e-4c7b-9649-bbf818accf78","order":"11","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/1131.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Rising US inflation in January reduces chance of Fed rate cut","related_issue":[100708],"teaser":"The consumer price index rose 3% y-o-y, the highest rise since June","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/2\/.05da490f-22fb-40d2-8f6a-861af4d52bd5.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nRising US inflation in January reduces chance of Fed rate cut - 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