{"id":87070,"date":"2026-03-11T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/mena-india\/?p=87070"},"modified":"2026-03-11T09:52:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T09:52:08","slug":"moodys-flags-growth-inflation-risks-for-india-if-middle-east-conflict-persists","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/mena-india\/2026\/03\/11\/moodys-flags-growth-inflation-risks-for-india-if-middle-east-conflict-persists\/","title":{"rendered":"Moody\u2019s flags growth, inflation risks for India if Middle East conflict persists"},"content":{"rendered":"

A<\/strong> prolonged conflict in the Middle East could transmit macroeconomic pressure to India through higher energy prices, inflation, and tighter financial conditions<\/strong>, potentially weakening growth and domestic demand, Economic Times<\/a> reports, citing Moody's.<\/p>\n

Diminished GDP forecast:<\/strong> An extended conflict could reduce India\u2019s GDP growth by around 1%, while inflation could rise by 1.5-2 percentage points due to weakening demand, according to Moody\u2019s. The shock would primarily pass through higher oil import costs, reflecting India\u2019s structural reliance on crude supplies from the Middle East, the ratings agency said. India is among the Asian economies most exposed to oil price volatility, with crude imports accounting for about 3.6% of GDP.<\/p>\n

Oil price threshold: <\/strong>The macroeconomic impact would likely remain limited if the conflict is short-lived and crude stabilizes near USD 89 per barrel. Sustained prices above USD 100 per barrel, however, could generate broader macroeconomic pressure.<\/p>\n

Transmission channels: <\/strong>Higher energy import costs could weaken the INR , raise inflation, and widen India\u2019s current account deficit, while authorities may expand subsidies to cushion households and businesses.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A prolonged conflict could cut India\u2019s GDP growth by about one percentage point, with inflation and borrowing costs rising 1.5-2 percentage points, Moody\u2019s estimates<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":87071,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2647],"tags":[2514,2402,2731,2646,2576,2878],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-87070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam-india","tag-india-focus","tag-indian-economy","tag-inflation","tag-macroeconomy","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"b7c8b08c-3e0b-4d4c-8589-fc7fecc1c333","order":"5","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/631.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Conflict could hit India\u2019s growth prospects: Moody\u2019s","related_issue":[87062],"teaser":"A prolonged conflict could cut India\u2019s GDP growth by about one percentage point, with inflation and borrowing costs rising 1.5-2 percentage points, Moody\u2019s estimates"},"yoast_head":"\nMoody\u2019s flags growth, inflation risks for India if Middle East conflict persists - MENA India Corridor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/mena-india\/2026\/03\/11\/moodys-flags-growth-inflation-risks-for-india-if-middle-east-conflict-persists\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Moody\u2019s flags growth, inflation risks for India if Middle East conflict persists\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A prolonged conflict could cut 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